--- title: "Game or Lame case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Game or Lame ($1.28) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.03% from 18 items with odds, observed 81.55% over 12.7K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame rendered: 2026-11-12T00:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Game or Lame](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Game or Lame A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame?window=all) Price · $1.28 Advertised RTP · 89.03% · EV $1.14 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.55% · 12.7K openings, odds method Variance · 96.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 246 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 71.81% ±37.79 2,590 openings 7 days · 83.19% ±19.17 10.1K openings 30 days · 81.55% ±17.04 12.7K openings since tracking started · 81.55% ±17.04 12.7K openings 33.5% 71.8% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame?window=24h) | 2,590 | 71.81% ±37.8 | −0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame?window=7d) | 10.1K | 83.19% ±19.2 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame) | 12.7K | 81.55% ±17.0 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/game-or-lame?window=all) | 12.7K | 81.55% ±17.0 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.8K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nvidia-geforce-rtx-4080) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,760 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AMD Ryzen™ 9 7900X3D other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amd-ryzen-9-7900x3d) | 1 in 20,000 | $720 | 3.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [EVGA 1000 GT 80 Plus Gold 1000W Fully Modular Power Supply other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evga-1000-gt-80-plus-gold-1000w-fully-modular-power-supply) | 1 in 10,000 | $490 | 4.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× | | [HP Chromebook 14 Laptop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-chromebook-14-laptop) | 1 in 10,000 | $280 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [MSI Gaming GeForce GTX 1650 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-gtx-1650) | 1 in 10,000 | $210 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× | | [Sony PlayStation 2 Console - Black (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-2-console-black-renewed) | 1 in 10,000 | $200 | 1.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.57× | | [NZXT H5 Flow RGB Compact ATX Mid-Tower PC Gaming Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/nzxt-h5-flow-rgb-compact-atx-mid-tower-pc-gaming-case) | 1 in 1,111 | $165 | 13.0% | 8 | 11.5 | 0.70× | | [Sony Original Playstation One Console (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-original-playstation-one-console-renewed) | 1 in 2,500 | $150 | 5.3% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× | | [ASRock B760M Pro RS Motherboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asrock-b760m-pro-rs-motherboard) | 1 in 2,500 | $145 | 5.1% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.18× | | [EVGA 750 N1 750W Power Supply other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evga-750-n1-750w-power-supply) | 1 in 526 | $90.00 | 15.0% | 22 | 24.2 | 0.91× | | [$25 Steam Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/25-steam-gift-card) | 1 in 400 | $25.00 | 5.5% | 30 | 31.9 | 0.94× | | [Crucial RAM 8GB DDR4 3200MHz other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crucial-ram-8gb-ddr4-3200mhz) | 1 in 333 | $18.61 | 4.9% | 37 | 38.3 | 0.97× | | [$10 Steam Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-steam-gift-card) | 1 in 100 | $10.00 | 8.8% | 132 | 127.6 | 1.03× | | [$5 Steam Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5-steam-gift-card) | 1 in 100 | $5.00 | 4.4% | 139 | 127.6 | 1.09× | | [Terraria (PC) - Steam Gift - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/terraria-pc-steam-gift-global) | 1 in 50 | $4.84 | 8.5% | 248 | 255.2 | 0.97× | | [7 Days to Die (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/7-days-to-die-pc-steam-account-global) | 1 in 40 | $2.60 | 5.7% | 310 | 319.0 | 0.97× | | [The Forest (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-forest-pc-steam-account-global) | 1 in 33 | $1.85 | 4.9% | 369 | 383.3 | 0.96× | | [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) | 89.5% | $0.05 | 3.9% | 11,450 | 11425.3 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AMD Ryzen™ 9 7900X3D other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amd-ryzen-9-7900x3d) Hidden $1.28 $720 562.5x 2026-11-06 18:06 UTC [EVGA 1000 GT 80 Plus Gold 1000W Fully Modular Power Supply other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evga-1000-gt-80-plus-gold-1000w-fully-modular-power-supply) [thejunespirit](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/thejunespirit) $1.28 $490 382.8x 2026-11-09 09:21 UTC [MSI Gaming GeForce GTX 1650 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-gtx-1650) Hidden $1.28 $210 164.1x 2026-11-09 22:32 UTC [Sony PlayStation 2 Console - Black (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-2-console-black-renewed) [Vxpiix](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Vxpiix) $1.28 $200 156.3x 2026-11-10 22:34 UTC [Sony PlayStation 2 Console - Black (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-2-console-black-renewed) [Batman053007](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Batman053007) $1.28 $200 156.3x 2026-11-07 15:43 UTC [NZXT H5 Flow RGB Compact ATX Mid-Tower PC Gaming Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/nzxt-h5-flow-rgb-compact-atx-mid-tower-pc-gaming-case) Hidden $1.28 $165 128.9x 2026-11-11 22:50 UTC [NZXT H5 Flow RGB Compact ATX Mid-Tower PC Gaming Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/nzxt-h5-flow-rgb-compact-atx-mid-tower-pc-gaming-case) Hidden $1.28 $165 128.9x 2026-11-11 15:59 UTC [NZXT H5 Flow RGB Compact ATX Mid-Tower PC Gaming Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/nzxt-h5-flow-rgb-compact-atx-mid-tower-pc-gaming-case) Hidden $1.28 $165 128.9x 2026-11-10 08:41 UTC [NZXT H5 Flow RGB Compact ATX Mid-Tower PC Gaming Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/nzxt-h5-flow-rgb-compact-atx-mid-tower-pc-gaming-case) Hidden $1.28 $165 128.9x 2026-11-09 22:23 UTC [NZXT H5 Flow RGB Compact ATX Mid-Tower PC Gaming Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/nzxt-h5-flow-rgb-compact-atx-mid-tower-pc-gaming-case) Hidden $1.28 $165 128.9x 2026-11-09 17:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=game-or-lame) [7 Days to Die (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/7-days-to-die-pc-steam-account-global) Hidden $1.28 $2.60 2.03x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $1.28 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $1.28 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $1.28 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [7 Days to Die (PC) - Steam Account - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/7-days-to-die-pc-steam-account-global) Hidden $1.28 $2.60 2.03x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) [EFN CS2SKINS.GIFT](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EFN%20CS2SKINS.GIFT) $1.28 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $1.28 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $1.28 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $1.28 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $1.28 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.28 | 89.03% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $720 (562.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.03 on average: an expected loss of $10.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt