--- title: "Easter Basket case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Easter Basket ($16.72) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.46% from 13 items with odds, observed 65.12% over 91 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket rendered: 2026-11-13T01:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Easter Basket](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Easter Basket A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket?window=all) Price · $16.72 Advertised RTP · 89.46% · EV $14.96 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 65.12% · 91 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 47 openings · below min 30 days · 91 openings · below min since tracking started · 91 openings · below min -0.5% 76.0% 152.5% **Small sample.** 91 openings and 12.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket?window=24h) | 12 | 71.27% ±80.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket?window=7d) | 47 | 69.22% ±40.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket) | 91 | 65.12% ±29.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/easter-basket?window=all) | 91 | 65.12% ±29.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 91 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Squishmallow Easter Exclusive Axolotl Set 5 Inch (Set Of 3) Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squishmallow-easter-exclusive-axolotl-set-5-inch-set-of-3-plush) | 1 in 100 | $180 | 12.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Stanley Easter Flowstate Quencher 40oz Tumbler Pastel Pop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stanley-easter-flowstate-quencher-40oz-tumbler-pastel-pop) | 1 in 50 | $93.00 | 12.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× | | [Medicom 2016 Easter Rabbrick 100% Orange other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicom-2016-easter-rabbrick-100-orange) | 1 in 33 | $65.00 | 13.0% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [Medicom 2016 Easter Rabbrick 100% Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicom-2016-easter-rabbrick-100-blue) | 1 in 33 | $53.00 | 10.6% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× | | [LEGO Creator 3 in 1 Cute Bunny Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-creator-3-in-1-cute-bunny-toy) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 6.7% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.88× | | [Lindt GOLD BUNNY Milk Chocolate & Milk Chocolate Candy with Hazelnut Carrot Sticks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lindt-gold-bunny-milk-chocolate-and-milk-chocolate-candy-with-hazelnut-carrot-sticks) | 1 in 20 | $15.00 | 5.0% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.10× | | [M&M'S Easter Milk Chocolate Candies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/m-and-ms-easter-milk-chocolate-candies) | 1 in 20 | $13.00 | 4.3% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× | | [Melissa & Doug Burrow Bunny Rabbit Stuffed Animal other](https://gambatracker.com/items/melissa-and-doug-burrow-bunny-rabbit-stuffed-animal) | 1 in 20 | $13.00 | 4.3% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.54× | | [Natural Earth Paint Egg Dye Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/natural-earth-paint-egg-dye-kit) | 1 in 20 | $11.95 | 4.0% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.10× | | [Peeps Marshmallow Bunnies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/peeps-marshmallow-bunnies) | 10.0% | $10.00 | 6.7% | 8 | 9.1 | 0.88× | | [MBL Easter Basket Essentials Stuffers Duck other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mbl-easter-basket-essentials-stuffers-duck) | 10.0% | $10.00 | 6.7% | 11 | 9.1 | 1.21× | | [27 Easter Sticker Sheets other](https://gambatracker.com/items/27-easter-sticker-sheets) | 20.0% | $6.00 | 8.0% | 19 | 18.2 | 1.04× | | [SOUR PATCH KIDS Bunnies Soft & Chewy Easter Candy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sour-patch-kids-bunnies-soft-and-chewy-easter-candy) | 26.0% | $3.50 | 6.1% | 26 | 23.7 | 1.10× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 23:42 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=easter-basket) [SOUR PATCH KIDS Bunnies Soft & Chewy Easter Candy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sour-patch-kids-bunnies-soft-and-chewy-easter-candy) Hidden $16.72 $3.50 0.21x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [SOUR PATCH KIDS Bunnies Soft & Chewy Easter Candy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sour-patch-kids-bunnies-soft-and-chewy-easter-candy) Hidden $16.72 $3.50 0.21x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [27 Easter Sticker Sheets other](https://gambatracker.com/items/27-easter-sticker-sheets) Hidden $16.72 $6.00 0.36x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [27 Easter Sticker Sheets other](https://gambatracker.com/items/27-easter-sticker-sheets) Hidden $16.72 $6.00 0.36x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [SOUR PATCH KIDS Bunnies Soft & Chewy Easter Candy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sour-patch-kids-bunnies-soft-and-chewy-easter-candy) Hidden $16.72 $3.50 0.21x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [Medicom 2016 Easter Rabbrick 100% Orange other](https://gambatracker.com/items/medicom-2016-easter-rabbrick-100-orange) Hidden $16.72 $65.00 3.89x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [Peeps Marshmallow Bunnies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/peeps-marshmallow-bunnies) Hidden $16.72 $10.00 0.60x 2026-11-12 04:50 UTC [Peeps Marshmallow Bunnies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/peeps-marshmallow-bunnies) Hidden $16.72 $10.00 0.60x 2026-11-12 04:50 UTC [SOUR PATCH KIDS Bunnies Soft & Chewy Easter Candy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sour-patch-kids-bunnies-soft-and-chewy-easter-candy) Hidden $16.72 $3.50 0.21x 2026-11-12 04:50 UTC [Melissa & Doug Burrow Bunny Rabbit Stuffed Animal other](https://gambatracker.com/items/melissa-and-doug-burrow-bunny-rabbit-stuffed-animal) Hidden $16.72 $13.00 0.78x 2026-11-12 04:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.72 | 89.46% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.46 on average: an expected loss of $10.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt