--- title: "Golgari Grave case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Golgari Grave ($3.24) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.31% from 18 items with odds, observed 82.26% over 1,604 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave rendered: 2026-11-12T00:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Golgari Grave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Golgari Grave A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave?window=all) Price · $3.24 Advertised RTP · 89.31% · EV $2.89 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.26% · 1,604 openings, odds method Variance · 7.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 80 openings · below min 7 days · 84.33% ±14.54 1,414 openings 30 days · 82.26% ±13.65 1,604 openings since tracking started · 82.26% ±13.65 1,604 openings 68.0% 135.5% 203.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave?window=24h) | 80 | 141.41% ±61.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave?window=7d) | 1,414 | 84.33% ±14.5 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave) | 1,604 | 82.26% ±13.7 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/golgari-grave?window=all) | 1,604 | 82.26% ±13.7 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,604 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Savra, Queen of the Golgari (V.3) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/savra-queen-of-the-golgari-v-3) | 1 in 286 | $90.00 | 10.9% | 7 | 5.6 | 1.25× | | [Golgari Guildmage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-guildmage) | 1 in 133 | $50.00 | 13.0% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× | | [Duel Decks: Izzet vs. Golgari: Full Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-izzet-vs-golgari-full-set) | 1 in 100 | $32.95 | 11.4% | 14 | 16.0 | 0.87× | | [Guilds of Ravnica: Golgari Guild Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-golgari-guild-kit) | 1 in 100 | $32.95 | 11.4% | 11 | 16.0 | 0.69× | | [Guilds of Ravnica: Prerelease Pack (Golgari) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-prerelease-pack-golgari) | 1 in 100 | $29.90 | 10.3% | 13 | 16.0 | 0.81× | | [Return to Ravnica: Golgari Guild Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/return-to-ravnica-golgari-guild-pack) | 1 in 50 | $20.00 | 13.8% | 32 | 32.1 | 1.00× | | [Guilds of Ravnica: Golgari Swarm Sleeves (UP) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-golgari-swarm-sleeves-up) | 1 in 40 | $12.00 | 10.4% | 34 | 40.1 | 0.85× | | [Golgari Thug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-thug) | 1 in 20 | $2.70 | 4.7% | 82 | 80.2 | 1.02× | | [Vraska, Golgari Queen other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vraska-golgari-queen) | 1 in 13 | $1.20 | 3.1% | 125 | 120.3 | 1.04× | | [Return to Ravnica Golgari D20 Die other](https://gambatracker.com/items/return-to-ravnica-golgari-d20-die) | 1 in 13 | $0.99 | 2.6% | 138 | 120.3 | 1.15× | | [Jarad, Golgari Lich Lord other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jarad-golgari-lich-lord) | 1 in 13 | $0.93 | 2.4% | 111 | 120.3 | 0.92× | | [Savra, Queen of the Golgari (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/savra-queen-of-the-golgari-v-2) | 1 in 13 | $0.75 | 1.9% | 101 | 120.3 | 0.84× | | [Savra, Queen of the Golgari other](https://gambatracker.com/items/savra-queen-of-the-golgari) | 1 in 13 | $0.69 | 1.8% | 109 | 120.3 | 0.91× | | [Duel Decks: Izzet vs. Golgari: "Izzet" Card Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-izzet-vs-golgari-izzet-card-box) | 1 in 13 | $0.44 | 1.1% | 140 | 120.3 | 1.16× | | [Golgari Guildgate other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-guildgate) | 10.0% | $0.20 | 0.7% | 180 | 160.4 | 1.12× | | [Golgari Germination other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-germination) | 10.0% | $0.06 | 0.2% | 148 | 160.4 | 0.92× | | [Golgari Rot Farm other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-rot-farm) | 10.0% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 167 | 160.4 | 1.04× | | [Golgari Signet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-signet) | 11.4% | $0.04 | 0.2% | 182 | 182.9 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=golgari-grave) [Golgari Signet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-signet) Hidden $3.24 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Duel Decks: Izzet vs. Golgari: "Izzet" Card Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-izzet-vs-golgari-izzet-card-box) Hidden $3.24 $0.44 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Duel Decks: Izzet vs. Golgari: "Izzet" Card Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duel-decks-izzet-vs-golgari-izzet-card-box) Hidden $3.24 $0.44 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Return to Ravnica Golgari D20 Die other](https://gambatracker.com/items/return-to-ravnica-golgari-d20-die) Hidden $3.24 $0.99 0.31x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Golgari Signet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-signet) Hidden $3.24 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Golgari Thug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-thug) [Panzer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Panzer) $3.24 $2.70 0.83x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Return to Ravnica Golgari D20 Die other](https://gambatracker.com/items/return-to-ravnica-golgari-d20-die) Hidden $3.24 $0.99 0.31x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Golgari Signet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golgari-signet) Hidden $3.24 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Return to Ravnica Golgari D20 Die other](https://gambatracker.com/items/return-to-ravnica-golgari-d20-die) Hidden $3.24 $0.99 0.31x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Return to Ravnica Golgari D20 Die other](https://gambatracker.com/items/return-to-ravnica-golgari-d20-die) Hidden $3.24 $0.99 0.31x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.24 | 89.31% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.31 on average: an expected loss of $10.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt