---
title: "G-shock Fanboy case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "G-shock Fanboy ($236.58) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 74.80% over 18 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [G-shock Fanboy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · G-shock Fanboy

A box on Cases.gg (Watches), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy?window=all)

Price · $236.58

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $211.73 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.80% · 18 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 18 openings · below min

since tracking started · 18 openings · below min

19.0% 91.3% 163.5%

**Small sample.** 18 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy?window=7d) | 12 | 95.19% ±67.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy) | 18 | 74.80% ±55.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/g-shock-fanboy?window=all) | 18 | 74.80% ±55.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Casio G-Shock Blue Phoenix other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-blue-phoenix) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,550 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) | 1 in 250 | $2,640 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Casio G-SHOCK 40th Anniversary CARBON EDITION other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-40th-anniversary-carbon-edition) | 1 in 500 | $2,255 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock MTGB3000 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtgb3000-series) | 1 in 333 | $1,480 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock 40th Anniversary RECRYSTALLIZED other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-40th-anniversary-recrystallized) | 1 in 200 | $1,155 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x One Piece GA-110JOP-1A4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-one-piece-ga-110jop-1a4) | 1 in 167 | $860 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock GA2100SRS-7A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga2100srs-7a) | 1 in 40 | $635 | 7.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x HIDDEN.NY Jewelry Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-hidden-ny-jewelry-case) | 1 in 56 | $600 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock CasiOak Sol IFL x The Dial Artist Studio other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-casioak-sol-ifl-x-the-dial-artist-studio) | 1 in 125 | $546 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock GA-2100MNG other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga-2100mng) | 1 in 38 | $432 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Casio Digital G-Shock DW-6900JT-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-digital-g-shock-dw-6900jt-3) | 10.0% | $400 | 18.9% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× |
| [Casio G-Shock x Coca-Cola DW5600CC23-4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-coca-cola-dw5600cc23-4) | 1 in 63 | $344 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Ed Sheeran other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ed-sheeran) | 1 in 33 | $330 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock DW-D5600TD-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-dw-d5600td-3) | 10.0% | $250 | 11.8% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Casio G-Shock GA2100SR-1A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga2100sr-1a) | 1 in 25 | $200 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock LTP-V300D-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v300d-2a) | 15.0% | $89.00 | 6.3% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× |
| [Casio G-Shock LTP-V007G-9B other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v007g-9b) | 15.0% | $73.00 | 5.2% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× |
| [Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) | 31.6% | $72.00 | 10.7% | 7 | 5.7 | 1.23× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Casio G-Shock GA2100SRS-7A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga2100srs-7a) Hidden $237 $635 2.68x 2026-11-05 06:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=g-shock-fanboy)

[Casio G-Shock LTP-V007G-9B other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v007g-9b) Hidden $237 $73.00 0.31x 2026-11-05 06:21 UTC

[Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) Hidden $237 $72.00 0.30x 2026-11-05 06:21 UTC

[Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) Hidden $237 $72.00 0.30x 2026-11-05 06:21 UTC

[Casio Digital G-Shock DW-6900JT-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-digital-g-shock-dw-6900jt-3) Hidden $237 $400 1.69x 2026-11-05 06:21 UTC

[Casio G-Shock GA2100SRS-7A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga2100srs-7a) Hidden $237 $635 2.68x 2026-11-05 06:21 UTC

[Casio G-Shock x Coca-Cola DW5600CC23-4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-coca-cola-dw5600cc23-4) [Code:666 800$ LB FREE](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Code%3A666%20800%24%20LB%20FREE) $237 $344 1.46x 2026-11-05 06:21 UTC

[Casio Digital G-Shock DW-6900JT-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-digital-g-shock-dw-6900jt-3) Hidden $237 $400 1.69x 2026-11-05 06:18 UTC

[Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) Hidden $237 $72.00 0.30x 2026-11-05 06:18 UTC

[Casio Digital G-Shock DW-6900JT-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-digital-g-shock-dw-6900jt-3) Hidden $237 $400 1.69x 2026-11-05 06:18 UTC

[Casio G-Shock MTP-1302D-7A1V other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtp-1302d-7a1v) Hidden $237 $72.00 0.30x 2026-11-05 06:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $237 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $635 (2.68x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt