--- title: "Gym Bro case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gym Bro ($58.63) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 121.56% over 177 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro rendered: 2026-11-11T20:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Gym Bro](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Gym Bro A box on Cases.gg (Gym), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro?window=all) Price · $58.63 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $52.47 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 121.56% · 177 openings, odds method Variance · 10.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 149 openings · below min 30 days · 177 openings · below min since tracking started · 177 openings · below min 72.5% 178.3% 284.0% **Small sample.** 177 openings and 4.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro?window=24h) | 54 | 195.48% ±88.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro?window=7d) | 149 | 135.31% ±53.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro) | 177 | 121.56% ±48.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/gym-bro?window=all) | 177 | 121.56% ±48.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 177 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Multi-function Squat Rack Power Cage PPC03 with Cable Crossover System other](https://gambatracker.com/items/multi-function-squat-rack-power-cage-ppc03-with-cable-crossover-system) | 1 in 200 | $1,870 | 17.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Elliptical Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elliptical-machine) | 1 in 200 | $1,430 | 13.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [NordicTrack T Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nordictrack-t-series) | 1 in 133 | $965 | 13.8% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.26× | | [GMWD Leg Extension and Curl Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gmwd-leg-extension-and-curl-machine) | 1 in 133 | $480 | 6.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× | | [ProForm 50 Lb. Rapid Strike Dumbbell Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/proform-50-lb-rapid-strike-dumbbell-set) | 1 in 100 | $329 | 6.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× | | [YOSUDA Indoor Cycling Bike Brake Pad/Magnetic Stationary Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yosuda-indoor-cycling-bike-brake-pad-magnetic-stationary-bike) | 1 in 67 | $305 | 8.7% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.13× | | [CAP Barbell Dumbbell Rack - 3-Tier for 5-50LB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cap-barbell-dumbbell-rack-3-tier-for-5-50lb) | 1 in 50 | $180 | 6.9% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.13× | | [CAP Barbell Rubber Olympic Bumper Plate - 55lbs - Single other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cap-barbell-rubber-olympic-bumper-plate-55lbs-single) | 1 in 50 | $80.00 | 3.0% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× | | [CTRL Meal Replacement - Peanut Butter Crunch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ctrl-meal-replacement-peanut-butter-crunch) | 1 in 50 | $58.29 | 2.2% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.13× | | [CTRL Meal Replacement Shake with Real Cookie Pieces – Cookies N' Cream other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ctrl-meal-replacement-shake-with-real-cookie-pieces-cookies-n-cream) | 1 in 25 | $44.00 | 3.4% | 8 | 7.1 | 1.13× | | [CTRL Meal Replacement Shake with Real Cereal Pieces – Apple Smacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ctrl-meal-replacement-shake-with-real-cereal-pieces-apple-smacks) | 1 in 25 | $44.00 | 3.4% | 12 | 7.1 | 1.69× | | [CTRL Meal Replacement Shake with Real Cereal Pieces – Cocoa Crunch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ctrl-meal-replacement-shake-with-real-cereal-pieces-cocoa-crunch) | 1 in 33 | $44.00 | 2.5% | 6 | 5.3 | 1.13× | | [Gymreapers Quick Locking Weightlifting Belt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gymreapers-quick-locking-weightlifting-belt) | 1 in 25 | $39.00 | 3.0% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.99× | | [CTRL Peanut Butter Pieces - Box of 12 Cookies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ctrl-peanut-butter-pieces-box-of-12-cookies) | 1 in 25 | $37.39 | 2.9% | 6 | 7.1 | 0.85× | | [CAP Barbell Rubber Olympic Bumper Plate - 10lbs - Pair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cap-barbell-rubber-olympic-bumper-plate-10lbs-pair) | 1 in 20 | $26.00 | 2.5% | 4 | 8.8 | 0.45× | | [Bathroom Scale other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bathroom-scale) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 1.9% | 3 | 8.8 | 0.34× | | [CTRL - Trademark Shaker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ctrl-trademark-shaker) | 1 in 20 | $12.94 | 1.2% | 13 | 8.8 | 1.47× | | [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) | 55.0% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 98 | 97.4 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Multi-function Squat Rack Power Cage PPC03 with Cable Crossover System other](https://gambatracker.com/items/multi-function-squat-rack-power-cage-ppc03-with-cable-crossover-system) Hidden $58.63 $1,870 31.89x 2026-11-05 18:44 UTC [Elliptical Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elliptical-machine) Hidden $58.63 $1,430 24.39x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [Elliptical Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elliptical-machine) Hidden $58.63 $1,430 24.39x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [NordicTrack T Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nordictrack-t-series) Hidden $58.63 $965 16.46x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [NordicTrack T Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nordictrack-t-series) Hidden $58.63 $965 16.46x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [NordicTrack T Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nordictrack-t-series) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $58.63 $965 16.46x 2026-11-09 19:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=gym-bro) [Elliptical Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elliptical-machine) Hidden $58.63 $1,430 24.39x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $58.63 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $58.63 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [CAP Barbell Rubber Olympic Bumper Plate - 10lbs - Pair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cap-barbell-rubber-olympic-bumper-plate-10lbs-pair) Hidden $58.63 $26.00 0.44x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $58.63 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [YOSUDA Indoor Cycling Bike Brake Pad/Magnetic Stationary Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yosuda-indoor-cycling-bike-brake-pad-magnetic-stationary-bike) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $58.63 $305 5.20x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $58.63 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $58.63 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC [Gymreapers Quick Locking Weightlifting Belt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gymreapers-quick-locking-weightlifting-belt) Hidden $58.63 $39.00 0.67x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $58.63 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $58.63 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,870 (31.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt