--- title: "Fright Night case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fright Night ($19.79) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 12 items with odds, observed 111.10% over 280 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Fright Night](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Fright Night A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night?window=all) Price · $19.79 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $17.71 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 111.10% · 280 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 112.67% ±22.80 274 openings 30 days · 111.10% ±22.56 280 openings since tracking started · 111.10% ±22.56 280 openings 88.0% 187.0% 286.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night?window=24h) | 18 | 196.28% ±89.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night?window=7d) | 274 | 112.67% ±22.8 | +2.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night) | 280 | 111.10% ±22.6 | +1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/fright-night?window=all) | 280 | 111.10% ±22.6 | +1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 280 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Spirit Halloween Ghostbusters Life-Size Replica Proton Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spirit-halloween-ghostbusters-life-size-replica-proton-pack) | 1 in 100 | $305 | 17.2% | 6 | 2.8 | 2.14× | | [Stanley The Halloween Flowstate Quencher 40oz Tumbler Web Glow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stanley-the-halloween-flowstate-quencher-40oz-tumbler-web-glow) | 1 in 50 | $140 | 15.8% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× | | [Skeleton Playing Banjo Halloween Decoration other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-playing-banjo-halloween-decoration) | 1 in 50 | $90.00 | 10.2% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× | | [5.4Ft Halloween Life Size Skeleton Decoration other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5-4ft-halloween-life-size-skeleton-decoration) | 1 in 20 | $56.00 | 15.8% | 14 | 14.0 | 1.00× | | [Ghost Face Mask With Shroud other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ghost-face-mask-with-shroud) | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 8.5% | 20 | 14.0 | 1.43× | | [Ouija Board Welcome Door Mat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ouija-board-welcome-door-mat) | 10.0% | $20.00 | 11.3% | 32 | 28.0 | 1.14× | | [2 Pack Plastic Jack O Lantern Pumpkins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2-pack-plastic-jack-o-lantern-pumpkins) | 10.0% | $15.00 | 8.5% | 28 | 28.0 | 1.00× | | [Ghostface Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ghostface-hoodie) | 10.0% | $10.50 | 5.9% | 26 | 28.0 | 0.93× | | [12Pcs Vintage Classic Horror Movie Posters,Creepy Scary Horror Movie Decor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/12pcs-vintage-classic-horror-movie-posters-creepy-scary-horror-movie-decor) | 10.0% | $7.50 | 4.2% | 28 | 28.0 | 1.00× | | [Halloween Skull Doorbell other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-skull-doorbell) | 15.0% | $2.00 | 1.7% | 33 | 42.0 | 0.79× | | [Creepy Eyeball Stress Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/creepy-eyeball-stress-toy) | 15.0% | $0.80 | 0.7% | 41 | 42.0 | 0.98× | | [Halloween Temporary Tattoos other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-temporary-tattoos) | 15.0% | $0.25 | 0.2% | 41 | 42.0 | 0.98× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=fright-night) [Ghost Face Mask With Shroud other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ghost-face-mask-with-shroud) Hidden $19.79 $30.00 1.52x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [2 Pack Plastic Jack O Lantern Pumpkins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2-pack-plastic-jack-o-lantern-pumpkins) Hidden $19.79 $15.00 0.76x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Halloween Temporary Tattoos other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-temporary-tattoos) Hidden $19.79 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Spirit Halloween Ghostbusters Life-Size Replica Proton Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spirit-halloween-ghostbusters-life-size-replica-proton-pack) Hidden $19.79 $305 15.41x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Halloween Temporary Tattoos other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-temporary-tattoos) Hidden $19.79 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Halloween Temporary Tattoos other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-temporary-tattoos) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $19.79 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Halloween Skull Doorbell other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-skull-doorbell) Hidden $19.79 $2.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Creepy Eyeball Stress Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/creepy-eyeball-stress-toy) Hidden $19.79 $0.80 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Creepy Eyeball Stress Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/creepy-eyeball-stress-toy) Hidden $19.79 $0.80 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [2 Pack Plastic Jack O Lantern Pumpkins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2-pack-plastic-jack-o-lantern-pumpkins) Hidden $19.79 $15.00 0.76x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $19.79 | 89.48% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt