--- title: "Gift Wrapped case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gift Wrapped ($9.15) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.43% from 18 items with odds, observed 107.75% over 2,215 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped rendered: 2026-11-11T14:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Gift Wrapped](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Gift Wrapped A box on Cases.gg (Gifts), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped?window=all) Price · $9.15 Advertised RTP · 89.43% · EV $8.18 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 107.75% · 2,215 openings, odds method Variance · 41.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 104 openings · below min 7 days · 108.04% ±27.33 2,131 openings 30 days · 107.75% ±26.81 2,215 openings since tracking started · 107.75% ±26.81 2,215 openings 5.0% 129.5% 254.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped?window=24h) | 104 | 129.47% ±123.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped?window=7d) | 2,131 | 108.04% ±27.3 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped) | 2,215 | 107.75% ±26.8 | +1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gift-wrapped?window=all) | 2,215 | 107.75% ±26.8 | +1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,215 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Birthday Pop-Up Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-birthday-pop-up-box) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,000 | 12.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.81× | | [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Birthday Gift Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-birthday-gift-box) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,200 | 7.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× | | [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) | 1 in 1,000 | $530 | 6.5% | 6 | 2.2 | 2.71× | | [Southwest Airlines Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/southwest-airlines-gift-card) | 1 in 1,000 | $400 | 4.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90× | | [Starbucks Gift Card - $300 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/starbucks-gift-card-300) | 1 in 1,000 | $325 | 4.0% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.81× | | [Best Buy Gift Card - $250 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/best-buy-gift-card-250) | 1 in 1,000 | $290 | 3.5% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90× | | [Uber Gift Card - $150 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/uber-gift-card-150) | 1 in 400 | $150 | 4.6% | 7 | 5.5 | 1.26× | | [Visa $100 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/visa-100-gift-card) | 1 in 400 | $100 | 3.1% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.72× | | [Texas Roadhouse Gift Card - $75 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/texas-roadhouse-gift-card-75) | 1 in 200 | $75.00 | 4.6% | 13 | 11.1 | 1.17× | | [Taco Bell Gift Card - $50 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/taco-bell-gift-card-50) | 1 in 200 | $50.00 | 3.1% | 13 | 11.1 | 1.17× | | [Chipotle Gift Card - $50 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chipotle-gift-card-50) | 1 in 133 | $50.00 | 4.6% | 10 | 16.6 | 0.60× | | [Fortnite V-Bucks Gift Card - 5000 V-Bucks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fortnite-v-bucks-gift-card-5000-v-bucks) | 1 in 133 | $36.99 | 3.4% | 14 | 16.6 | 0.84× | | [Applebee's Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/applebees-gift-card) | 1 in 100 | $25.00 | 3.1% | 19 | 22.2 | 0.86× | | [Jersey Mike's Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jersey-mikes-gift-card) | 1 in 67 | $25.00 | 4.6% | 29 | 33.2 | 0.87× | | [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Mini Envelope - $20 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-mini-envelope-20) | 1 in 50 | $20.00 | 4.9% | 39 | 44.3 | 0.88× | | [Large Black Gift Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/large-black-gift-box) | 1 in 33 | $14.00 | 5.1% | 63 | 66.5 | 0.95× | | [Cucumber Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cucumber-doll) | 20.0% | $5.00 | 12.2% | 459 | 443.0 | 1.04× | | [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) | 69.0% | $1.00 | 8.4% | 1,528 | 1528.3 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Birthday Pop-Up Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-birthday-pop-up-box) Hidden $9.15 $2,000 218.6x 2026-11-07 05:08 UTC [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Birthday Pop-Up Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-birthday-pop-up-box) Hidden $9.15 $2,000 218.6x 2026-11-07 04:17 UTC [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Birthday Gift Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-birthday-gift-box) Hidden $9.15 $1,200 131.1x 2026-11-07 05:26 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $9.15 $530 57.92x 2026-11-11 08:13 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $9.15 $530 57.92x 2026-11-07 05:18 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $9.15 $530 57.92x 2026-11-07 04:49 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $9.15 $530 57.92x 2026-11-06 20:30 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $9.15 $530 57.92x 2026-11-04 22:27 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $9.15 $530 57.92x 2026-11-03 03:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=gift-wrapped) [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) [Gentle Giraffe](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Gentle%20Giraffe) $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Tissue Paper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissue-paper) Hidden $9.15 $1.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.15 | 89.43% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,000 (218.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.43 on average: an expected loss of $10.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt