--- title: "Helmet Head case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Helmet Head ($71.55) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 103.56% over 212 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head rendered: 2026-11-11T20:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Helmet Head](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Helmet Head A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head?window=all) Price · $71.55 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $64.03 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 103.56% · 212 openings, odds method Variance · 20.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 172 openings · below min 30 days · 212 openings · below min since tracking started · 212 openings · below min -0.5% 346.3% 693.0% **Small sample.** 212 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head?window=24h) | 6 | 332.87% ±359.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head?window=7d) | 172 | 77.75% ±67.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head) | 212 | 103.56% ±60.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/helmet-head?window=all) | 212 | 103.56% ±60.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 212 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Tom Brady Patriots Autographed Authentic Pro Helmet w/ Multi Inscriptions /112 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tom-brady-patriots-autographed-authentic-pro-helmet-w-multi-inscriptions-112) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,160 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Patrick Mahomes & Travis Kelce Autographed Lunar Eclipse Speed Authentic Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/patrick-mahomes-and-travis-kelce-autographed-lunar-eclipse-speed-authentic-helmet) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,600 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Charles Woodson Packers Signed & Inscribed Riddell Speed Authentic Helmet LE /21 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/charles-woodson-packers-signed-and-inscribed-riddell-speed-authentic-helmet-le-21) | 1 in 500 | $2,200 | 6.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Griese, Marino, Tagovailoa Dolphins Signed Speed Lunar Helmet LE /22 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/griese-marino-tagovailoa-dolphins-signed-speed-lunar-helmet-le-22) | 1 in 333 | $1,950 | 9.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [Aaron Rodgers Packers Signed & Inscribed 2001 Season Speed Authentic Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aaron-rodgers-packers-signed-and-inscribed-2001-season-speed-authentic-helmet) | 1 in 333 | $1,560 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Josh Allen Bills Signed Riddell Speed Lunar Eclipse Alternate Authentic Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/josh-allen-bills-signed-riddell-speed-lunar-eclipse-alternate-authentic-helmet) | 1 in 200 | $1,450 | 11.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Marshawn Lynch Seahawks Signed Riddell Eclipse Alternate Speed Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/marshawn-lynch-seahawks-signed-riddell-eclipse-alternate-speed-helmet) | 1 in 200 | $1,320 | 10.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.89× | | [Micah Parsons Cowboys Signed & Inscribed Riddell Flash Speed Authentic Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micah-parsons-cowboys-signed-and-inscribed-riddell-flash-speed-authentic-helmet) | 1 in 200 | $1,060 | 8.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals Autographed 2022 Alternate Riddell Replica Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joe-burrow-cincinnati-bengals-autographed-2022-alternate-riddell-replica-helmet) | 1 in 200 | $1,020 | 8.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× | | [Jason Witten Cowboys Signed & Inscribed 2022 Salute to Service Helmet LE /6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jason-witten-cowboys-signed-and-inscribed-2022-salute-to-service-helmet-le-6) | 1 in 200 | $960 | 7.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.89× | | [Baker Mayfield Tampa Bay Buccaneers Autographed Speed Authentic Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/baker-mayfield-tampa-bay-buccaneers-autographed-speed-authentic-helmet) | 1 in 200 | $880 | 6.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.89× | | [Mike Evans Tampa Bay Buccaneers Signed Riddell Lunar Eclipse Speed Mini Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mike-evans-tampa-bay-buccaneers-signed-riddell-lunar-eclipse-speed-mini-helmet) | 1 in 200 | $300 | 2.3% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.83× | | [Tua Tagovailoa Miami Dolphins Autographed Riddell Speed Mini Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tua-tagovailoa-miami-dolphins-autographed-riddell-speed-mini-helmet) | 1 in 200 | $300 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× | | [Dallas Cowboys Riddell NFL Speed Mini Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-cowboys-riddell-nfl-speed-mini-helmet) | 1 in 50 | $42.00 | 1.3% | 7 | 4.2 | 1.65× | | [WILSON NFL Super Grip Composite Football other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wilson-nfl-super-grip-composite-football) | 1 in 33 | $30.00 | 1.4% | 10 | 6.4 | 1.57× | | [New England Patriots Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-england-patriots-keychain) | 15.0% | $6.00 | 1.4% | 42 | 31.8 | 1.32× | | [Las Vegas Raiders Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/las-vegas-raiders-keychain) | 25.0% | $3.00 | 1.2% | 42 | 53.0 | 0.79× | | [Dallas Cowboys Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-cowboys-keychain) | 50.0% | $1.00 | 0.8% | 97 | 106.0 | 0.92× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Charles Woodson Packers Signed & Inscribed Riddell Speed Authentic Helmet LE /21 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/charles-woodson-packers-signed-and-inscribed-riddell-speed-authentic-helmet-le-21) Hidden $71.55 $2,200 30.75x 2026-11-03 16:54 UTC [Griese, Marino, Tagovailoa Dolphins Signed Speed Lunar Helmet LE /22 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/griese-marino-tagovailoa-dolphins-signed-speed-lunar-helmet-le-22) Hidden $71.55 $1,950 27.25x 2026-11-07 01:22 UTC [Griese, Marino, Tagovailoa Dolphins Signed Speed Lunar Helmet LE /22 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/griese-marino-tagovailoa-dolphins-signed-speed-lunar-helmet-le-22) Hidden $71.55 $1,950 27.25x 2026-11-03 16:54 UTC [Marshawn Lynch Seahawks Signed Riddell Eclipse Alternate Speed Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/marshawn-lynch-seahawks-signed-riddell-eclipse-alternate-speed-helmet) Hidden $71.55 $1,320 18.45x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [Marshawn Lynch Seahawks Signed Riddell Eclipse Alternate Speed Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/marshawn-lynch-seahawks-signed-riddell-eclipse-alternate-speed-helmet) Hidden $71.55 $1,320 18.45x 2026-11-06 07:16 UTC [Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals Autographed 2022 Alternate Riddell Replica Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joe-burrow-cincinnati-bengals-autographed-2022-alternate-riddell-replica-helmet) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $71.55 $1,020 14.26x 2026-11-06 14:03 UTC [Jason Witten Cowboys Signed & Inscribed 2022 Salute to Service Helmet LE /6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jason-witten-cowboys-signed-and-inscribed-2022-salute-to-service-helmet-le-6) [Mysterious Dolphin](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Mysterious%20Dolphin) $71.55 $960 13.42x 2026-11-07 20:03 UTC [Jason Witten Cowboys Signed & Inscribed 2022 Salute to Service Helmet LE /6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jason-witten-cowboys-signed-and-inscribed-2022-salute-to-service-helmet-le-6) [playboikilla](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/playboikilla) $71.55 $960 13.42x 2026-11-03 02:42 UTC [Baker Mayfield Tampa Bay Buccaneers Autographed Speed Authentic Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/baker-mayfield-tampa-bay-buccaneers-autographed-speed-authentic-helmet) Hidden $71.55 $880 12.30x 2026-11-05 15:04 UTC [Baker Mayfield Tampa Bay Buccaneers Autographed Speed Authentic Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/baker-mayfield-tampa-bay-buccaneers-autographed-speed-authentic-helmet) Hidden $71.55 $880 12.30x 2026-11-03 17:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=helmet-head) [Dallas Cowboys Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-cowboys-keychain) Hidden $71.55 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [Marshawn Lynch Seahawks Signed Riddell Eclipse Alternate Speed Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/marshawn-lynch-seahawks-signed-riddell-eclipse-alternate-speed-helmet) Hidden $71.55 $1,320 18.45x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [New England Patriots Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-england-patriots-keychain) Hidden $71.55 $6.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [WILSON NFL Super Grip Composite Football other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wilson-nfl-super-grip-composite-football) Hidden $71.55 $30.00 0.42x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [Dallas Cowboys Riddell NFL Speed Mini Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-cowboys-riddell-nfl-speed-mini-helmet) Hidden $71.55 $42.00 0.59x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [WILSON NFL Super Grip Composite Football other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wilson-nfl-super-grip-composite-football) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $71.55 $30.00 0.42x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [Dallas Cowboys Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-cowboys-keychain) Hidden $71.55 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC [Dallas Cowboys Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-cowboys-keychain) Hidden $71.55 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC [Dallas Cowboys Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dallas-cowboys-keychain) Hidden $71.55 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC [Las Vegas Raiders Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/las-vegas-raiders-keychain) Hidden $71.55 $3.00 0.04x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $71.55 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,200 (30.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt