--- title: "High Production case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "High Production ($230.72) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 97.61% over 34 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production rendered: 2026-11-12T14:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [High Production](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · High Production A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production?window=all) Price · $230.72 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $206.49 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.61% · 34 openings, odds method Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 34 openings · below min since tracking started · 34 openings · below min -0.5% 270.0% 540.5% **Small sample.** 34 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production?window=24h) | 4 | 271.38% ±268.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production?window=7d) | 10 | 141.41% ±169.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production) | 34 | 97.61% ±92.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/high-production?window=all) | 34 | 97.61% ±92.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Fujifilm GFX 100S Body - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fujifilm-gfx-100s-body-black) | 1 in 400 | $6,600 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Hasselblad X1D II 50c Mirrorless Camera Body other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hasselblad-x1d-ii-50c-mirrorless-camera-body) | 1 in 400 | $6,325 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Canon EOS R5 Mirrorless Camera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/canon-eos-r5-mirrorless-camera) | 1 in 250 | $4,289 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Nikon D850 FX-Format Digital SLR Camera Body other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nikon-d850-fx-format-digital-slr-camera-body) | 1 in 200 | $3,300 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Profoto B10X Plus Off-Camera Flash and Continuous Light other](https://gambatracker.com/items/profoto-b10x-plus-off-camera-flash-and-continuous-light) | 1 in 154 | $2,415 | 7.6% | 2 | 0.2 | — | | [Sony SEL2470GM E-Mount Camera Lens: FE 24-70 mm F2.8 G Master Full Frame Standard Zoom Lens Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-sel2470gm-e-mount-camera-lens-fe-24-70-mm-f2-8-g-master-full-frame-standard-zoom-lens-black) | 1 in 133 | $1,870 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Godox AD600 Pro Outdoor Flash Strobe Light, 2.4G 600Ws TTL Studio Flash Monolight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/godox-ad600-pro-outdoor-flash-strobe-light-2-4g-600ws-ttl-studio-flash-monolight) | 1 in 100 | $990 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Lexar Diamond Series Professional 256GB CFexpress Type-B Memory Card, 2-Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lexar-diamond-series-professional-256gb-cfexpress-type-b-memory-card-2-pack) | 1 in 100 | $825 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Rode NTG5 Shotgun Condenser Microphone Kit,Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rode-ntg5-shotgun-condenser-microphone-kit-black) | 1 in 50 | $550 | 5.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Manfrotto MT055CXPRO4 055 Carbon Fiber 4-Section Tripod with Horizontal Column (Black) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/manfrotto-mt055cxpro4-055-carbon-fiber-4-section-tripod-with-horizontal-column-black) | 1 in 50 | $540 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Calibrite Display Pro HL (CCDIS3HL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/calibrite-display-pro-hl-ccdis3hl) | 1 in 33 | $350 | 5.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× | | [LaCie Rugged Mini 4TB External Hard Drive Portable HDD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lacie-rugged-mini-4tb-external-hard-drive-portable-hdd) | 1 in 33 | $340 | 4.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× | | [WD 4TB My Passport, Portable External Hard Drive, Black, backup software with defense against ransomware, and password protection other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wd-4tb-my-passport-portable-external-hard-drive-black-backup-software-with-defense-against-ransomware-and-password-protection) | 1 in 33 | $250 | 3.6% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.96× | | [SanDisk 128GB Extreme PRO SDXC UHS-II Memory Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sandisk-128gb-extreme-pro-sdxc-uhs-ii-memory-card) | 1 in 33 | $225 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [SENNHEISER Professional ME 2 Small Omni-directional Lavalier Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sennheiser-professional-me-2-small-omni-directional-lavalier-microphone) | 1 in 33 | $125 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Rode SmartLav+ Lavalier Microphone for Smartphones,Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rode-smartlav-lavalier-microphone-for-smartphones-black) | 21.2% | $88.00 | 9.0% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× | | [Tiffen 77mm UV Protection Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tiffen-77mm-uv-protection-filter) | 25.0% | $30.00 | 3.6% | 14 | 8.5 | 1.65× | | [Joby GorillaPod 3K Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joby-gorillapod-3k-kit) | 30.0% | $20.00 | 2.9% | 7 | 10.2 | 0.69× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Profoto B10X Plus Off-Camera Flash and Continuous Light other](https://gambatracker.com/items/profoto-b10x-plus-off-camera-flash-and-continuous-light) Hidden $231 $2,415 10.47x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Profoto B10X Plus Off-Camera Flash and Continuous Light other](https://gambatracker.com/items/profoto-b10x-plus-off-camera-flash-and-continuous-light) [Revolut id @woxpro](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Revolut%20id%20%40woxpro) $231 $2,415 10.47x 2026-11-03 06:10 UTC [Rode NTG5 Shotgun Condenser Microphone Kit,Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rode-ntg5-shotgun-condenser-microphone-kit-black) Hidden $231 $550 2.38x 2026-11-03 06:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=high-production) [Tiffen 77mm UV Protection Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tiffen-77mm-uv-protection-filter) Hidden $231 $30.00 0.13x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Tiffen 77mm UV Protection Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tiffen-77mm-uv-protection-filter) Hidden $231 $30.00 0.13x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Profoto B10X Plus Off-Camera Flash and Continuous Light other](https://gambatracker.com/items/profoto-b10x-plus-off-camera-flash-and-continuous-light) Hidden $231 $2,415 10.47x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Tiffen 77mm UV Protection Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tiffen-77mm-uv-protection-filter) [Camel No. 9](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Camel%20No.%209) $231 $30.00 0.13x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Joby GorillaPod 3K Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joby-gorillapod-3k-kit) Hidden $231 $20.00 0.09x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [Rode SmartLav+ Lavalier Microphone for Smartphones,Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rode-smartlav-lavalier-microphone-for-smartphones-black) Hidden $231 $88.00 0.38x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [Tiffen 77mm UV Protection Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tiffen-77mm-uv-protection-filter) Hidden $231 $30.00 0.13x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [WD 4TB My Passport, Portable External Hard Drive, Black, backup software with defense against ransomware, and password protection other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wd-4tb-my-passport-portable-external-hard-drive-black-backup-software-with-defense-against-ransomware-and-password-protection) Hidden $231 $250 1.08x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [LaCie Rugged Mini 4TB External Hard Drive Portable HDD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lacie-rugged-mini-4tb-external-hard-drive-portable-hdd) Hidden $231 $340 1.47x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC [Tiffen 77mm UV Protection Filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tiffen-77mm-uv-protection-filter) [izaivars](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/izaivars) $231 $30.00 0.13x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $231 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,415 (10.47x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt