---
title: "Frostbite case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Frostbite ($37.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 16 items with odds, observed 97.65% over 205 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Frostbite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Frostbite

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite?window=all)

Price · $37.00

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $33.11 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.65% · 205 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 19 openings · below min

7 days · 98.65% ±27.01 201 openings

30 days · 97.65% ±26.75 205 openings

since tracking started · 97.65% ±26.75 205 openings

36.5% 125.0% 213.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite?window=24h) | 19 | 124.83% ±87.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite?window=7d) | 201 | 98.65% ±27.0 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite) | 205 | 97.65% ±26.7 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/frostbite?window=all) | 205 | 97.65% ±26.7 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 205 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Dyson Pure Hot + Cool Air Purifier, Heater + Fan - HEPA Air Filter, Space Heater other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-pure-hot-cool-air-purifier-heater-fan-hepa-air-filter-space-heater) | 1 in 200 | $550 | 8.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× |
| [Noctua Nh-U12A Processor Air Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/noctua-nh-u12a-processor-air-cooler) | 1 in 100 | $400 | 12.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× |
| [NZXT Kraken 280 RGB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nzxt-kraken-280-rgb) | 1 in 67 | $250 | 11.3% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× |
| [Corsair iCUE H100i RGB Elite Liquid CPU Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-icue-h100i-rgb-elite-liquid-cpu-cooler) | 1 in 50 | $220 | 13.3% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× |
| [Noctua NH-D15 G2 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/noctua-nh-d15-g2) | 1 in 67 | $200 | 9.1% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.63× |
| [Lian Li UNI Fan SL-Infinity 120-Triple Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lian-li-uni-fan-sl-infinity-120-triple-pack) | 1 in 50 | $120 | 7.2% | 1 | 4.1 | 0.24× |
| [Cooler Master Hyper 622 Halo Black Dual Tower CPU Air Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooler-master-hyper-622-halo-black-dual-tower-cpu-air-cooler) | 1 in 50 | $89.00 | 5.4% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.46× |
| [ARCTIC Freezer 34 Esports Duo - Tower CPU Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arctic-freezer-34-esports-duo-tower-cpu-cooler) | 1 in 33 | $53.00 | 4.8% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.30× |
| [Cooler Master Hyper 212 Black CPU Air Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooler-master-hyper-212-black-cpu-air-cooler) | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 4.5% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× |
| [SWEETFULL Portable Neck Fan 360° Cooling other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sweetfull-portable-neck-fan-360-cooling) | 1 in 20 | $27.99 | 4.2% | 7 | 10.3 | 0.68× |
| [be quiet! Silent Wings 4 Cooling Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/be-quiet-silent-wings-4-cooling-fan) | 1 in 20 | $26.00 | 3.9% | 15 | 10.3 | 1.46× |
| [Noctua NF-P12 redux-1700 PWM, High Performance Cooling Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/noctua-nf-p12-redux-1700-pwm-high-performance-cooling-fan) | 10.0% | $15.95 | 4.8% | 15 | 20.5 | 0.73× |
| [Thermalright TL-C12C-S X3 120mm ARGB Case Cooler Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermalright-tl-c12c-s-x3-120mm-argb-case-cooler-fan) | 10.0% | $13.00 | 3.9% | 19 | 20.5 | 0.93× |
| [DARKROCK 3-Pack 120mm Black Computer Case Fans other](https://gambatracker.com/items/darkrock-3-pack-120mm-black-computer-case-fans) | 10.0% | $9.00 | 2.7% | 19 | 20.5 | 0.93× |
| [Mini Portable Micro USB Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-portable-micro-usb-fan) | 15.0% | $4.00 | 1.8% | 34 | 30.8 | 1.11× |
| [PWM Fan Hub other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pwm-fan-hub) | 26.5% | $3.20 | 2.6% | 53 | 54.3 | 0.98× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Dyson Pure Hot + Cool Air Purifier, Heater + Fan - HEPA Air Filter, Space Heater other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-pure-hot-cool-air-purifier-heater-fan-hepa-air-filter-space-heater) Hidden $37.00 $550 14.86x 2026-11-06 07:31 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=frostbite)

[Cooler Master Hyper 212 Black CPU Air Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooler-master-hyper-212-black-cpu-air-cooler) Hidden $37.00 $30.00 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[Thermalright TL-C12C-S X3 120mm ARGB Case Cooler Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermalright-tl-c12c-s-x3-120mm-argb-case-cooler-fan) Hidden $37.00 $13.00 0.35x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[DARKROCK 3-Pack 120mm Black Computer Case Fans other](https://gambatracker.com/items/darkrock-3-pack-120mm-black-computer-case-fans) [rekack](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/rekack) $37.00 $9.00 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[be quiet! Silent Wings 4 Cooling Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/be-quiet-silent-wings-4-cooling-fan) Hidden $37.00 $26.00 0.70x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC

[Noctua NH-D15 G2 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/noctua-nh-d15-g2) Hidden $37.00 $200 5.41x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC

[PWM Fan Hub other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pwm-fan-hub) Hidden $37.00 $3.20 0.09x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC

[Noctua NF-P12 redux-1700 PWM, High Performance Cooling Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/noctua-nf-p12-redux-1700-pwm-high-performance-cooling-fan) Hidden $37.00 $15.95 0.43x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC

[DARKROCK 3-Pack 120mm Black Computer Case Fans other](https://gambatracker.com/items/darkrock-3-pack-120mm-black-computer-case-fans) Hidden $37.00 $9.00 0.24x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC

[Thermalright TL-C12C-S X3 120mm ARGB Case Cooler Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermalright-tl-c12c-s-x3-120mm-argb-case-cooler-fan) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $37.00 $13.00 0.35x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC

[ARCTIC Freezer 34 Esports Duo - Tower CPU Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arctic-freezer-34-esports-duo-tower-cpu-cooler) Hidden $37.00 $53.00 1.43x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $37.00 | 89.49% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $550 (14.86x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt