--- title: "Glow Up Kit case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Glow Up Kit ($210.07) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 10 items with odds, observed 115.25% over 84 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit rendered: 2026-11-11T20:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Glow Up Kit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Glow Up Kit A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit?window=all) Price · $210.07 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $188.01 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 115.25% · 84 openings, odds method Variance · 8.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 84 openings · below min since tracking started · 84 openings · below min 51.0% 129.8% 208.5% **Small sample.** 84 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit?window=7d) | 66 | 135.97% ±72.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit) | 84 | 115.25% ±63.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/glow-up-kit?window=all) | 84 | 115.25% ±63.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Rolex Datejust 36 16014 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36-16014) | 1 in 200 | $7,900 | 21.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Supreme Burberry Shearling Collar Down Puffer Jacket Beige (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-shearling-collar-down-puffer-jacket-beige-us-m) | 1 in 200 | $3,600 | 9.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Nike SB Dunk Low Travis Scott (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-travis-scott-us-8) | 1 in 100 | $1,440 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Cartier Chain Necklace White Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-chain-necklace-white-gold) | 1 in 100 | $935 | 5.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Palm Angels Classic Logo T-Shirt Black/White (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-classic-logo-t-shirt-black-white-us-s) | 1 in 33 | $500 | 8.0% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× | | [Saint Laurent Square Sunglasses Havana Crystal-Grey (SL-790-002) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-square-sunglasses-havana-crystal-grey-sl-790-002) | 1 in 50 | $468 | 5.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [adidas Y-3 Parachute Cropped Pants US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-y-3-parachute-cropped-pants-us-m) | 1 in 50 | $305 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [Versace Eros Flame for Men 3.4 oz Eau de Parfum Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/versace-eros-flame-for-men-3-4-oz-eau-de-parfum-spray) | 20.0% | $145 | 15.4% | 22 | 16.8 | 1.31× | | [Supreme Denim Camp Cap (SS24) Stripe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-denim-camp-cap-ss24-stripe) | 30.0% | $99.00 | 15.8% | 26 | 25.2 | 1.03× | | [Nike x Drake NOCTA Pack of 3 Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-x-drake-nocta-pack-of-3-socks) | 40.0% | $44.00 | 9.4% | 31 | 33.6 | 0.92× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Rolex Datejust 36 16014 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36-16014) Hidden $210 $7,900 37.61x 2026-11-08 20:09 UTC [Supreme Burberry Shearling Collar Down Puffer Jacket Beige (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-shearling-collar-down-puffer-jacket-beige-us-m) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $210 $3,600 17.14x 2026-11-08 20:13 UTC [Cartier Chain Necklace White Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-chain-necklace-white-gold) Hidden $210 $935 4.45x 2026-11-08 20:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=glow-up-kit) [Supreme Denim Camp Cap (SS24) Stripe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-denim-camp-cap-ss24-stripe) Hidden $210 $99.00 0.47x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Supreme Denim Camp Cap (SS24) Stripe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-denim-camp-cap-ss24-stripe) Hidden $210 $99.00 0.47x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Nike x Drake NOCTA Pack of 3 Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-x-drake-nocta-pack-of-3-socks) Hidden $210 $44.00 0.21x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Versace Eros Flame for Men 3.4 oz Eau de Parfum Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/versace-eros-flame-for-men-3-4-oz-eau-de-parfum-spray) Hidden $210 $145 0.69x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Nike x Drake NOCTA Pack of 3 Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-x-drake-nocta-pack-of-3-socks) Hidden $210 $44.00 0.21x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Nike x Drake NOCTA Pack of 3 Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-x-drake-nocta-pack-of-3-socks) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $210 $44.00 0.21x 2026-11-10 07:07 UTC [Supreme Denim Camp Cap (SS24) Stripe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-denim-camp-cap-ss24-stripe) Hidden $210 $99.00 0.47x 2026-11-10 07:04 UTC [Supreme Denim Camp Cap (SS24) Stripe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-denim-camp-cap-ss24-stripe) Hidden $210 $99.00 0.47x 2026-11-10 07:04 UTC [Nike x Drake NOCTA Pack of 3 Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-x-drake-nocta-pack-of-3-socks) Hidden $210 $44.00 0.21x 2026-11-10 07:04 UTC [Versace Eros Flame for Men 3.4 oz Eau de Parfum Spray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/versace-eros-flame-for-men-3-4-oz-eau-de-parfum-spray) Hidden $210 $145 0.69x 2026-11-10 07:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $210 | 89.50% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $7,900 (37.61x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt