---
title: "Gold Mine case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gold Mine ($8,367.85) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Gold Mine](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Gold Mine

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine?window=all)

Price · $8,367.85

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $7,489.23 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gold-mine?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Patek Philippe Nautilus 5712/1R Moon Phases Full Rose Gold (New Model) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/patek-philippe-nautilus-5712-1r-moon-phases-full-rose-gold-new-model) | 1 in 286 | $226K | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [1 kilo Cast-Poured Gold Bar - APMEX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-kilo-cast-poured-gold-bar-apmex) | 1 in 133 | $148K | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [16MM MIAMI CUBAN 14K SOLID GOLD CHAIN other](https://gambatracker.com/items/16mm-miami-cuban-14k-solid-gold-chain) | 1 in 100 | $100K | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Patek Philippe Aquanaut 5167R-001 Rose Gold Brown New 2021 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/patek-philippe-aquanaut-5167r-001-rose-gold-brown-new-2021) | 1 in 133 | $99K | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [18MM MIAMI CUBAN DIAMOND NECKLACE 14K SOLID GOLD 37.00CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/18mm-miami-cuban-diamond-necklace-14k-solid-gold-37-00ctw) | 1 in 100 | $72.6K | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [36 Stone Bracelet in Platinum & Gold with Diamonds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/36-stone-bracelet-in-platinum-and-gold-with-diamonds) | 1 in 100 | $54K | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [10 oz Gold Bar - The Perth Mint (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-gold-bar-the-perth-mint-in-assay) | 1 in 100 | $46K | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [13PT CROWN SET DIAMOND BRACELET 14K SOLID GOLD 6.75CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/13pt-crown-set-diamond-bracelet-14k-solid-gold-6-75ctw) | 1 in 100 | $19.3K | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [6MM MIAMI CUBAN DIAMOND BRACELET 14K SOLID GOLD 4.25CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/6mm-miami-cuban-diamond-bracelet-14k-solid-gold-4-25ctw) | 1 in 50 | $14.4K | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [100 gram Cast-Poured Gold Bar - APMEX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-gram-cast-poured-gold-bar-apmex) | 1 in 50 | $13.5K | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [ROLEX DATEJUST 36MM 18K YELLOW GOLD & STEEL (16233) - 1.00CTW DIAMOND BEZEL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36mm-18k-yellow-gold-and-steel-16233-1-00ctw-diamond-bezel) | 1 in 67 | $11.8K | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [2023 Mexico 1 oz Reverse Proof Gold Libertad other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-mexico-1-oz-reverse-proof-gold-libertad) | 1 in 20 | $4,600 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [T1 Ring in Yellow Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/t1-ring-in-yellow-gold) | 1 in 20 | $3,600 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nike Air Force 1 Low Off-White ICA University Gold (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-off-white-ica-university-gold-us-10) | 1 in 11 | $3,120 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [US DOLLAR SIGN DIAMOND PENDANT 14K SOLID GOLD 0.25CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/us-dollar-sign-diamond-pendant-14k-solid-gold-0-25ctw) | 11.0% | $1,925 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [10 gram Gold Bar - PAMP Lady Fortuna Veriscan® (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-gram-gold-bar-pamp-lady-fortuna-veriscan-in-assay) | 15.7% | $1,500 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Bearbrick Garfield 100% & 400% Set Gold Chrome Ver. other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-garfield-100-and-400-set-gold-chrome-ver) | 20.0% | $215 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Gold Crown Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gold-crown-sticker) | 22.0% | $60.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=gold-mine)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8,368 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt