--- title: "Fashion Fortunes case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fashion Fortunes ($208.82) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 17 items with odds, observed 117.03% over 126 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes rendered: 2026-11-13T02:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Fashion Fortunes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Fashion Fortunes A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes?window=all) Price · $208.82 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $186.89 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 117.03% · 126 openings, odds method Variance · 14.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 48 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 96 openings · below min 30 days · 126 openings · below min since tracking started · 126 openings · below min -0.5% 115.8% 232.0% **Small sample.** 126 openings and 2.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes?window=24h) | 18 | 58.42% ±173.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes?window=7d) | 96 | 139.77% ±74.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes) | 126 | 117.03% ±65.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fashion-fortunes?window=all) | 126 | 117.03% ±65.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 126 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Chanel Mini Classic Flap Bag Pink (A69900) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-classic-flap-bag-pink-a69900) | 1 in 1,000 | $10K | 5.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Dior x CACTUS JACK Hit The Road Backpack Coffee Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-cactus-jack-hit-the-road-backpack-coffee-brown) | 1 in 500 | $8,085 | 8.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Saint Laurent Denim-Style Lambskin Leather Jacket Black (EU 48) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-denim-style-lambskin-leather-jacket-black-eu-48) | 1 in 333 | $6,599 | 10.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Gucci Horsebit Chain Medium Shoulder Bag Beige/Ebony other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-horsebit-chain-medium-shoulder-bag-beige-ebony) | 1 in 313 | $6,120 | 10.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Dior Medium Book Tote Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-medium-book-tote-blue) | 1 in 294 | $4,619 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Burberry Vintage Check Shirt Jacket Beige (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-vintage-check-shirt-jacket-beige-us-xs) | 1 in 238 | $2,310 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Slender Wallet Epi Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-slender-wallet-epi-red) | 1 in 250 | $2,000 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Dior x Stone Island Oversized Fit T-Shirt Black (XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-stone-island-oversized-fit-t-shirt-black-xl) | 1 in 217 | $1,840 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Supreme Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Black (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-black-us-s) | 1 in 227 | $1,820 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Burberry Check Cotton Jacquard Polo Shirt Archive Beige (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-check-cotton-jacquard-polo-shirt-archive-beige-us-xs) | 1 in 204 | $1,308 | 3.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [Balenciaga Cities Paris Explorer Nylon Belt Bag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-cities-paris-explorer-nylon-belt-bag-black) | 1 in 196 | $942 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Burberry Horseferry Print Cotton Oversized T-shirt Black White (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-horseferry-print-cotton-oversized-t-shirt-black-white-us-xs) | 1 in 200 | $840 | 2.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Dior x CACTUS JACK Shirt White/Red (EU 50) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-cactus-jack-shirt-white-red-eu-50) | 1 in 192 | $640 | 1.8% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [Saint Laurent Nuxx Nylon Logo Print Wallet Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-nuxx-nylon-logo-print-wallet-black) | 1 in 179 | $541 | 1.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Versace Greca Bi-Fold Wallet Black/Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/versace-greca-bi-fold-wallet-black-blue) | 1 in 167 | $440 | 1.4% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-l) | 25.0% | $56.00 | 7.5% | 34 | 31.5 | 1.08× | | [KAWS x Uniqlo UT Short Sleeve Graphic T-shirt White (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-ut-short-sleeve-graphic-t-shirt-white-us-xl) | 68.8% | $48.00 | 17.7% | 80 | 86.7 | 0.92× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Chanel Mini Classic Flap Bag Pink (A69900) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-classic-flap-bag-pink-a69900) Hidden $209 $10K 47.94x 2026-11-08 20:08 UTC [Gucci Horsebit Chain Medium Shoulder Bag Beige/Ebony other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-horsebit-chain-medium-shoulder-bag-beige-ebony) Hidden $209 $6,120 29.31x 2026-11-07 12:58 UTC [Supreme Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Black (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-black-us-s) Hidden $209 $1,820 8.72x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Burberry Check Cotton Jacquard Polo Shirt Archive Beige (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-check-cotton-jacquard-polo-shirt-archive-beige-us-xs) Hidden $209 $1,308 6.26x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [Burberry Check Cotton Jacquard Polo Shirt Archive Beige (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-check-cotton-jacquard-polo-shirt-archive-beige-us-xs) Hidden $209 $1,308 6.26x 2026-11-08 20:09 UTC [Balenciaga Cities Paris Explorer Nylon Belt Bag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-cities-paris-explorer-nylon-belt-bag-black) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $209 $942 4.51x 2026-11-08 20:08 UTC [Burberry Horseferry Print Cotton Oversized T-shirt Black White (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-horseferry-print-cotton-oversized-t-shirt-black-white-us-xs) Hidden $209 $840 4.02x 2026-11-08 20:08 UTC [Dior x CACTUS JACK Shirt White/Red (EU 50) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-cactus-jack-shirt-white-red-eu-50) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $209 $640 3.06x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Dior x CACTUS JACK Shirt White/Red (EU 50) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-cactus-jack-shirt-white-red-eu-50) Hidden $209 $640 3.06x 2026-11-08 20:06 UTC [Saint Laurent Nuxx Nylon Logo Print Wallet Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-nuxx-nylon-logo-print-wallet-black) [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chavlin%20Exer) $209 $541 2.59x 2026-11-04 14:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=fashion-fortunes) [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-l) Hidden $209 $56.00 0.27x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-l) Hidden $209 $56.00 0.27x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-l) Hidden $209 $56.00 0.27x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-l) Hidden $209 $56.00 0.27x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-l) Hidden $209 $56.00 0.27x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-l) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $209 $56.00 0.27x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo UT Short Sleeve Graphic T-shirt White (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-ut-short-sleeve-graphic-t-shirt-white-us-xl) Hidden $209 $48.00 0.23x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo UT Short Sleeve Graphic T-shirt White (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-ut-short-sleeve-graphic-t-shirt-white-us-xl) Hidden $209 $48.00 0.23x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo UT Short Sleeve Graphic T-shirt White (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-ut-short-sleeve-graphic-t-shirt-white-us-xl) Hidden $209 $48.00 0.23x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC [Burberry Check Cotton Jacquard Polo Shirt Archive Beige (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-check-cotton-jacquard-polo-shirt-archive-beige-us-xs) Hidden $209 $1,308 6.26x 2026-11-12 19:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $209 | 89.50% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $10K (47.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt