--- title: "Haunted Haul case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Haunted Haul ($66.61) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 70.47% over 165 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul rendered: 2026-11-11T22:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Haunted Haul](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Haunted Haul A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul?window=all) Price · $66.61 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $59.61 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.47% · 165 openings, odds method Variance · 14.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 57 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 141 openings · below min 30 days · 165 openings · below min since tracking started · 165 openings · below min -0.5% 94.0% 188.5% **Small sample.** 165 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul?window=24h) | 24 | 36.36% ±151.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul?window=7d) | 141 | 75.59% ±62.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul) | 165 | 70.47% ±57.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/haunted-haul?window=all) | 165 | 70.47% ±57.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 165 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Gengar (WEB 047) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-web-047) | 1 in 133 | $1,870 | 23.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.62× | | [Gengar (UNP) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-unp) | 1 in 100 | $1,800 | 30.2% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.61× | | [Gengar VMAX (sGG 020) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-vmax-sgg-020) | 1 in 67 | $615 | 15.5% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× | | [Gengar VMAX (FST 271) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-vmax-fst-271) | 1 in 50 | $360 | 12.1% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [Gengar & Mimikyu GX (sm9 103) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-and-mimikyu-gx-sm9-103) | 1 in 40 | $70.00 | 2.9% | 1 | 4.1 | 0.24× | | [Sabrina's Gengar (G2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sabrinas-gengar-g2) | 1 in 40 | $65.00 | 2.7% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× | | [Gengar ex (FL 108) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-ex-fl-108) | 1 in 40 | $50.00 | 2.1% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× | | [Team Challenge Season 3 "Gengar" Playmat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/team-challenge-season-3-gengar-playmat) | 1 in 33 | $40.00 | 2.0% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× | | [Sabrina's Gengar (GH 14) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sabrinas-gengar-gh-14) | 1 in 27 | $30.00 | 1.9% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× | | [Dark Gengar (N4) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dark-gengar-n4) | 1 in 27 | $30.00 | 1.9% | 4 | 6.2 | 0.65× | | [Sabrina's Gengar (GC 29) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sabrinas-gengar-gc-29) | 1 in 17 | $14.00 | 1.4% | 11 | 9.9 | 1.11× | | [Gengar & Mimikyu GX (TEU 53) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-and-mimikyu-gx-teu-53) | 1 in 17 | $13.00 | 1.3% | 10 | 9.9 | 1.01× | | [Gengar ex (TEF 193) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-ex-tef-193) | 1 in 13 | $8.00 | 1.0% | 13 | 12.4 | 1.05× | | [Gengar VMAX (FST 157) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-vmax-fst-157) | 1 in 13 | $6.00 | 0.8% | 9 | 12.4 | 0.73× | | [Gengar (LOR TG06) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-lor-tg06) | 10.0% | $3.00 | 0.5% | 24 | 16.5 | 1.45× | | [Gengar ex (TEF 104) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-ex-tef-104) | 10.0% | $1.00 | 0.2% | 19 | 16.5 | 1.15× | | [Gengar (PAF 057) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-paf-057) | 10.0% | $0.09 | 0.0% | 16 | 16.5 | 0.97× | | [Gengar (MEW 094) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-mew-094) | 19.8% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 36 | 32.6 | 1.10× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Gengar (WEB 047) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-web-047) Hidden $66.61 $1,870 28.07x 2026-11-10 06:29 UTC [Gengar (WEB 047) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-web-047) Hidden $66.61 $1,870 28.07x 2026-11-06 07:15 UTC [Gengar (UNP) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-unp) Hidden $66.61 $1,800 27.02x 2026-11-10 18:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=haunted-haul) [Sabrina's Gengar (GC 29) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sabrinas-gengar-gc-29) Hidden $66.61 $14.00 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Gengar ex (TEF 104) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-ex-tef-104) Hidden $66.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Gengar (MEW 094) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-mew-094) Hidden $66.61 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Gengar (PAF 057) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-paf-057) Hidden $66.61 $0.09 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Gengar ex (TEF 104) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-ex-tef-104) Hidden $66.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Gengar & Mimikyu GX (TEU 53) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-and-mimikyu-gx-teu-53) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $66.61 $13.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Gengar & Mimikyu GX (TEU 53) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-and-mimikyu-gx-teu-53) Hidden $66.61 $13.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC [Dark Gengar (N4) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dark-gengar-n4) Hidden $66.61 $30.00 0.45x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC [Gengar VMAX (FST 157) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-vmax-fst-157) Hidden $66.61 $6.00 0.09x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC [Gengar (MEW 094) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gengar-mew-094) Hidden $66.61 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $66.61 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,870 (28.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt