--- title: "Heart of the Cards 15% case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Heart of the Cards 15% ($32.98) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 39.23% over 231 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent rendered: 2026-11-13T08:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Heart of the Cards 15%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Heart of the Cards 15% A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent?window=all) Price · $32.98 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 39.23% · 231 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 116 openings · below min 30 days · 231 openings · below min since tracking started · 231 openings · below min -0.5% 287.8% 576.0% **Small sample.** 231 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent?window=24h) | 12 | 253.49% ±322.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent?window=7d) | 116 | 64.91% ±49.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent) | 231 | 39.23% ±25.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/heart-of-the-cards-15percent?window=all) | 231 | 39.23% ±25.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=heart-of-the-cards-15percent) [Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 3 Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-scarlet-and-violet-3-obsidian-flames-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $32.98 $485 14.71x 2026-11-12 19:14 UTC [$0.02 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-02-voucher) Hidden $32.98 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:14 UTC [Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 3 Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-scarlet-and-violet-3-obsidian-flames-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $32.98 $485 14.71x 2026-11-12 19:14 UTC [$0.02 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-02-voucher) Hidden $32.98 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:14 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $32.98 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:14 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) [Rr1CSI](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Rr1CSI) $32.98 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:14 UTC [$0.02 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-02-voucher) Hidden $32.98 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 18:17 UTC [2023 Pokemon TCG Classic Collection Holo Dodrio #14 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-pokemon-tcg-classic-collection-holo-dodrio-14-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $32.98 $33.00 1.00x 2026-11-12 18:17 UTC [$0.02 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-02-voucher) Hidden $32.98 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-12 18:17 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $32.98 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 18:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 39.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $39.23 on average: an expected loss of $60.77 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt