--- title: "Eagle Strike Case case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Eagle Strike Case ($205.14) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 9 items with odds, observed 59.31% over 103 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case rendered: 2026-11-11T14:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Eagle Strike Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Eagle Strike Case A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case?window=all) Price · $205.14 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $183.60 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 59.31% · 103 openings, odds method Variance · 9.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 82 openings · below min 30 days · 103 openings · below min since tracking started · 103 openings · below min -0.5% 60.5% 121.5% **Small sample.** 103 openings and 4.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case?window=7d) | 82 | 55.35% ±65.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case) | 103 | 59.31% ±58.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eagle-strike-case?window=all) | 103 | 59.31% ±58.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [1 oz American Gold Eagle Coin BU (Random Year) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-oz-american-gold-eagle-coin-bu-random-year) | 1 in 50 | $3,800 | 41.4% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× | | [NIGHTFORCE NX8-1-8x24mm F1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nightforce-nx8-1-8x24mm-f1) | 1 in 50 | $2,035 | 22.2% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× | | [Trijicon 3.5x35 ACOG Battery Illuminated LED Scope other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trijicon-3-5x35-acog-battery-illuminated-led-scope) | 1 in 50 | $1,355 | 14.8% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× | | [Kith USA Basketball Dream Team Vintage Tee Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-usa-basketball-dream-team-vintage-tee-black-us-m) | 1 in 50 | $602 | 6.6% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× | | [Travis Scott x McDonalds All American 92' Basketball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-all-american-92-basketball) | 1 in 50 | $115 | 1.3% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers Endgame Iron Patriot Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #868 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-marvel-avengers-endgame-iron-patriot-funko-shop-exclusive-figure-868) | 20.0% | $80.00 | 8.7% | 24 | 20.6 | 1.17× | | [Captain America's Shield other](https://gambatracker.com/items/captain-americas-shield) | 20.0% | $44.00 | 4.8% | 16 | 20.6 | 0.78× | | [American Flag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/american-flag) | 25.0% | $2.50 | 0.3% | 31 | 25.8 | 1.20× | | [Kraft American Sliced Cheese other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-american-sliced-cheese) | 25.0% | $0.12 | 0.0% | 27 | 25.8 | 1.05× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [1 oz American Gold Eagle Coin BU (Random Year) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-oz-american-gold-eagle-coin-bu-random-year) Hidden $205 $3,800 18.52x 2026-11-06 06:36 UTC [NIGHTFORCE NX8-1-8x24mm F1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nightforce-nx8-1-8x24mm-f1) Hidden $205 $2,035 9.92x 2026-11-07 13:37 UTC [NIGHTFORCE NX8-1-8x24mm F1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nightforce-nx8-1-8x24mm-f1) Hidden $205 $2,035 9.92x 2026-11-04 14:23 UTC [Trijicon 3.5x35 ACOG Battery Illuminated LED Scope other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trijicon-3-5x35-acog-battery-illuminated-led-scope) Hidden $205 $1,355 6.61x 2026-11-05 13:27 UTC [Kith USA Basketball Dream Team Vintage Tee Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-usa-basketball-dream-team-vintage-tee-black-us-m) Hidden $205 $602 2.93x 2026-11-03 02:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=eagle-strike-case) [Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers Endgame Iron Patriot Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #868 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-marvel-avengers-endgame-iron-patriot-funko-shop-exclusive-figure-868) Hidden $205 $80.00 0.39x 2026-11-09 19:54 UTC [American Flag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/american-flag) Hidden $205 $2.50 0.01x 2026-11-09 19:54 UTC [Kraft American Sliced Cheese other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-american-sliced-cheese) Hidden $205 $0.12 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:54 UTC [American Flag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/american-flag) Hidden $205 $2.50 0.01x 2026-11-09 19:54 UTC [Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers Endgame Iron Patriot Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #868 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-marvel-avengers-endgame-iron-patriot-funko-shop-exclusive-figure-868) Hidden $205 $80.00 0.39x 2026-11-09 19:54 UTC [Captain America's Shield other](https://gambatracker.com/items/captain-americas-shield) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $205 $44.00 0.21x 2026-11-09 19:54 UTC [NIGHTFORCE NX8-1-8x24mm F1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nightforce-nx8-1-8x24mm-f1) Hidden $205 $2,035 9.92x 2026-11-07 13:37 UTC [American Flag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/american-flag) Hidden $205 $2.50 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:37 UTC [Funko Pop! Marvel Avengers Endgame Iron Patriot Funko Shop Exclusive Figure #868 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-marvel-avengers-endgame-iron-patriot-funko-shop-exclusive-figure-868) Hidden $205 $80.00 0.39x 2026-11-07 13:37 UTC [Kraft American Sliced Cheese other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kraft-american-sliced-cheese) Hidden $205 $0.12 0.00x 2026-11-07 13:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $205 | 89.50% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $3,800 (18.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt