--- title: "Funko Pop case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Funko Pop ($7.03) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.40% from 18 items with odds, observed 94.85% over 1,194 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop rendered: 2026-11-11T18:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Funko Pop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Funko Pop A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop?window=all) Price · $7.03 Advertised RTP · 89.40% · EV $6.28 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.85% · 1,194 openings, odds method Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 60 openings · below min 7 days · 97.12% ±12.27 1,107 openings 30 days · 94.85% ±11.81 1,194 openings since tracking started · 94.85% ±11.81 1,194 openings 82.5% 144.7% 207.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop?window=24h) | 60 | 153.61% ±52.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop?window=7d) | 1,107 | 97.12% ±12.3 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop) | 1,194 | 94.85% ±11.8 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/funko-pop?window=all) | 1,194 | 94.85% ±11.8 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,194 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Funko Pop! Animation One Piece Poster Gol D. Roger Summer Convention Edition Figure #1379 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-one-piece-poster-gol-d-roger-summer-convention-edition-figure-1379) | 1 in 1,000 | $258 | 4.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.68× | | [Funko Pop! NBA Michael Jordan (White Jersey) Footlocker Exclusive 10 inch Figure #76 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-nba-michael-jordan-white-jersey-footlocker-exclusive-10-inch-figure-76) | 1 in 500 | $135 | 4.3% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× | | [Funko Gold Notorious B.I.G. in White Suit 12 Inch Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-gold-notorious-b-i-g-in-white-suit-12-inch-vinyl-figure) | 1 in 250 | $76.00 | 4.8% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [Funko Pop! Marvel Classics Spider-Man 25th Anniversary Figure #03C other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-marvel-classics-spider-man-25th-anniversary-figure-03c) | 1 in 167 | $40.00 | 3.8% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.98× | | [Funko Pop! Moments: AC/DC - Angus Young other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-moments-ac-dc-angus-young) | 1 in 125 | $37.20 | 4.7% | 8 | 9.6 | 0.84× | | [Funko Pop! Moment: Naruto: Shippuden - Pain vs Naruto other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-moment-naruto-shippuden-pain-vs-naruto) | 1 in 100 | $35.00 | 5.6% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× | | [Funko Pop! Rides DLX: Batman's 85th Anniversary - Batman in Batmobile other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-rides-dlx-batmans-85th-anniversary-batman-in-batmobile) | 1 in 100 | $31.70 | 5.0% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× | | [Funko Pop! Deluxe Fusion - Blair Monster with Chase (Style May Vary) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-deluxe-fusion-blair-monster-with-chase-style-may-vary) | 1 in 100 | $30.00 | 4.8% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× | | [Funko Pop! Albums: Panic! at The Disco - Viva Las Vengeance other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-albums-panic-at-the-disco-viva-las-vengeance) | 1 in 50 | $27.50 | 8.8% | 26 | 23.9 | 1.09× | | [Funko Pop! Albums: Michael Jackson (Off The Wall) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-albums-michael-jackson-off-the-wall) | 1 in 50 | $25.00 | 8.0% | 27 | 23.9 | 1.13× | | [Funko Pop! TV The Boys Homelander Levitating Multicolor Vinyl Collectible Action Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-tv-the-boys-homelander-levitating-multicolor-vinyl-collectible-action-figure) | 1 in 50 | $22.40 | 7.1% | 17 | 23.9 | 0.71× | | [Funko Pop! Super: Star Wars - Darth Vader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-super-star-wars-darth-vader) | 1 in 40 | $21.30 | 8.5% | 33 | 29.9 | 1.11× | | [Edge-Sitter: Star Wars - Yoda other](https://gambatracker.com/items/edge-sitter-star-wars-yoda) | 1 in 40 | $20.00 | 8.0% | 33 | 29.9 | 1.11× | | [Edge-Sitter: Star Wars - Chewbacca other](https://gambatracker.com/items/edge-sitter-star-wars-chewbacca) | 1 in 40 | $19.99 | 8.0% | 32 | 29.9 | 1.07× | | [Funko Pop! Animation: Spongebob Squarepants 25th Anniversary - Krusty Krab Pizza Spongebob other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-spongebob-squarepants-25th-anniversary-krusty-krab-pizza-spongebob) | 1 in 33 | $13.00 | 6.2% | 40 | 35.8 | 1.12× | | [Funko Spirit Halloween Trick 'r Treat Sam POP! Figure Deluxe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-spirit-halloween-trick-r-treat-sam-pop-figure-deluxe) | 1 in 17 | $5.00 | 4.8% | 72 | 71.6 | 1.01× | | [Empty Funko Pop Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-funko-pop-box) | 27.4% | $0.75 | 3.3% | 348 | 327.2 | 1.06× | | [Funko Pop Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-sticker) | 45.0% | $0.05 | 0.4% | 506 | 537.3 | 0.94× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=funko-pop) [Funko Pop Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-sticker) Hidden $7.03 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC [Funko Spirit Halloween Trick 'r Treat Sam POP! Figure Deluxe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-spirit-halloween-trick-r-treat-sam-pop-figure-deluxe) Hidden $7.03 $5.00 0.71x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC [Funko Pop! Albums: Michael Jackson (Off The Wall) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-albums-michael-jackson-off-the-wall) Hidden $7.03 $25.00 3.56x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC [Empty Funko Pop Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-funko-pop-box) Hidden $7.03 $0.75 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC [Empty Funko Pop Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-funko-pop-box) Hidden $7.03 $0.75 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC [Empty Funko Pop Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-funko-pop-box) [bananchik](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/bananchik) $7.03 $0.75 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC [Empty Funko Pop Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-funko-pop-box) Hidden $7.03 $0.75 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Empty Funko Pop Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-funko-pop-box) Hidden $7.03 $0.75 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Funko Gold Notorious B.I.G. in White Suit 12 Inch Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-gold-notorious-b-i-g-in-white-suit-12-inch-vinyl-figure) Hidden $7.03 $76.00 10.81x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Funko Pop Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-sticker) Hidden $7.03 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.03 | 89.40% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.40 on average: an expected loss of $10.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt