---
title: "Hawk Tuah for $25 case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Hawk Tuah for $25 ($35.38) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 49.68% over 34 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Hawk Tuah for $25](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Hawk Tuah for $25

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25?window=all)

Price · $35.38

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 49.68% · 34 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 34 openings · below min

since tracking started · 34 openings · below min

-0.5% 71.3% 143.0%

**Small sample.** 34 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25?window=7d) | 12 | 0.14% ±0.07 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25) | 34 | 49.68% ±92.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hawk-tuah-for-dollar25?window=all) | 34 | 49.68% ±92.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[OFF-WHITE Arrows Bucket Widebrim Hat Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-arrows-bucket-widebrim-hat-black) Hidden $35.38 $568 16.05x 2026-11-03 23:51 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=hawk-tuah-for-dollar25)

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) Hidden $35.38 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:13 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $35.38 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:13 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) Hidden $35.38 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:13 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $35.38 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:13 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $35.38 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:13 UTC

[Car Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/car-sticker) [Doxxed](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Doxxed) $35.38 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:13 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $35.38 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:12 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $35.38 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:12 UTC

[Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $35.38 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:12 UTC

[Floppy Disk other](https://gambatracker.com/items/floppy-disk) Hidden $35.38 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-05 20:12 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $568 (16.05x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 49.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $49.68 on average: an expected loss of $50.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
