---
title: "Full DGNeracy case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Full DGNeracy ($4.27) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.35% from 18 items with odds, observed 42.25% over 2,913 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Full DGNeracy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Full DGNeracy

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy?window=all)

Price · $4.27

Advertised RTP · 89.35% · EV $3.82 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 42.25% · 2,913 openings, odds method

Variance · 6866.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 4,000 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 97.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 354 openings · below min

7 days · 2,259 openings · below min

30 days · 2,913 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2,913 openings · below min

-0.5% 444.0% 888.5%

**Small sample.** 2,913 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy?window=24h) | 354 | 24.87% ±863.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy?window=7d) | 2,259 | 34.61% ±341.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy) | 2,913 | 42.25% ±300.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/full-dgneracy?window=all) | 2,913 | 42.25% ±300.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,913 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Tesla Model S Plaid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-model-s-plaid) | 1 in 100,000 | $101K | 26.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Subaru 2026 WRX Premium other](https://gambatracker.com/items/subaru-2026-wrx-premium) | 1 in 100,000 | $40.8K | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Rolex Datejust 36 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36) | 1 in 100,000 | $22.9K | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [2002 Pokemon Neo Destiny 1st Edition Shining Charizard #107 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-pokemon-neo-destiny-1st-edition-shining-charizard-107-psa-9-mint) | 1 in 50,000 | $6,600 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton 3 Watch Case Monogram Canvas Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-3-watch-case-monogram-canvas-brown) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,649 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Balenciaga Casual Shorts Orange US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-casual-shorts-orange-us-m) | 1 in 3,333 | $711 | 5.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Palm Angels Logo Print Swimming Shorts Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-logo-print-swimming-shorts-black-us-m) | 1 in 3,333 | $574 | 4.5% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [Elgato Stream Deck +, White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elgato-stream-deck-white) | 1 in 2,000 | $269 | 3.5% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Burger King $100 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-100-gift-card) | 1 in 1,667 | $100 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× |
| [DoorDash $30 Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/doordash-30-giftcard) | 1 in 200 | $30.00 | 3.9% | 20 | 14.6 | 1.37× |
| [Bang Energy Cotton Candy, Sugar-Free Energy Drink (12 Pack) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bang-energy-cotton-candy-sugar-free-energy-drink-12-pack) | 1 in 200 | $25.00 | 3.3% | 9 | 14.6 | 0.62× |
| [Case of Blue Moons other](https://gambatracker.com/items/case-of-blue-moons) | 1 in 200 | $12.00 | 1.6% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.10× |
| [Vape Juice other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vape-juice) | 1 in 200 | $12.00 | 1.6% | 9 | 14.6 | 0.62× |
| [Case of High Noons other](https://gambatracker.com/items/case-of-high-noons) | 1 in 200 | $10.00 | 1.3% | 12 | 14.6 | 0.82× |
| [Full glass of beer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/full-glass-of-beer) | 1 in 62 | $4.00 | 1.7% | 46 | 46.9 | 0.98× |
| [Watermelon Redbull other](https://gambatracker.com/items/watermelon-redbull) | 1 in 37 | $3.50 | 2.5% | 79 | 78.4 | 1.01× |
| [Half glass of beer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/half-glass-of-beer) | 1 in 33 | $2.50 | 2.0% | 116 | 87.5 | 1.33× |
| [Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) | 90.0% | $0.50 | 11.8% | 2,602 | 2621.7 | 0.99× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Balenciaga Casual Shorts Orange US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-casual-shorts-orange-us-m) Hidden $4.27 $711 166.5x 2026-11-04 15:24 UTC

[Palm Angels Logo Print Swimming Shorts Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-logo-print-swimming-shorts-black-us-m) Hidden $4.27 $574 134.4x 2026-11-08 07:47 UTC

[Palm Angels Logo Print Swimming Shorts Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-logo-print-swimming-shorts-black-us-m) Hidden $4.27 $574 134.4x 2026-11-03 06:49 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=full-dgneracy)

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) Hidden $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) Hidden $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[Watermelon Redbull other](https://gambatracker.com/items/watermelon-redbull) Hidden $4.27 $3.50 0.82x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) Hidden $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) Hidden $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) [TitoDabel juice.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/TitoDabel%20%20juice.gg) $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) Hidden $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) [Graceful Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Graceful%20Dragon) $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) Hidden $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:35 UTC

[Zyn - Wintergreen 3mg other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zyn-wintergreen-3mg) Hidden $4.27 $0.50 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.27 | 89.35% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $711 (166.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.35 on average: an expected loss of $10.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
