---
title: "FIFA case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "FIFA ($27.68) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 92.96% over 160 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [FIFA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · FIFA

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa?window=all)

Price · $27.68

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $24.77 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.96% · 160 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 95.09% ±29.38 153 openings

30 days · 92.96% ±28.73 160 openings

since tracking started · 92.96% ±28.73 160 openings

-0.5% 110.8% 222.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa?window=24h) | 6 | 72.86% ±148.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa?window=7d) | 153 | 95.09% ±29.4 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa) | 160 | 92.96% ±28.7 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fifa?window=all) | 160 | 92.96% ±28.7 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 160 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [PlayStation®5 console (slim) with EA SPORTS College Football 25 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-console-slim-with-ea-sports-college-football-25) | 1 in 250 | $630 | 10.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [150mm Licensed Replica Jules Rimet Trophy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/150mm-licensed-replica-jules-rimet-trophy) | 1 in 100 | $300 | 12.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Logofractor Edition Factory Sealed Mega Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-topps-chrome-baseball-logofractor-edition-factory-sealed-mega-box) | 1 in 57 | $120 | 8.5% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× |
| [70mm Argentina FIFA World Cup™ Champions Replica Trophy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/70mm-argentina-fifa-world-cup-champions-replica-trophy) | 1 in 50 | $70.00 | 5.7% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× |
| [FIFA World Cup Poster Italy 1934 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fifa-world-cup-poster-italy-1934) | 1 in 35 | $45.00 | 5.2% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.88× |
| [Panini World Cup 1970-2022 Book other](https://gambatracker.com/items/panini-world-cup-1970-2022-book) | 1 in 33 | $40.00 | 4.8% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× |
| [Panini World Cup 1970-2018 Book other](https://gambatracker.com/items/panini-world-cup-1970-2018-book) | 1 in 33 | $40.00 | 4.8% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× |
| [2022 World Cup USA Blue Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-world-cup-usa-blue-backpack) | 1 in 31 | $35.00 | 4.6% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.96× |
| [The Official History Of The FIFA World Cup other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-official-history-of-the-fifa-world-cup) | 1 in 31 | $32.00 | 4.2% | 6 | 5.2 | 1.15× |
| [World Cup 2022 Portugal Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/world-cup-2022-portugal-scarf) | 1 in 31 | $30.00 | 3.9% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.77× |
| [FIFAe World Cup Cap other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fifae-world-cup-cap) | 1 in 31 | $30.00 | 3.9% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.58× |
| [FIFAe Nations Cup Dual Flip Top Flask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fifae-nations-cup-dual-flip-top-flask) | 1 in 25 | $26.00 | 4.2% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× |
| [Women's World Cup 2023 Tazuni Mascot Plush Toy - Small other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womens-world-cup-2023-tazuni-mascot-plush-toy-small) | 1 in 25 | $25.00 | 4.0% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.94× |
| [2022 Qatar World Cup L.O.L Surprise Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-qatar-world-cup-l-o-l-surprise-ball) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 4.0% | 9 | 8.0 | 1.12× |
| [adidas Oceaunz Mini Football - Size 1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-oceaunz-mini-football-size-1) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 4.0% | 5 | 8.0 | 0.62× |
| [FIFA Water Bottle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fifa-water-bottle) | 1 in 13 | $12.00 | 3.6% | 15 | 12.0 | 1.25× |
| [Women's World Cup 2023 Coloured Logo Keyring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womens-world-cup-2023-coloured-logo-keyring) | 12.5% | $10.00 | 5.0% | 20 | 20.0 | 1.00× |
| [Women's World Cup 2023 Floating Footballs Pen other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womens-world-cup-2023-floating-footballs-pen) | 35.0% | $5.00 | 7.1% | 62 | 56.0 | 1.11× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[PlayStation®5 console (slim) with EA SPORTS College Football 25 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-console-slim-with-ea-sports-college-football-25) Hidden $27.68 $630 22.76x 2026-11-06 13:24 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=fifa)

[adidas Oceaunz Mini Football - Size 1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-oceaunz-mini-football-size-1) Hidden $27.68 $20.00 0.72x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC

[Women's World Cup 2023 Coloured Logo Keyring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womens-world-cup-2023-coloured-logo-keyring) Hidden $27.68 $10.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC

[FIFAe Nations Cup Dual Flip Top Flask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fifae-nations-cup-dual-flip-top-flask) Hidden $27.68 $26.00 0.94x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC

[Women's World Cup 2023 Floating Footballs Pen other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womens-world-cup-2023-floating-footballs-pen) Hidden $27.68 $5.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC

[Panini World Cup 1970-2018 Book other](https://gambatracker.com/items/panini-world-cup-1970-2018-book) Hidden $27.68 $40.00 1.45x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC

[2022 Qatar World Cup L.O.L Surprise Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-qatar-world-cup-l-o-l-surprise-ball) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $27.68 $20.00 0.72x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC

[Women's World Cup 2023 Coloured Logo Keyring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womens-world-cup-2023-coloured-logo-keyring) Hidden $27.68 $10.00 0.36x 2026-11-09 05:36 UTC

[Panini World Cup 1970-2022 Book other](https://gambatracker.com/items/panini-world-cup-1970-2022-book) Hidden $27.68 $40.00 1.45x 2026-11-09 05:36 UTC

[Women's World Cup 2023 Floating Footballs Pen other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womens-world-cup-2023-floating-footballs-pen) Hidden $27.68 $5.00 0.18x 2026-11-09 05:36 UTC

[Women's World Cup 2023 Floating Footballs Pen other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womens-world-cup-2023-floating-footballs-pen) Hidden $27.68 $5.00 0.18x 2026-11-09 05:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.68 | 89.49% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $630 (22.76x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt