--- title: "GUARANTEED 10% Sneaker case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "GUARANTEED 10% Sneaker ($17.73) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 112.03% over 55 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker rendered: 2026-11-13T04:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [GUARANTEED 10% Sneaker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · GUARANTEED 10% Sneaker A box on Cases.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker?window=all) Price · $17.73 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 112.03% · 55 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 43 openings · below min 30 days · 55 openings · below min since tracking started · 55 openings · below min 3.0% 123.7% 244.5% **Small sample.** 55 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker?window=7d) | 43 | 123.74% ±120.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker) | 55 | 112.03% ±96.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/guaranteed-10percent-sneaker?window=all) | 55 | 112.03% ±96.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=guaranteed-10percent-sneaker) [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $17.73 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $17.73 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [adidas NMD R1 Core Black Energy Pink (US Men's 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-nmd-r1-core-black-energy-pink-us-mens-7) Hidden $17.73 $288 16.24x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [Packdizzle](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Packdizzle) $17.73 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $17.73 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $17.73 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [adidas NMD R1 Trail Guardians of the Galaxy Groot (US Men's 4.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-nmd-r1-trail-guardians-of-the-galaxy-groot-us-mens-4-5) Hidden $17.73 $72.00 4.06x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [Packdizzle](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Packdizzle) $17.73 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $17.73 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $17.73 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 112.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $112.03 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt