--- title: "E-Sports Elite case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "E-Sports Elite ($23.15) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.46% from 18 items with odds, observed 89.54% over 582 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite rendered: 2026-11-12T11:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [E-Sports Elite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · E-Sports Elite A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite?window=all) Price · $23.15 Advertised RTP · 89.46% · EV $20.71 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.54% · 582 openings, odds method Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.07% ±43.95 108 openings 7 days · 86.54% ±20.98 474 openings 30 days · 89.54% ±18.93 582 openings since tracking started · 89.54% ±18.93 582 openings 37.5% 82.0% 126.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite?window=24h) | 108 | 82.07% ±44.0 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite?window=7d) | 474 | 86.54% ±21.0 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite) | 582 | 89.54% ±18.9 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/e-sports-elite?window=all) | 582 | 89.54% ±18.9 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 582 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Secretlab TITAN Evo Cloud9 Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/secretlab-titan-evo-cloud9-edition) | 1 in 400 | $690 | 8.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.37× | | [SCUF Reflex CDL Atlanta FaZe 2024 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scuf-reflex-cdl-atlanta-faze-2024) | 1 in 200 | $275 | 6.6% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× | | [SCUF Reflex CDL LA Guerrillas 2024 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scuf-reflex-cdl-la-guerrillas-2024) | 1 in 200 | $275 | 6.6% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× | | [SCUF Instinct Pro CDL Boston Breach 2024 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scuf-instinct-pro-cdl-boston-breach-2024) | 1 in 200 | $262 | 6.3% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× | | [CHERRY XTRFY M68 PRO 8K WIRELESS VITALITY EDITION other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cherry-xtrfy-m68-pro-8k-wireless-vitality-edition) | 1 in 143 | $215 | 7.3% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.49× | | [Team Liquid Sasuke Keycap Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/team-liquid-sasuke-keycap-set) | 1 in 133 | $150 | 5.4% | 7 | 4.4 | 1.60× | | [ESL x Razer Viper Mouse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-x-razer-viper-mouse) | 1 in 80 | $97.50 | 5.9% | 8 | 7.3 | 1.10× | | [NAVI x PUMA 2024 Pro Kit Jersey other](https://gambatracker.com/items/navi-x-puma-2024-pro-kit-jersey) | 1 in 80 | $95.00 | 5.7% | 6 | 7.3 | 0.82× | | [Faze Clan Diamond Pro Jersey 2023 Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/faze-clan-diamond-pro-jersey-2023-black) | 1 in 67 | $75.00 | 5.4% | 11 | 8.7 | 1.26× | | [HEROIC x Joma 2024 Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/heroic-x-joma-2024-jacket) | 1 in 67 | $75.00 | 5.4% | 7 | 8.7 | 0.80× | | [ENCE Player Jersey 2024 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ence-player-jersey-2024) | 1 in 61 | $60.00 | 4.8% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× | | [Mousepad NAVI L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mousepad-navi-l) | 1 in 50 | $35.00 | 3.4% | 11 | 11.6 | 0.95× | | [Pro Grip Kit For Xbox Controllers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pro-grip-kit-for-xbox-controllers) | 1 in 40 | $27.00 | 3.3% | 11 | 14.6 | 0.76× | | [Camiseta Furia Future is Black Pantera Amarela other](https://gambatracker.com/items/camiseta-furia-future-is-black-pantera-amarela) | 1 in 40 | $25.00 | 3.0% | 7 | 14.6 | 0.48× | | [Team Spirit Keychain Key Pro Drop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/team-spirit-keychain-key-pro-drop) | 1 in 33 | $20.00 | 2.9% | 21 | 17.5 | 1.20× | | [SCUF Impact Paddle Replacement Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scuf-impact-paddle-replacement-kit) | 1 in 33 | $20.00 | 2.9% | 22 | 17.5 | 1.26× | | [Navi Logo Sticker Bumper Sticker Vinyl Decal 5"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/navi-logo-sticker-bumper-sticker-vinyl-decal-5) | 38.3% | $5.00 | 9.3% | 230 | 223.1 | 1.03× | | [Spreadshirt G2 Esports Logo Black Lines Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spreadshirt-g2-esports-logo-black-lines-sticker) | 38.3% | $4.00 | 7.4% | 219 | 223.1 | 0.98× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Secretlab TITAN Evo Cloud9 Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/secretlab-titan-evo-cloud9-edition) [GoodLuckHaveFun](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/GoodLuckHaveFun) $23.15 $690 29.81x 2026-11-03 00:33 UTC [Secretlab TITAN Evo Cloud9 Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/secretlab-titan-evo-cloud9-edition) Hidden $23.15 $690 29.81x 2026-11-03 00:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=e-sports-elite) [Spreadshirt G2 Esports Logo Black Lines Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spreadshirt-g2-esports-logo-black-lines-sticker) Hidden $23.15 $4.00 0.17x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [Navi Logo Sticker Bumper Sticker Vinyl Decal 5"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/navi-logo-sticker-bumper-sticker-vinyl-decal-5) Hidden $23.15 $5.00 0.22x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [Navi Logo Sticker Bumper Sticker Vinyl Decal 5"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/navi-logo-sticker-bumper-sticker-vinyl-decal-5) Hidden $23.15 $5.00 0.22x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [Spreadshirt G2 Esports Logo Black Lines Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spreadshirt-g2-esports-logo-black-lines-sticker) Hidden $23.15 $4.00 0.17x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [SCUF Reflex CDL LA Guerrillas 2024 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scuf-reflex-cdl-la-guerrillas-2024) Hidden $23.15 $275 11.88x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [Team Liquid Sasuke Keycap Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/team-liquid-sasuke-keycap-set) [izaivars](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/izaivars) $23.15 $150 6.48x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [Navi Logo Sticker Bumper Sticker Vinyl Decal 5"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/navi-logo-sticker-bumper-sticker-vinyl-decal-5) Hidden $23.15 $5.00 0.22x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [Navi Logo Sticker Bumper Sticker Vinyl Decal 5"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/navi-logo-sticker-bumper-sticker-vinyl-decal-5) Hidden $23.15 $5.00 0.22x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [Navi Logo Sticker Bumper Sticker Vinyl Decal 5"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/navi-logo-sticker-bumper-sticker-vinyl-decal-5) Hidden $23.15 $5.00 0.22x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC [Spreadshirt G2 Esports Logo Black Lines Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spreadshirt-g2-esports-logo-black-lines-sticker) Hidden $23.15 $4.00 0.17x 2026-11-12 11:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $23.15 | 89.46% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $690 (29.81x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.46 on average: an expected loss of $10.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt