--- title: "Get the BAG case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Get the BAG ($888.11) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 23 items with odds, observed 50.67% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Get the BAG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Get the BAG A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag?window=all) Price · $888.11 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $794.86 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 50.67% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 96.0% 192.5% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag) | 3 | 50.67% ±141.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/get-the-bag?window=all) | 3 | 50.67% ±141.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Chanel Kelly Mini Shopping Bag Mini 23K Shiny Aged Calfskin Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-kelly-mini-shopping-bag-mini-23k-shiny-aged-calfskin-black) | 1 in 10,000 | $13.1K | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chanel Mini 22 Bag Black (AS3980) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-22-bag-black-as3980) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.3K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dior x Daniel Arsham Safari Messenger Bag Calfskin White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-daniel-arsham-safari-messenger-bag-calfskin-white) | 1 in 10,000 | $10K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chanel Mini Classic Flap Bag Pink (A69900) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-classic-flap-bag-pink-a69900) | 1 in 10,000 | $10K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dior And Shawn Saddle Bag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-and-shawn-saddle-bag-black) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,810 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chanel Mini Wallet On Chain with Bag Charm Black (AP3316-B10712-94305) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-wallet-on-chain-with-bag-charm-black-ap3316-b10712-94305) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,380 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Mini Jumbo GG Bag with Bamboo Camel/Ebony other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-mini-jumbo-gg-bag-with-bamboo-camel-ebony) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,545 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Horsebit Chain Medium Shoulder Bag Beige/Ebony other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-horsebit-chain-medium-shoulder-bag-beige-ebony) | 1 in 714 | $6,120 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dior Oblique Saddle Bag Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-oblique-saddle-bag-blue) | 1 in 80 | $6,100 | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dior Saddle Bag Dior Oblique Embroidery Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-saddle-bag-dior-oblique-embroidery-blue) | 1 in 2,500 | $5,640 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Hermes Cabas H en Biais 40 bag Ecru/Black/Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hermes-cabas-h-en-biais-40-bag-ecru-black-black) | 1 in 5,000 | $5,539 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chanel Mini Camera Bag Black (AP2426) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-camera-bag-black-ap2426) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,446 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci x Balenciaga The Hacker Project Small GG Marmont Bag White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-balenciaga-the-hacker-project-small-gg-marmont-bag-white) | 1 in 500 | $4,560 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Gucci Savoy Medium Duffle Bag Beige/Ebony/Bright Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-gucci-savoy-medium-duffle-bag-beige-ebony-bright-green) | 1 in 80 | $4,560 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dior Safari Messenger Bag Dior Oblique Jacquard Beige/Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-safari-messenger-bag-dior-oblique-jacquard-beige-black) | 1 in 278 | $4,320 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Saint Laurent Envelope Bag Small Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-envelope-bag-small-black) | 1 in 67 | $4,080 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Dionysus Shoulder Bag Small GG Supreme Canvas Beige/Ebony other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-dionysus-shoulder-bag-small-gg-supreme-canvas-beige-ebony) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,700 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci x Balenciaga The Hacker Project Graffiti Medium Tote Bag Black graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-balenciaga-the-hacker-project-graffiti-medium-tote-bag-black) | 1 in 500 | $3,575 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Ophidia GG Small Crossbody Bag Beige/Ebony/Orange other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-ophidia-gg-small-crossbody-bag-beige-ebony-orange) | 1 in 40 | $3,120 | 9.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Dior x Jordan Wings Messenger Bag Grey other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-jordan-wings-messenger-bag-grey) | 1 in 500 | $3,100 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Messenger Bag GG Supreme Canvas Black/Grey other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-messenger-bag-gg-supreme-canvas-black-grey) | 1 in 62 | $2,640 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Prada Re-Edition 2005 Shoulder Bag Saffiano Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-re-edition-2005-shoulder-bag-saffiano-black) | 1 in 182 | $2,400 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Supreme Tote Bag (SS24) Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-tote-bag-ss24-black) | 90.0% | $450 | 51.0% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=get-the-bag) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $888 | 89.50% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt