---
title: "Dunks case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Dunks ($111.06) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 24 items with odds, observed 67.99% over 92 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Dunks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Dunks

A box on Cases.gg (Shoes), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks?window=all)

Price · $111.06

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $99.39 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 67.99% · 92 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 89 openings · below min

30 days · 92 openings · below min

since tracking started · 92 openings · below min

-0.5% 89.5% 179.5%

**Small sample.** 92 openings and 5.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks?window=24h) | 6 | 5.40% ±173.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks?window=7d) | 89 | 60.93% ±45.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks) | 92 | 67.99% ±44.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dunks?window=all) | 92 | 67.99% ±44.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 92 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Nike SB Dunk Low Concepts Green Lobster (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-concepts-green-lobster-us-8) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,640 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk Low Travis Scott (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-travis-scott-us-9) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,590 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 1 (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-1-us-10) | 1 in 333 | $1,300 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 50 (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-50-us-7) | 1 in 500 | $1,200 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 1 (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-1-us-11) | 1 in 333 | $1,130 | 3.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 50 (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-50-us-8) | 1 in 200 | $1,090 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk Low StrangeLove Skateboards (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-strangelove-skateboards-us-10) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,030 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Nike Air Rubber Dunk Off-White Green Strike (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-rubber-dunk-off-white-green-strike-us-11) | 1 in 100 | $980 | 9.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk LowSupreme Stars Mean Green (2021) (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-lowsupreme-stars-mean-green-2021-us-11) | 1 in 250 | $912 | 3.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk LowSupreme Stars Mean Green (2021) (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-lowsupreme-stars-mean-green-2021-us-9) | 1 in 100 | $852 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White Pine Green (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-pine-green-us-8) | 1 in 200 | $798 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk LowSupreme Stars Hyper Royal (2021) (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-lowsupreme-stars-hyper-royal-2021-us-10) | 1 in 141 | $750 | 5.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Nike Air Rubber Dunk Off-White UNC (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-rubber-dunk-off-white-unc-us-10) | 1 in 125 | $748 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk Low Atmosphere Grey True Berry (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-atmosphere-grey-true-berry-us-7) | 1 in 167 | $721 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 28 (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-28-us-10) | 1 in 2,000 | $690 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk Low Concepts Orange Lobster (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-concepts-orange-lobster-us-8) | 1 in 80 | $530 | 6.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White University Gold (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-university-gold-us-9) | 1 in 100 | $510 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk Low Instant Skateboards (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-instant-skateboards-us-7) | 1 in 80 | $434 | 5.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.74× |
| [Nike SB Dunk Low Green Apple (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-green-apple-us-9) | 1 in 67 | $390 | 5.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Nike Dunk Low White Black Royal (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-white-black-royal-us-11) | 1 in 67 | $200 | 3.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Nike Dunk Low Fir Midnight Navy (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-fir-midnight-navy-us-8) | 1 in 57 | $175 | 3.1% | 5 | 1.6 | 3.11× |
| [Nike Dunk Low Chlorophyll (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-chlorophyll-us-10) | 1 in 57 | $130 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [Nike Dunk Low Black Dusty Cactus (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-black-dusty-cactus-us-8) | 1 in 29 | $130 | 4.6% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× |
| [9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) | 80.0% | $6.00 | 4.8% | 77 | 73.6 | 1.05× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 1 (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-1-us-11) Hidden $111 $1,130 10.17x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC

[Nike SB Dunk Low StrangeLove Skateboards (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-strangelove-skateboards-us-10) Hidden $111 $1,030 9.27x 2026-11-10 06:15 UTC

[Nike SB Dunk LowSupreme Stars Mean Green (2021) (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-lowsupreme-stars-mean-green-2021-us-11) [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chavlin%20Exer) $111 $912 8.21x 2026-11-04 14:17 UTC

[Nike SB Dunk LowSupreme Stars Hyper Royal (2021) (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-lowsupreme-stars-hyper-royal-2021-us-10) Hidden $111 $750 6.75x 2026-11-06 07:45 UTC

[Nike SB Dunk Low Concepts Orange Lobster (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-concepts-orange-lobster-us-8) Hidden $111 $530 4.77x 2026-11-06 07:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=dunks)

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC

[9mm Wide Strong Semicircle Shoelaces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/9mm-wide-strong-semicircle-shoelaces) Hidden $111 $6.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $111 | 89.49% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $1,130 (10.17x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt