--- title: "Forest Folk case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Forest Folk ($15.93) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 18 items with odds, observed 105.73% over 367 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk rendered: 2026-11-12T03:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Forest Folk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Forest Folk A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk?window=all) Price · $15.93 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $14.25 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.73% · 367 openings, odds method Variance · 7.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 107.37% ±27.93 345 openings 30 days · 105.73% ±27.08 367 openings since tracking started · 105.73% ±27.08 367 openings -0.5% 123.5% 247.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk?window=24h) | 10 | 82.83% ±164.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk?window=7d) | 345 | 107.37% ±27.9 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk) | 367 | 105.73% ±27.1 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/forest-folk?window=all) | 367 | 105.73% ±27.1 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 367 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Llanowar Elves (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/llanowar-elves-v-2) | 1 in 100 | $292 | 20.4% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.36× | | [Llanowar Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/llanowar-elves) | 1 in 33 | $159 | 33.5% | 12 | 11.0 | 1.09× | | [Duel Decks: Elves vs. Goblins Full Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-elves-vs-goblins-full-set) | 1 in 33 | $90.00 | 18.9% | 13 | 11.0 | 1.18× | | [Llanowar Elves (V.1) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/llanowar-elves-v-1) | 1 in 33 | $45.00 | 9.5% | 16 | 11.0 | 1.45× | | [Lathril, Blade of the Elves (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lathril-blade-of-the-elves-v-2) | 1 in 33 | $40.00 | 8.4% | 11 | 11.0 | 1.00× | | [Duel Decks: Elves vs. Inventors: Full Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-elves-vs-inventors-full-set) | 1 in 33 | $25.00 | 5.3% | 11 | 11.0 | 1.00× | | [Duel Decks: Elves vs. Inventors: Duel Deck Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-elves-vs-inventors-duel-deck-box) | 1 in 29 | $9.00 | 2.2% | 13 | 12.8 | 1.01× | | [Blade of Selves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/blade-of-selves) | 1 in 20 | $1.36 | 0.5% | 18 | 18.4 | 0.98× | | [Jumpstart Pack Summary Card: Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jumpstart-pack-summary-card-elves) | 1 in 20 | $0.99 | 0.3% | 17 | 18.4 | 0.93× | | [Drove of Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/drove-of-elves) | 1 in 20 | $0.57 | 0.2% | 21 | 18.4 | 1.14× | | [Art Series: Lathril, Blade of the Elves (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/art-series-lathril-blade-of-the-elves-v-2) | 1 in 20 | $0.49 | 0.2% | 21 | 18.4 | 1.14× | | [Quirion Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/quirion-elves) | 1 in 20 | $0.30 | 0.1% | 22 | 18.4 | 1.20× | | [Fyndhorn Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fyndhorn-elves) | 1 in 13 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 27 | 27.5 | 0.98× | | [Elves of Deep Shadow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elves-of-deep-shadow) | 1 in 13 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 28 | 27.5 | 1.02× | | [Lathril, Blade of the Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lathril-blade-of-the-elves) | 10.0% | $0.15 | 0.1% | 31 | 36.7 | 0.84× | | [Wood Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wood-elves) | 10.0% | $0.14 | 0.1% | 29 | 36.7 | 0.79× | | [Harald Unites the Elves (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/harald-unites-the-elves-v-2) | 10.0% | $0.08 | 0.1% | 39 | 36.7 | 1.06× | | [Darkwatch Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/darkwatch-elves) | 10.5% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 33 | 38.5 | 0.86× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=forest-folk) [Wood Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wood-elves) Hidden $15.93 $0.14 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [Lathril, Blade of the Elves (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lathril-blade-of-the-elves-v-2) Hidden $15.93 $40.00 2.51x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [Elves of Deep Shadow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elves-of-deep-shadow) Hidden $15.93 $0.20 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [Harald Unites the Elves (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/harald-unites-the-elves-v-2) Hidden $15.93 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [Art Series: Lathril, Blade of the Elves (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/art-series-lathril-blade-of-the-elves-v-2) Hidden $15.93 $0.49 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [Darkwatch Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/darkwatch-elves) [bananchik](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/bananchik) $15.93 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [Lathril, Blade of the Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lathril-blade-of-the-elves) Hidden $15.93 $0.15 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [Drove of Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/drove-of-elves) Hidden $15.93 $0.57 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [Duel Decks: Elves vs. Goblins Full Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-elves-vs-goblins-full-set) Hidden $15.93 $90.00 5.65x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [Quirion Elves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/quirion-elves) [Nic21](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nic21) $15.93 $0.30 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.93 | 89.48% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt