--- title: "Framed case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Framed ($3.64) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.39% from 18 items with odds, observed 101.84% over 2,364 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed rendered: 2026-11-12T01:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Framed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Framed A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed?window=all) Price · $3.64 Advertised RTP · 89.39% · EV $3.25 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.84% · 2,364 openings, odds method Variance · 26.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 83 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 129 openings · below min 7 days · 95.16% ±24.67 1,649 openings 30 days · 101.84% ±20.60 2,364 openings since tracking started · 101.84% ±20.60 2,364 openings -0.5% 61.3% 123.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed?window=24h) | 129 | 30.30% ±88.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed?window=7d) | 1,649 | 95.16% ±24.7 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed) | 2,364 | 101.84% ±20.6 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/framed?window=all) | 2,364 | 101.84% ±20.6 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,364 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Breaking Bad XL Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breaking-bad-xl-displate) | 1 in 500 | $230 | 14.1% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | | [Samurai Warrior L Graphite Frame Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samurai-warrior-l-graphite-frame-displate) | 1 in 500 | $199 | 12.2% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | | [Interstellar XL Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/interstellar-xl-displate) | 1 in 500 | $100 | 6.1% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | | [Pale Blue Dot L Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pale-blue-dot-l-displate) | 1 in 500 | $100 | 6.1% | 9 | 4.7 | 1.90× | | [Terraria Boss Watercolor Gloss L Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/terraria-boss-watercolor-gloss-l-displate) | 1 in 500 | $100 | 6.1% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× | | [Mike Tyson L Gloss Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mike-tyson-l-gloss-displate) | 1 in 500 | $100 | 6.1% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.69× | | [Solar System L Gloss Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/solar-system-l-gloss-displate) | 1 in 500 | $100 | 6.1% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | | [1987 F40 Red Gloss L Black Frame Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1987-f40-red-gloss-l-black-frame-displate) | 1 in 500 | $100 | 6.1% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× | | [Toyota GT86 L Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-gt86-l-displate) | 1 in 500 | $89.00 | 5.5% | 7 | 4.7 | 1.48× | | [Retro Beach Waves Gloss M Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-beach-waves-gloss-m-displate) | 1 in 500 | $79.00 | 4.9% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.63× | | [The Fire M Textra Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-fire-m-textra-displate) | 1 in 500 | $64.00 | 3.9% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | | [Arthur M Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arthur-m-displate) | 1 in 500 | $44.00 | 2.7% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× | | [Bonfire M Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bonfire-m-displate) | 1 in 500 | $44.00 | 2.7% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | | [Pathetic Cat M Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pathetic-cat-m-displate) | 1 in 500 | $44.00 | 2.7% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | | [Eyes Monochrome M Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/eyes-monochrome-m-displate) | 1 in 500 | $44.00 | 2.7% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | | [Displate Magnet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-magnet) | 30.0% | $1.00 | 9.2% | 712 | 709.2 | 1.00× | | [Displate Wall Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-wall-sticker) | 32.0% | $0.20 | 2.0% | 773 | 756.5 | 1.02× | | [Displate Cleaning Wipe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-cleaning-wipe) | 35.0% | $0.05 | 0.5% | 798 | 827.4 | 0.96× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Breaking Bad XL Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breaking-bad-xl-displate) [thejunespirit](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/thejunespirit) $3.64 $230 63.05x 2026-11-08 09:18 UTC [Breaking Bad XL Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breaking-bad-xl-displate) Hidden $3.64 $230 63.05x 2026-11-07 23:46 UTC [Breaking Bad XL Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breaking-bad-xl-displate) [W H I T E • W O L F](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/W%20H%20I%20T%20E%20%E2%80%A2%20W%20O%20L%20F) $3.64 $230 63.05x 2026-11-07 14:31 UTC [Breaking Bad XL Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breaking-bad-xl-displate) Hidden $3.64 $230 63.05x 2026-11-06 19:06 UTC [Breaking Bad XL Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/breaking-bad-xl-displate) [SavagePlays](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SavagePlays) $3.64 $230 63.05x 2026-11-06 17:17 UTC [Samurai Warrior L Graphite Frame Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samurai-warrior-l-graphite-frame-displate) Hidden $3.64 $199 54.59x 2026-11-10 11:55 UTC [Samurai Warrior L Graphite Frame Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samurai-warrior-l-graphite-frame-displate) Hidden $3.64 $199 54.59x 2026-11-09 12:50 UTC [Samurai Warrior L Graphite Frame Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samurai-warrior-l-graphite-frame-displate) Hidden $3.64 $199 54.59x 2026-11-07 20:29 UTC [Samurai Warrior L Graphite Frame Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samurai-warrior-l-graphite-frame-displate) [SavagePlays](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SavagePlays) $3.64 $199 54.59x 2026-11-06 17:16 UTC [Samurai Warrior L Graphite Frame Displate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samurai-warrior-l-graphite-frame-displate) Hidden $3.64 $199 54.59x 2026-11-03 06:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=framed) [Displate Magnet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-magnet) Hidden $3.64 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 22:11 UTC [Displate Wall Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-wall-sticker) [RichSteve](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/RichSteve) $3.64 $0.20 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:11 UTC [Displate Cleaning Wipe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-cleaning-wipe) Hidden $3.64 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Displate Magnet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-magnet) Hidden $3.64 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Displate Cleaning Wipe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-cleaning-wipe) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $3.64 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Displate Cleaning Wipe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-cleaning-wipe) Hidden $3.64 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Displate Cleaning Wipe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-cleaning-wipe) Hidden $3.64 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Displate Wall Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-wall-sticker) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $3.64 $0.20 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Displate Magnet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-magnet) Hidden $3.64 $1.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC [Displate Cleaning Wipe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/displate-cleaning-wipe) Hidden $3.64 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.64 | 89.39% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $230 (63.05x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.39 on average: an expected loss of $10.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt