--- title: "Half metal case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Half metal ($20.30) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 134.67% over 36 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal rendered: 2026-11-11T19:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Half metal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Half metal A box on Cases.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal?window=all) Price · $20.30 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 134.67% · 36 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min 43.5% 134.8% 226.0% **Small sample.** 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal?window=7d) | 36 | 134.67% ±90.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal) | 36 | 134.67% ±90.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/half-metal?window=all) | 36 | 134.67% ±90.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=half-metal) [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $20.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $20.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $20.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $20.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [CaDA 1:14 Programmable Sports Car Model C51301W-C51308W other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-1-14-programmable-sports-car-model-c51301w-c51308w) Hidden $20.30 $50.00 2.46x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) [DoofusDave](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/DoofusDave) $20.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [Logitech G Pro Wireless Gaming Mouse - League of Legends Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-pro-wireless-gaming-mouse-league-of-legends-edition) Hidden $20.30 $190 9.36x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [Apple HomePod mini other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-homepod-mini) Hidden $20.30 $170 8.37x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $20.30 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC [BAGAIL BASICS Coffee Scale with Timer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bagail-basics-coffee-scale-with-timer) Hidden $20.30 $22.00 1.08x 2026-11-05 21:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 134.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $134.67 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt