--- title: "Floral case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Floral ($436.27) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 38.97% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral rendered: 2026-11-12T09:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Floral](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Floral A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral?window=all) Price · $436.27 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $390.46 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 38.97% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 138.0% 276.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral?window=7d) | 6 | 38.97% ±236.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral) | 6 | 38.97% ±236.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/floral?window=all) | 6 | 38.97% ±236.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Chanel 22 Handbag Mini 23K Shiny Grained Calfskin Coral Pink other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-22-handbag-mini-23k-shiny-grained-calfskin-coral-pink) | 1 in 400 | $17.9K | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Women's Floral Embroidered Leather Jacket Blue US 36 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-womens-floral-embroidered-leather-jacket-blue-us-36) | 1 in 400 | $16.3K | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Small Coolbag Coral other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-small-coolbag-coral) | 1 in 200 | $6,415 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Floral Patterned Pleated Skirt IT 42 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-floral-patterned-pleated-skirt-it-42) | 1 in 100 | $1,722 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [OFF-WHITE Floral Print Belted Dress IT 40 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-floral-print-belted-dress-it-40) | 1 in 100 | $1,619 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Palace Sprinter Jacket Floral Camo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palace-sprinter-jacket-floral-camo) | 1 in 33 | $900 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Hunter PLAY Short Rain Boots LoveShackFancy Pink Floral Print (Women's) US W 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hunter-play-short-rain-boots-loveshackfancy-pink-floral-print-womens-us-w-8) | 1 in 50 | $650 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Supreme The North Face Trekking Convertible Jacket US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-the-north-face-trekking-convertible-jacket-us-m) | 1 in 50 | $550 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Takashi Murakami Flower Plush 60CM Light Pink/Yellow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/takashi-murakami-flower-plush-60cm-light-pink-yellow) | 1 in 33 | $460 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme The North Face Trekking S/S Shirt US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-the-north-face-trekking-s-s-shirt-us-m) | 1 in 50 | $452 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Vans Authentic 44 DX Sandy Liang Floral US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vans-authentic-44-dx-sandy-liang-floral-us-m-10) | 1 in 20 | $425 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [adidas Gazelle Indoor Liberty London Floral Embroidery (Women's) US M 6.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-gazelle-indoor-liberty-london-floral-embroidery-womens-us-m-6-5) | 1 in 20 | $360 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Nike KD 14 Floral US M 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-kd-14-floral-us-m-8) | 27.0% | $235 | 16.3% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.85× | | [Nike Killshot 2 Floral Sail Olive Aura US M 11.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-killshot-2-floral-sail-olive-aura-us-m-11-5) | 1 in 20 | $195 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Jordan 12 Retro Floral (GS) US 5.5Y other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-12-retro-floral-gs-us-5-5y) | 10.0% | $180 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Nike KD 7 EXT Floral US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-kd-7-ext-floral-us-m-9) | 1 in 33 | $135 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme Floral Jacquard Camp Cap other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-floral-jacquard-camp-cap) | 20.0% | $105 | 5.4% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× | | [adidas Gazelle Liberty London Floral Embroidery (GS) US 7Y other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-gazelle-liberty-london-floral-embroidery-gs-us-7y) | 10.0% | $100 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=floral) [Supreme Floral Jacquard Camp Cap other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-floral-jacquard-camp-cap) Hidden $436 $105 0.24x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC [Supreme Floral Jacquard Camp Cap other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-floral-jacquard-camp-cap) Hidden $436 $105 0.24x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC [Supreme Floral Jacquard Camp Cap other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-floral-jacquard-camp-cap) Hidden $436 $105 0.24x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC [Nike KD 14 Floral US M 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-kd-14-floral-us-m-8) Hidden $436 $235 0.54x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC [Nike KD 14 Floral US M 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-kd-14-floral-us-m-8) Hidden $436 $235 0.54x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC [Nike KD 14 Floral US M 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-kd-14-floral-us-m-8) [Oliveira16](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oliveira16) $436 $235 0.54x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $436 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt