--- title: "Dropshipped case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Dropshipped ($12.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.44% from 12 items with odds, observed 92.36% over 379 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped rendered: 2026-11-11T22:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Dropshipped](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Dropshipped A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped?window=all) Price · $12.00 Advertised RTP · 89.44% · EV $10.73 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.36% · 379 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 93.41% ±11.60 354 openings 30 days · 92.36% ±11.21 379 openings since tracking started · 92.36% ±11.21 379 openings 24.5% 94.2% 164.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped?window=24h) | 10 | 94.23% ±69.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped?window=7d) | 354 | 93.41% ±11.6 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped) | 379 | 92.36% ±11.2 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dropshipped?window=all) | 379 | 92.36% ±11.2 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 379 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Levitating Moon Lamp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/levitating-moon-lamp) | 1 in 100 | $99.00 | 9.2% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.58× | | [Mini Portable Full HD LED Projector YG300 - Black / White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-portable-full-hd-led-projector-yg300-black-white) | 1 in 50 | $50.00 | 9.3% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.19× | | [Replica Airpods other](https://gambatracker.com/items/replica-airpods) | 1 in 33 | $40.00 | 11.2% | 10 | 11.4 | 0.88× | | [Mountain Voyage Minimalist Wallet for Men other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mountain-voyage-minimalist-wallet-for-men) | 1 in 20 | $23.20 | 10.8% | 11 | 18.9 | 0.58× | | [Automatic Soap Dispenser other](https://gambatracker.com/items/automatic-soap-dispenser) | 1 in 20 | $21.00 | 9.8% | 20 | 18.9 | 1.06× | | [Blackhead Remover Vacuum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/blackhead-remover-vacuum) | 1 in 13 | $16.00 | 11.2% | 27 | 28.4 | 0.95× | | [LED Finger Lights for Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/led-finger-lights-for-car) | 1 in 13 | $13.00 | 9.1% | 34 | 28.4 | 1.20× | | [Plasma Candle Lighter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plasma-candle-lighter) | 10.0% | $7.25 | 6.8% | 45 | 37.9 | 1.19× | | [Gonggi Korean Traditional Folk Game other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gonggi-korean-traditional-folk-game) | 10.0% | $7.00 | 6.5% | 33 | 37.9 | 0.87× | | [3pcs Magnetic Rings Fidget Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3pcs-magnetic-rings-fidget-toy) | 11.5% | $5.00 | 5.4% | 47 | 43.6 | 1.08× | | [Mini Portable Micro USB Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-portable-micro-usb-fan) | 12.5% | $4.00 | 4.7% | 40 | 47.4 | 0.84× | | [Flying Orb Ball Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/flying-orb-ball-toy) | 25.0% | $2.63 | 6.1% | 97 | 94.8 | 1.02× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=dropshipped) [Plasma Candle Lighter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plasma-candle-lighter) Hidden $12.00 $7.25 0.60x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [Mini Portable Micro USB Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-portable-micro-usb-fan) Hidden $12.00 $4.00 0.33x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [Flying Orb Ball Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/flying-orb-ball-toy) Hidden $12.00 $2.63 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [Blackhead Remover Vacuum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/blackhead-remover-vacuum) [Unique Skunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Unique%20Skunk) $12.00 $16.00 1.33x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [Replica Airpods other](https://gambatracker.com/items/replica-airpods) Hidden $12.00 $40.00 3.33x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC [Mountain Voyage Minimalist Wallet for Men other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mountain-voyage-minimalist-wallet-for-men) Hidden $12.00 $23.20 1.93x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC [Mini Portable Micro USB Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-portable-micro-usb-fan) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sharkinz) $12.00 $4.00 0.33x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC [Gonggi Korean Traditional Folk Game other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gonggi-korean-traditional-folk-game) Hidden $12.00 $7.00 0.58x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC [Mini Portable Micro USB Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-portable-micro-usb-fan) Hidden $12.00 $4.00 0.33x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC [3pcs Magnetic Rings Fidget Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3pcs-magnetic-rings-fidget-toy) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sharkinz) $12.00 $5.00 0.42x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.00 | 89.44% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.44 on average: an expected loss of $10.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt