--- title: "Driveway Mechanic case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Driveway Mechanic ($5.10) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.35% from 18 items with odds, observed 91.17% over 1,771 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic rendered: 2026-11-12T03:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Driveway Mechanic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Driveway Mechanic A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic?window=all) Price · $5.10 Advertised RTP · 89.35% · EV $4.56 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.17% · 1,771 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.97% ±33.30 190 openings 7 days · 86.48% ±12.58 1,332 openings 30 days · 91.17% ±10.91 1,771 openings since tracking started · 91.17% ±10.91 1,771 openings 51.0% 85.0% 119.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic?window=24h) | 190 | 84.97% ±33.3 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic?window=7d) | 1,332 | 86.48% ±12.6 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic) | 1,771 | 91.17% ±10.9 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/driveway-mechanic?window=all) | 1,771 | 91.17% ±10.9 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,771 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Heavy-Duty Hydraulic Floor Jack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/heavy-duty-hydraulic-floor-jack) | 1 in 400 | $180 | 9.9% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.36× | | [Liqui Moly Special AA 5W20 engine oil 5L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/liqui-moly-special-aa-5w20-engine-oil-5l) | 1 in 167 | $65.00 | 8.6% | 9 | 10.6 | 0.85× | | [OSRAM COOL BLUE® INTENSE H11 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/osram-cool-blue-intense-h11) | 1 in 105 | $37.00 | 7.7% | 17 | 16.8 | 1.01× | | [Ancel AD310 Classic Enhanced Universal OBD II Scanner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ancel-ad310-classic-enhanced-universal-obd-ii-scanner) | 1 in 105 | $35.00 | 7.3% | 15 | 16.8 | 0.89× | | [Liqui Moly 5153 Pro-Line Gasoline System Cleaner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/liqui-moly-5153-pro-line-gasoline-system-cleaner) | 1 in 53 | $19.00 | 7.9% | 46 | 33.6 | 1.37× | | [Honda 15400 PLM A01 Oil Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/honda-15400-plm-a01-oil-filter) | 1 in 42 | $16.20 | 8.5% | 49 | 42.5 | 1.15× | | [Prestone AS658 Deluxe 2-in-1 Windshield Washer Fluid, 1 Gallon other](https://gambatracker.com/items/prestone-as658-deluxe-2-in-1-windshield-washer-fluid-1-gallon) | 1 in 34 | $13.59 | 8.6% | 36 | 51.4 | 0.70× | | [MANNOL MN4012-5 Longlife Antifreeze AF12+ other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mannol-mn4012-5-longlife-antifreeze-af12) | 1 in 34 | $12.00 | 7.6% | 47 | 51.4 | 0.92× | | [Safety Work Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/safety-work-gloves) | 1 in 33 | $11.00 | 7.2% | 49 | 53.1 | 0.92× | | [Spark Plug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spark-plug) | 1 in 25 | $8.00 | 7.0% | 59 | 70.8 | 0.83× | | [Jumper Cables for Car Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jumper-cables-for-car-battery) | 1 in 22 | $7.00 | 6.9% | 85 | 79.7 | 1.07× | | [Tire Pressure Gauge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tire-pressure-gauge) | 1 in 16 | $3.80 | 5.2% | 123 | 109.8 | 1.12× | | [Basic Screwdriver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/basic-screwdriver) | 1 in 13 | $2.10 | 3.6% | 145 | 137.3 | 1.06× | | [FloTool 10701 Spill Saver Multi-Purpose Funnel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/flotool-10701-spill-saver-multi-purpose-funnel) | 11.0% | $0.89 | 2.1% | 198 | 194.8 | 1.02× | | [Thiccolas Cage Car Air Freshener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thiccolas-cage-car-air-freshener) | 11.0% | $0.40 | 1.0% | 202 | 194.8 | 1.04× | | [Skull Valve Stem Caps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skull-valve-stem-caps) | 12.5% | $0.20 | 0.5% | 206 | 221.4 | 0.93× | | [Hose Clamp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hose-clamp) | 13.0% | $0.06 | 0.2% | 231 | 230.2 | 1.00× | | [Singular Heavy Duty Zip Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/singular-heavy-duty-zip-tie) | 14.2% | $0.02 | 0.1% | 248 | 251.5 | 0.99× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=driveway-mechanic) [Basic Screwdriver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/basic-screwdriver) Hidden $5.10 $2.10 0.41x 2026-11-11 23:19 UTC [MANNOL MN4012-5 Longlife Antifreeze AF12+ other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mannol-mn4012-5-longlife-antifreeze-af12) Hidden $5.10 $12.00 2.35x 2026-11-11 23:19 UTC [Thiccolas Cage Car Air Freshener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thiccolas-cage-car-air-freshener) Hidden $5.10 $0.40 0.08x 2026-11-11 23:19 UTC [Skull Valve Stem Caps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skull-valve-stem-caps) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sharkinz) $5.10 $0.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:19 UTC [Hose Clamp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hose-clamp) Hidden $5.10 $0.06 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:54 UTC [Singular Heavy Duty Zip Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/singular-heavy-duty-zip-tie) Hidden $5.10 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:54 UTC [Skull Valve Stem Caps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skull-valve-stem-caps) Hidden $5.10 $0.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:54 UTC [Hose Clamp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hose-clamp) Hidden $5.10 $0.06 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:54 UTC [Skull Valve Stem Caps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skull-valve-stem-caps) Hidden $5.10 $0.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:54 UTC [Singular Heavy Duty Zip Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/singular-heavy-duty-zip-tie) [Majestic Unicorn](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Majestic%20Unicorn) $5.10 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.10 | 89.35% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.35 on average: an expected loss of $10.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt