--- title: "Home Improvements case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Home Improvements ($0.78) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.43% from 18 items with odds, observed 72.36% over 6,262 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Home Improvements](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Home Improvements A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements?window=all) Price · $0.78 Advertised RTP · 89.43% · EV $0.70 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.36% · 6,262 openings, odds method Variance · 78.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 60 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 236 openings · below min 7 days · 73.17% ±23.83 5,308 openings 30 days · 72.36% ±21.94 6,262 openings since tracking started · 72.36% ±21.94 6,262 openings -0.5% 81.5% 163.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements?window=24h) | 236 | 49.72% ±113.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements?window=7d) | 5,308 | 73.17% ±23.8 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements) | 6,262 | 72.36% ±21.9 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/home-improvements?window=all) | 6,262 | 72.36% ±21.9 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,262 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Dyson V15 Detect Cordless Vacuum Cleaner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-v15-detect-cordless-vacuum-cleaner) | 1 in 20,000 | $900 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Living Room Rug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/living-room-rug) | 1 in 1,429 | $40.00 | 4.0% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× | | [Foldable Recycling Bin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/foldable-recycling-bin) | 1 in 667 | $27.10 | 5.8% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× | | [Bulldog Storage Decoration other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bulldog-storage-decoration) | 1 in 500 | $25.00 | 7.2% | 5 | 12.5 | 0.40× | | [Airtight Food Storage Dispenser other](https://gambatracker.com/items/airtight-food-storage-dispenser) | 1 in 286 | $20.00 | 10.0% | 13 | 21.9 | 0.59× | | [Modern Alarm Clock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/modern-alarm-clock) | 1 in 250 | $15.00 | 8.6% | 23 | 25.0 | 0.92× | | [Kitchen Saran Wrap Cutter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kitchen-saran-wrap-cutter) | 1 in 200 | $12.80 | 9.2% | 24 | 31.3 | 0.77× | | [Knife Sharpener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-sharpener) | 1 in 200 | $7.20 | 5.2% | 34 | 31.3 | 1.09× | | [Oil Sprayer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oil-sprayer) | 1 in 143 | $6.70 | 6.7% | 50 | 43.8 | 1.14× | | [2x Measuring Spoon With Scale other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2x-measuring-spoon-with-scale) | 1 in 133 | $6.00 | 6.5% | 33 | 47.0 | 0.70× | | [Scrub Daddy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scrub-daddy) | 1 in 133 | $3.99 | 4.3% | 36 | 47.0 | 0.77× | | [Cotton Swab Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cotton-swab-box) | 1 in 133 | $2.80 | 3.0% | 53 | 47.0 | 1.13× | | [Artificial Bonsai Tree other](https://gambatracker.com/items/artificial-bonsai-tree) | 1 in 100 | $2.00 | 2.9% | 77 | 62.6 | 1.23× | | [Wall-Mounted Kitchen Garbage Bag Organizer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wall-mounted-kitchen-garbage-bag-organizer) | 1 in 100 | $1.10 | 1.6% | 64 | 62.6 | 1.02× | | [Leaf Shaped Soap Holder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/leaf-shaped-soap-holder) | 1 in 13 | $0.66 | 7.1% | 481 | 469.6 | 1.02× | | [3x Cleaning Wipes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3x-cleaning-wipes) | 12.5% | $0.40 | 7.2% | 769 | 782.8 | 0.98× | | [Cable Organizer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cable-organizer) | 20.0% | $0.10 | 2.9% | 1,187 | 1252.4 | 0.95× | | [Ice Cube Molds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-molds) | 52.9% | $0.02 | 1.5% | 3,400 | 3311.0 | 1.03× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Living Room Rug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/living-room-rug) Hidden $0.78 $40.00 51.28x 2026-11-06 20:25 UTC [Living Room Rug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/living-room-rug) [Extra Sauce CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Extra%20Sauce%20CSBattle) $0.78 $40.00 51.28x 2026-11-05 08:26 UTC [Living Room Rug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/living-room-rug) Hidden $0.78 $40.00 51.28x 2026-11-03 03:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=home-improvements) [Ice Cube Molds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-molds) Hidden $0.78 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Cable Organizer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cable-organizer) Hidden $0.78 $0.10 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Cable Organizer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cable-organizer) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $0.78 $0.10 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Ice Cube Molds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-molds) Hidden $0.78 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [3x Cleaning Wipes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3x-cleaning-wipes) Hidden $0.78 $0.40 0.51x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Ice Cube Molds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-molds) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $0.78 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Ice Cube Molds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-molds) Hidden $0.78 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [3x Cleaning Wipes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3x-cleaning-wipes) Hidden $0.78 $0.40 0.51x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Ice Cube Molds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-molds) Hidden $0.78 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Ice Cube Molds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-cube-molds) Hidden $0.78 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.78 | 89.43% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $40.00 (51.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.43 on average: an expected loss of $10.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt