--- title: "Fluffy case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fluffy ($12.38) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.45% from 18 items with odds, observed 106.35% over 409 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy rendered: 2026-11-11T15:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Fluffy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Fluffy A box on Cases.gg (Pets), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy?window=all) Price · $12.38 Advertised RTP · 89.45% · EV $11.07 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 106.35% · 409 openings, odds method Variance · 7.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 109.95% ±26.48 383 openings 30 days · 106.35% ±25.63 409 openings since tracking started · 106.35% ±25.63 409 openings -0.5% 68.3% 137.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy?window=24h) | 28 | 35.22% ±97.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy?window=7d) | 383 | 109.95% ±26.5 | +1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy) | 409 | 106.35% ±25.6 | +1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fluffy?window=all) | 409 | 106.35% ±25.6 | +1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 409 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Pet GG coat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-gg-coat) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,023 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Pet Wool Blend Sweater other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-wool-blend-sweater) | 1 in 1,000 | $506 | 4.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Pet Carrier other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-carrier) | 1 in 200 | $115 | 5.2% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.44× | | [iCrate Dog Crate Starter Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/icrate-dog-crate-starter-kit) | 1 in 133 | $96.00 | 6.5% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× | | [Dog Bark Deterrent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-bark-deterrent) | 1 in 40 | $66.00 | 14.9% | 10 | 10.2 | 0.98× | | [Dog Bed other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-bed) | 1 in 100 | $62.00 | 5.6% | 10 | 4.1 | 2.44× | | [Large Dog Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/large-dog-sunglasses) | 1 in 33 | $37.39 | 10.1% | 18 | 12.3 | 1.47× | | [Dog Life Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-life-jacket) | 1 in 33 | $30.54 | 8.3% | 9 | 12.3 | 0.73× | | [Pet First Aid Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-first-aid-kit) | 1 in 33 | $25.44 | 6.9% | 13 | 12.3 | 1.06× | | [Flopping Fish Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/flopping-fish-toy) | 1 in 20 | $16.99 | 7.7% | 13 | 20.5 | 0.64× | | [Blanket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/blanket) | 1 in 20 | $16.00 | 7.2% | 26 | 20.5 | 1.27× | | [Stuffed Animal other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stuffed-animal) | 1 in 20 | $12.99 | 5.9% | 16 | 20.5 | 0.78× | | [Pet Shampoo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-shampoo) | 1 in 20 | $8.00 | 3.6% | 25 | 20.5 | 1.22× | | [Water Bowl other](https://gambatracker.com/items/water-bowl) | 1 in 17 | $6.00 | 3.3% | 20 | 24.5 | 0.81× | | [Nail Clippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nail-clippers) | 1 in 14 | $4.00 | 2.5% | 31 | 28.6 | 1.08× | | [Dog Leash other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-leash) | 1 in 12 | $3.50 | 2.6% | 41 | 33.1 | 1.24× | | [Dog Treat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-treat) | 15.0% | $0.25 | 0.3% | 54 | 61.3 | 0.88× | | [Kibble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kibble) | 30.0% | $0.10 | 0.3% | 114 | 122.7 | 0.93× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Pet Wool Blend Sweater other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-wool-blend-sweater) [pest USE CODE PEST](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/pest%20USE%20CODE%20PEST) $12.38 $506 40.87x 2026-11-07 19:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=fluffy) [Kibble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kibble) Hidden $12.38 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC [Dog Leash other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-leash) Hidden $12.38 $3.50 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC [Kibble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kibble) Hidden $12.38 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC [Dog Treat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dog-treat) [Nic21](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nic21) $12.38 $0.25 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC [Pet Shampoo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pet-shampoo) Hidden $12.38 $8.00 0.65x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [Kibble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kibble) Hidden $12.38 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [Kibble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kibble) Hidden $12.38 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [Nail Clippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nail-clippers) Hidden $12.38 $4.00 0.32x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [Stuffed Animal other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stuffed-animal) Hidden $12.38 $12.99 1.05x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [Kibble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kibble) [Majestic Unicorn](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Majestic%20Unicorn) $12.38 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.38 | 89.45% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $506 (40.87x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.45 on average: an expected loss of $10.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt