--- title: "Grocey Shopping case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Grocey Shopping ($6.26) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.40% from 18 items with odds, observed 91.63% over 1,479 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping rendered: 2026-11-11T23:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Grocey Shopping](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Grocey Shopping A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping?window=all) Price · $6.26 Advertised RTP · 89.40% · EV $5.60 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.63% · 1,479 openings, odds method Variance · 22.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 34 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 77 openings · below min 7 days · 87.29% ±28.21 1,082 openings 30 days · 91.63% ±24.12 1,479 openings since tracking started · 91.63% ±24.12 1,479 openings -0.5% 80.8% 162.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping?window=24h) | 77 | 55.85% ±105.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping?window=7d) | 1,082 | 87.29% ±28.2 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping) | 1,479 | 91.63% ±24.1 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/grocey-shopping?window=all) | 1,479 | 91.63% ±24.1 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,479 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Grey Goose 4.5L Bottle (Fake) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grey-goose-4-5l-bottle-fake) | 1 in 500 | $600 | 21.4% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.01× | | [28g of Saffron other](https://gambatracker.com/items/28g-of-saffron) | 1 in 200 | $100 | 8.9% | 4 | 7.4 | 0.54× | | [Shopping Cart other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shopping-cart) | 1 in 100 | $80.00 | 14.3% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× | | [Lambda Ultra Premium Extra Virgin Olive Oil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lambda-ultra-premium-extra-virgin-olive-oil) | 1 in 80 | $60.00 | 13.4% | 26 | 18.5 | 1.41× | | [Black Truffle Shavings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/black-truffle-shavings) | 1 in 67 | $33.00 | 8.8% | 23 | 22.2 | 1.04× | | [Ferrero Rocher Hazelnut Chocolates other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ferrero-rocher-hazelnut-chocolates) | 1 in 50 | $15.00 | 5.4% | 20 | 29.6 | 0.68× | | [Plant Based Burger Patties other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plant-based-burger-patties) | 1 in 40 | $12.00 | 5.4% | 44 | 37.0 | 1.19× | | [Arabica Coffee Beans other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arabica-coffee-beans) | 1 in 40 | $8.90 | 4.0% | 33 | 37.0 | 0.89× | | [Cooked Shrimp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooked-shrimp) | 1 in 40 | $8.00 | 3.6% | 42 | 37.0 | 1.14× | | [DiGiorno Thin Crust Frozen Pizza other](https://gambatracker.com/items/digiorno-thin-crust-frozen-pizza) | 1 in 33 | $6.00 | 3.2% | 59 | 44.4 | 1.33× | | [Rice Krispies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rice-krispies) | 1 in 33 | $4.00 | 2.1% | 48 | 44.4 | 1.08× | | [Spaghettios other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spaghettios) | 1 in 25 | $2.20 | 1.6% | 57 | 59.2 | 0.96× | | [Doritos other](https://gambatracker.com/items/doritos) | 1 in 13 | $2.00 | 2.7% | 111 | 110.9 | 1.00× | | [Milk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/milk) | 1 in 13 | $1.50 | 2.0% | 112 | 110.9 | 1.01× | | [Loaf of Bread other](https://gambatracker.com/items/loaf-of-bread) | 10.0% | $1.25 | 2.2% | 138 | 147.9 | 0.93× | | [Tomatoes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tomatoes) | 10.0% | $0.40 | 0.7% | 132 | 147.9 | 0.89× | | [Candy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/candy) | 10.0% | $0.07 | 0.1% | 157 | 147.9 | 1.06× | | [Tea Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tea-bag) | 31.1% | $0.02 | 0.1% | 455 | 459.2 | 0.99× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Grey Goose 4.5L Bottle (Fake) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grey-goose-4-5l-bottle-fake) [Rosguard](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Rosguard) $6.26 $600 95.85x 2026-11-10 16:26 UTC [Grey Goose 4.5L Bottle (Fake) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grey-goose-4-5l-bottle-fake) Hidden $6.26 $600 95.85x 2026-11-09 15:00 UTC [Grey Goose 4.5L Bottle (Fake) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grey-goose-4-5l-bottle-fake) [Pingvins](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Pingvins) $6.26 $600 95.85x 2026-11-02 23:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=grocey-shopping) [Candy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/candy) Hidden $6.26 $0.07 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:12 UTC [Tea Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tea-bag) [RichSteve](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/RichSteve) $6.26 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:12 UTC [Tea Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tea-bag) Hidden $6.26 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Tea Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tea-bag) Hidden $6.26 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Milk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/milk) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $6.26 $1.50 0.24x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Plant Based Burger Patties other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plant-based-burger-patties) Hidden $6.26 $12.00 1.92x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Cooked Shrimp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooked-shrimp) Hidden $6.26 $8.00 1.28x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Milk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/milk) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $6.26 $1.50 0.24x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Milk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/milk) Hidden $6.26 $1.50 0.24x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Ferrero Rocher Hazelnut Chocolates other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ferrero-rocher-hazelnut-chocolates) Hidden $6.26 $15.00 2.40x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.26 | 89.40% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $600 (95.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.40 on average: an expected loss of $10.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt