--- title: "Eggstremely Fresh case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Eggstremely Fresh ($151.39) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds, observed 75.37% over 51 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh rendered: 2026-11-13T02:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Eggstremely Fresh](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Eggstremely Fresh A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh?window=all) Price · $151.39 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $135.49 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.37% · 51 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 51 openings · below min since tracking started · 51 openings · below min 29.5% 76.3% 123.0% **Small sample.** 51 openings and 6.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh?window=7d) | 30 | 76.27% ±45.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh) | 51 | 75.37% ±35.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/eggstremely-fresh?window=all) | 51 | 75.37% ±35.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 51 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton Mini Pochette Accessories LV Escale Pastel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-mini-pochette-accessories-lv-escale-pastel) | 1 in 200 | $1,662 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Nike Air Max 270 Easter (2020) US W 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-max-270-easter-2020-us-w-8) | 1 in 67 | $750 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [T by Alexander Wang Essential Terry Puff Paint Crewneck Sweatshirt Easter Egg/Purple US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/t-by-alexander-wang-essential-terry-puff-paint-crewneck-sweatshirt-easter-egg-purple-us-l) | 1 in 50 | $660 | 9.7% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Kith for Lucky Charms Bandana Williams III Hoodie US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-for-lucky-charms-bandana-williams-iii-hoodie-us-m) | 1 in 40 | $470 | 8.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [Nike Dunk Low SE Easter Candy US W 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-se-easter-candy-us-w-7) | 1 in 29 | $450 | 11.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.12× | | [Jordan 5 Retro Easter (2022) US M 8.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-5-retro-easter-2022-us-m-8-5) | 1 in 33 | $385 | 8.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.96× | | [Jordan 1 Low Pastel Purple US W 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-low-pastel-purple-us-w-7) | 10.0% | $190 | 14.0% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.76× | | [Nike Air VaporMax Plus Easter (2020) US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-vapormax-plus-easter-2020-us-w-6) | 1 in 25 | $150 | 4.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× | | [Nike KD 4 Easter (2025) EU 44 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-kd-4-easter-2025-eu-44) | 1 in 25 | $130 | 3.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× | | [Jordan 1 Mid SEPastel Vivid Green Grind (GS) US 6 Y other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-mid-sepastel-vivid-green-grind-gs-us-6-y) | 10.0% | $100 | 7.4% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.37× | | [New Era Chicago Cubs Capsule Easter Collection Wrigley Field 59Fifty Fitted Hat Green/Lavender container](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-era-chicago-cubs-capsule-easter-collection-wrigley-field-59fifty-fitted-hat-green-lavender) | 20.0% | $94.00 | 13.9% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.88× | | [STANCE Women's Infiknit Spring Free Tab Ankle Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stance-womens-infiknit-spring-free-tab-ankle-socks) | 39.0% | $12.00 | 3.5% | 19 | 19.9 | 0.96× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 23:42 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=eggstremely-fresh) [STANCE Women's Infiknit Spring Free Tab Ankle Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stance-womens-infiknit-spring-free-tab-ankle-socks) Hidden $151 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [Jordan 1 Low Pastel Purple US W 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-low-pastel-purple-us-w-7) Hidden $151 $190 1.26x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [Jordan 1 Low Pastel Purple US W 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-low-pastel-purple-us-w-7) Hidden $151 $190 1.26x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [STANCE Women's Infiknit Spring Free Tab Ankle Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stance-womens-infiknit-spring-free-tab-ankle-socks) Hidden $151 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [STANCE Women's Infiknit Spring Free Tab Ankle Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stance-womens-infiknit-spring-free-tab-ankle-socks) Hidden $151 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [Jordan 1 Mid SEPastel Vivid Green Grind (GS) US 6 Y other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-mid-sepastel-vivid-green-grind-gs-us-6-y) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $151 $100 0.66x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [STANCE Women's Infiknit Spring Free Tab Ankle Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stance-womens-infiknit-spring-free-tab-ankle-socks) Hidden $151 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 18:51 UTC [Nike Dunk Low SE Easter Candy US W 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-se-easter-candy-us-w-7) Hidden $151 $450 2.97x 2026-11-10 18:51 UTC [STANCE Women's Infiknit Spring Free Tab Ankle Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stance-womens-infiknit-spring-free-tab-ankle-socks) Hidden $151 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 18:51 UTC [Jordan 1 Mid SEPastel Vivid Green Grind (GS) US 6 Y other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-mid-sepastel-vivid-green-grind-gs-us-6-y) Hidden $151 $100 0.66x 2026-11-10 18:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $151 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt