--- title: "Garage Crew case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Garage Crew ($4,936.12) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 20 items with odds, observed 161.80% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew rendered: 2026-11-11T19:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Garage Crew](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Garage Crew A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew?window=all) Price · $4,936.12 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $4,417.82 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 161.80% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 226.0% 452.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew?window=7d) | 4 | 161.80% ±290.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew) | 4 | 161.80% ±290.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/garage-crew?window=all) | 4 | 161.80% ±290.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2022 Lamborghini Urus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-lamborghini-urus) | 1 in 10,000 | $306K | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2018 Aston Martin Vanquish S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2018-aston-martin-vanquish-s) | 1 in 10,000 | $285K | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2019 Rolls-Royce Wraith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2019-rolls-royce-wraith) | 1 in 10,000 | $218K | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2016 Porsche Cayman GT4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-porsche-cayman-gt4) | 1 in 2,000 | $128K | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Chevrolet Corvette Stingray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-chevrolet-corvette-stingray) | 1 in 2,000 | $105K | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tesla Model S Plaid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-model-s-plaid) | 1 in 2,000 | $101K | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Ford F-150 Platinum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-f-150-platinum) | 1 in 1,429 | $96.8K | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Ford F-150 Tremor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-f-150-tremor) | 1 in 1,429 | $91.3K | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Ford Mustang Dark Horse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-mustang-dark-horse) | 1 in 1,429 | $82.5K | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tesla Cybertruck All-wheel drive other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-cybertruck-all-wheel-drive) | 1 in 1,429 | $76.4K | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Ford Mustang Mach-E GT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-mustang-mach-e-gt) | 1 in 400 | $68.5K | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Ford Mustang GT Premium other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-mustang-gt-premium) | 1 in 1,000 | $63.8K | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Jeep Wrangler Sahara other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-jeep-wrangler-sahara) | 1 in 1,000 | $62.7K | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tesla Model Y other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-model-y) | 1 in 400 | $54.5K | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Chevrolet Camaro LT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-chevrolet-camaro-lt) | 1 in 75 | $49.5K | 15.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2024 Hyundai Santa Cruz Limited other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-hyundai-santa-cruz-limited) | 1 in 40 | $49K | 27.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2024 Ford Maverick XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-maverick-xl) | 1 in 20 | $31.9K | 36.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Rolls Royce Phantom Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolls-royce-phantom-toy) | 30.0% | $23.00 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Audi R8 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-toy) | 30.0% | $12.00 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [Valve Caps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/valve-caps) | 30.0% | $3.99 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [2024 Ford Maverick XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-maverick-xl) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $4,936 $31.9K 6.46x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=garage-crew) [Audi R8 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-toy) Hidden $4,936 $12.00 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [Audi R8 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-toy) Hidden $4,936 $12.00 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [Rolls Royce Phantom Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolls-royce-phantom-toy) Hidden $4,936 $23.00 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [2024 Ford Maverick XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-maverick-xl) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $4,936 $31.9K 6.46x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4,936 | 89.50% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $31.9K (6.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt