--- title: "Happy Camper case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Happy Camper ($31.21) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 81.77% over 426 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper rendered: 2026-11-11T20:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Happy Camper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Happy Camper A box on Cases.gg (Outdoor), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper?window=all) Price · $31.21 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $27.93 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.77% · 426 openings, odds method Variance · 9.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 102 openings · below min 7 days · 74.28% ±32.57 356 openings 30 days · 81.77% ±29.77 426 openings since tracking started · 81.77% ±29.77 426 openings -0.5% 60.5% 121.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper?window=24h) | 102 | 60.23% ±60.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper?window=7d) | 356 | 74.28% ±32.6 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper) | 426 | 81.77% ±29.8 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/happy-camper?window=all) | 426 | 81.77% ±29.8 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 426 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Pelican Catch Mode 110 Premium Angler Kayak - 10.5 ft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-catch-mode-110-premium-angler-kayak-10-5-ft) | 1 in 500 | $879 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Solo Stove Yukon 2.0 + Stand, 27 Inch Smokeless Fire Pit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/solo-stove-yukon-2-0-stand-27-inch-smokeless-fire-pit) | 1 in 333 | $640 | 6.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× | | [Coleman Camping Tent with Instant Setup, 6 Person other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-camping-tent-with-instant-setup-6-person) | 1 in 100 | $548 | 19.6% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× | | [Bushnell Tent \| Instant Pop Up - Fits 6 People other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bushnell-tent-instant-pop-up-fits-6-people) | 1 in 200 | $540 | 9.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [CORE 10 Person Tent \| Large Multi Room Tent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/core-10-person-tent-large-multi-room-tent) | 1 in 100 | $360 | 12.9% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.41× | | [Coleman Montana Camping Tent, 6/8 Person Family Tent other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-montana-camping-tent-6-8-person-family-tent) | 1 in 100 | $325 | 11.6% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.94× | | [Royal Gourmet CC1830W 30 Barrel Charcoal Grill with Side Table other](https://gambatracker.com/items/royal-gourmet-cc1830w-30-barrel-charcoal-grill-with-side-table) | 1 in 100 | $210 | 7.5% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× | | [Coleman Triton 2-Burner Propane Camping Stove other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-triton-2-burner-propane-camping-stove-2) | 1 in 100 | $99.00 | 3.5% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.94× | | [Coleman 316 Series Insulated Portable Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-316-series-insulated-portable-cooler) | 1 in 100 | $89.00 | 3.2% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.64× | | [Coleman QuickBed Elite Extra-High Airbed with Built-in Pump other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-quickbed-elite-extra-high-airbed-with-built-in-pump) | 1 in 100 | $56.00 | 2.0% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.94× | | [Pelican - Poseidon Paddle - 90.5in - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-poseidon-paddle-90-5in-blue) | 1 in 100 | $50.00 | 1.8% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.47× | | [Camping Tent 2 Person other](https://gambatracker.com/items/camping-tent-2-person) | 1 in 100 | $44.50 | 1.6% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.94× | | [Collapsible Fire Pit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/collapsible-fire-pit) | 1 in 40 | $34.00 | 3.0% | 7 | 10.7 | 0.66× | | [Coleman Personal LED Lantern with 4D Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-personal-led-lantern-with-4d-battery) | 1 in 40 | $25.52 | 2.3% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.85× | | [Fashionwu Fly Fishing Landing Net other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fashionwu-fly-fishing-landing-net) | 1 in 40 | $20.00 | 1.8% | 10 | 10.7 | 0.94× | | [duraflame Firestart Indoor/Outdoor Firelighters, 12 pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duraflame-firestart-indoor-outdoor-firelighters-12-pack) | 1 in 40 | $16.00 | 1.4% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× | | [Zebco Dock Demon Spinning Reel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zebco-dock-demon-spinning-reel) | 10.0% | $9.98 | 3.6% | 39 | 42.6 | 0.92× | | [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) | 70.0% | $0.50 | 1.3% | 312 | 298.2 | 1.05× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Solo Stove Yukon 2.0 + Stand, 27 Inch Smokeless Fire Pit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/solo-stove-yukon-2-0-stand-27-inch-smokeless-fire-pit) Hidden $31.21 $640 20.51x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC [Coleman Camping Tent with Instant Setup, 6 Person other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-camping-tent-with-instant-setup-6-person) [izaivars](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/izaivars) $31.21 $548 17.56x 2026-11-07 18:39 UTC [Coleman Camping Tent with Instant Setup, 6 Person other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-camping-tent-with-instant-setup-6-person) Hidden $31.21 $548 17.56x 2026-11-06 17:05 UTC [Coleman Camping Tent with Instant Setup, 6 Person other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-camping-tent-with-instant-setup-6-person) Hidden $31.21 $548 17.56x 2026-11-04 23:34 UTC [Coleman Camping Tent with Instant Setup, 6 Person other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-camping-tent-with-instant-setup-6-person) Hidden $31.21 $548 17.56x 2026-11-03 13:59 UTC [Coleman Camping Tent with Instant Setup, 6 Person other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-camping-tent-with-instant-setup-6-person) [Axio](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Axio) $31.21 $548 17.56x 2026-11-03 03:13 UTC [Bushnell Tent | Instant Pop Up - Fits 6 People other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bushnell-tent-instant-pop-up-fits-6-people) Hidden $31.21 $540 17.30x 2026-11-10 06:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=happy-camper) [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC [Fishing Hook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-hook) Hidden $31.21 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $31.21 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $640 (20.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt