---
title: "GOONER SPECIAL case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "GOONER SPECIAL ($2.30) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 42.24% over 14 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [GOONER SPECIAL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · GOONER SPECIAL

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special?window=all)

Price · $2.30

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 42.24% · 14 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 14 openings · below min

30 days · 14 openings · below min

since tracking started · 14 openings · below min

0.0% 42.3% 84.5%

**Small sample.** 14 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special?window=7d) | 14 | 42.24% ±41.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special) | 14 | 42.24% ±41.8 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gooner-special?window=all) | 14 | 42.24% ±41.8 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=gooner-special)

[2022 Stacking Tins Gold Pikachu Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-stacking-tins-gold-pikachu-coin) Hidden $2.30 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[2022 Stacking Tins Gold Pikachu Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-stacking-tins-gold-pikachu-coin) Hidden $2.30 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) Hidden $2.30 $1.00 0.43x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $2.30 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $2.30 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Safety Vest other](https://gambatracker.com/items/safety-vest) [Cristalina14](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Cristalina14) $2.30 $6.00 2.61x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $2.30 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-09 22:07 UTC

[Toy Jet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toy-jet) Hidden $2.30 $2.00 0.87x 2026-11-09 22:07 UTC

[Ibuprofen other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ibuprofen) Hidden $2.30 $4.00 1.74x 2026-11-09 22:07 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) [Cristalina14](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Cristalina14) $2.30 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-09 22:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 42.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $42.24 on average: an expected loss of $57.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
