--- title: "FC25 Starter Pack case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "FC25 Starter Pack ($28.59) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 93.02% over 2,361 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack rendered: 2026-11-11T14:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [FC25 Starter Pack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · FC25 Starter Pack A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack?window=all) Price · $28.59 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $25.58 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.02% · 2,361 openings, odds method Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 93.57% ±12.10 2,202 openings 30 days · 93.02% ±11.68 2,361 openings since tracking started · 93.02% ±11.68 2,361 openings -0.5% 69.8% 140.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack?window=24h) | 42 | 51.98% ±87.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack?window=7d) | 2,202 | 93.57% ±12.1 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack) | 2,361 | 93.02% ±11.7 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fc25-starter-pack?window=all) | 2,361 | 93.02% ±11.7 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,361 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) | 1 in 500 | $1,073 | 8.4% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.69× | | [2023-24 Panini Select FIFA Soccer Hobby Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-24-panini-select-fifa-soccer-hobby-box) | 1 in 333 | $750 | 8.8% | 3 | 7.1 | 0.42× | | [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 500k other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-500k) | 1 in 250 | $537 | 8.4% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× | | [2021-22 Panini Score FIFA Soccer Retail Box (European Exclusive) 4x Lot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2021-22-panini-score-fifa-soccer-retail-box-european-exclusive-4x-lot) | 1 in 200 | $389 | 7.6% | 11 | 11.8 | 0.93× | | [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 200k other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-200k) | 1 in 133 | $225 | 6.6% | 20 | 17.7 | 1.13× | | [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 18500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-18500) | 1 in 100 | $165 | 6.4% | 29 | 23.6 | 1.23× | | [2022 Panini Prizm FIFA World Cup Qatar Soccer Blaster Box 2x Lot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-panini-prizm-fifa-world-cup-qatar-soccer-blaster-box-2x-lot) | 1 in 100 | $155 | 6.1% | 28 | 23.6 | 1.19× | | [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 12000 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-12000) | 1 in 100 | $120 | 4.7% | 22 | 23.6 | 0.93× | | [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 100k other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-100k) | 1 in 100 | $115 | 4.5% | 30 | 23.6 | 1.27× | | [EA SPORTS FC 25 \| Ultimate Edition (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-ultimate-edition-pc-steam-account-global) | 1 in 67 | $87.30 | 5.1% | 36 | 35.4 | 1.02× | | [EA SPORTS FC 25 (Xbox Series X/S) - Xbox Live Key - EUROPE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-xbox-series-x-s-xbox-live-key-europe) | 1 in 67 | $86.17 | 5.1% | 40 | 35.4 | 1.13× | | [EA SPORTS FC 25 (Xbox Series X/S) - Xbox Live Key - UNITED STATES other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-xbox-series-x-s-xbox-live-key-united-states) | 1 in 67 | $77.04 | 4.5% | 35 | 35.4 | 0.99× | | [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 5900 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-5900) | 1 in 50 | $54.99 | 4.3% | 42 | 47.2 | 0.89× | | [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 2800 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-2800) | 1 in 20 | $27.49 | 5.4% | 117 | 118.1 | 0.99× | | [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 1600 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-1600) | 1 in 20 | $14.99 | 2.9% | 96 | 118.1 | 0.81× | | [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 1050 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-1050) | 12.3% | $9.99 | 4.8% | 304 | 291.6 | 1.04× | | [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-500) | 25.0% | $4.99 | 4.9% | 583 | 590.3 | 0.99× | | [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-100) | 40.0% | $0.99 | 1.5% | 948 | 944.4 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) Hidden $28.59 $1,073 37.52x 2026-11-07 18:08 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) Hidden $28.59 $1,073 37.52x 2026-11-07 18:01 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) Hidden $28.59 $1,073 37.52x 2026-11-07 04:08 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) Hidden $28.59 $1,073 37.52x 2026-11-07 01:20 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) Hidden $28.59 $1,073 37.52x 2026-11-07 01:10 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) Hidden $28.59 $1,073 37.52x 2026-11-06 22:33 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) Hidden $28.59 $1,073 37.52x 2026-11-06 22:25 UTC [EA SPORTS FC 25 Coins (PC) 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-coins-pc-1m) Hidden $28.59 $1,073 37.52x 2026-11-04 14:42 UTC [2023-24 Panini Select FIFA Soccer Hobby Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-24-panini-select-fifa-soccer-hobby-box) Hidden $28.59 $750 26.24x 2026-11-07 05:54 UTC [2023-24 Panini Select FIFA Soccer Hobby Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-24-panini-select-fifa-soccer-hobby-box) Hidden $28.59 $750 26.24x 2026-11-07 04:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=fc25-starter-pack) [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-500) Hidden $28.59 $4.99 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [2022 Panini Prizm FIFA World Cup Qatar Soccer Blaster Box 2x Lot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-panini-prizm-fifa-world-cup-qatar-soccer-blaster-box-2x-lot) Hidden $28.59 $155 5.42x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-500) Hidden $28.59 $4.99 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-100) Hidden $28.59 $0.99 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-100) Hidden $28.59 $0.99 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-500) [jesse42](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/jesse42) $28.59 $4.99 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [2022 Panini Prizm FIFA World Cup Qatar Soccer Blaster Box 2x Lot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-panini-prizm-fifa-world-cup-qatar-soccer-blaster-box-2x-lot) Hidden $28.59 $155 5.42x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-100) Hidden $28.59 $0.99 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-500) Hidden $28.59 $4.99 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC [EA SPORTS FC™ 25 - FC Points (PS) 500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-fc-25-fc-points-ps-500) Hidden $28.59 $4.99 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $28.59 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,073 (37.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt