--- title: "Honored One case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Honored One ($201.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 11 items with odds, observed 39.88% over 608 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Honored One](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Honored One A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one?window=all) Price · $201.00 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $179.89 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 39.88% · 608 openings, odds method Variance · 459.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 439 openings · below min 30 days · 608 openings · below min since tracking started · 608 openings · below min -0.5% 859.8% 1720.0% **Small sample.** 608 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one?window=24h) | 6 | 4.98% ±1714.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one?window=7d) | 439 | 48.42% ±200.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one) | 608 | 39.88% ±170.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/honored-one?window=all) | 608 | 39.88% ±170.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 608 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2012 Lamborghini Aventador LP700-4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2012-lamborghini-aventador-lp700-4) | 1 in 10,000 | $314K | 17.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Richard Mille RM 029 Titanium Oversized Date other](https://gambatracker.com/items/richard-mille-rm-029-titanium-oversized-date) | 1 in 5,000 | $182K | 20.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Rolex Sky-Dweller 42mm 336935 Jubilee Chocolate Dial other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-sky-dweller-42mm-336935-jubilee-chocolate-dial) | 1 in 5,000 | $79.8K | 8.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Cuban Link Chain 10K White Gold (Baguettes )(171.50 Grams) (22 Inch) 24.28CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cuban-link-chain-10k-white-gold-baguettes-171-50-grams-22-inch-24-28ctw) | 1 in 2,000 | $27K | 7.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Audi TT RS 2010 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-tt-rs-2010) | 1 in 500 | $15K | 16.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× | | [Loro Piana Extra Bag L27 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/loro-piana-extra-bag-l27) | 1 in 333 | $4,278 | 7.1% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× | | [Gucci Screener White Green (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-screener-white-green-us-10) | 1 in 250 | $1,694 | 3.8% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.82× | | [Nike Air Max 90 Off-White Desert Ore (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-max-90-off-white-desert-ore-us-8) | 1 in 100 | $795 | 4.4% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.32× | | [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch 7 44mm, Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-7-44mm-green) | 1 in 33 | $396 | 6.6% | 19 | 18.2 | 1.04× | | [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-m) | 1 in 20 | $86.00 | 2.4% | 28 | 30.4 | 0.92× | | [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) | 90.0% | $10.00 | 5.0% | 548 | 547.2 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Audi TT RS 2010 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-tt-rs-2010) [Arrrbaccos](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Arrrbaccos) $201 $15K 74.75x 2026-11-05 13:54 UTC [Loro Piana Extra Bag L27 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/loro-piana-extra-bag-l27) Hidden $201 $4,278 21.28x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [Loro Piana Extra Bag L27 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/loro-piana-extra-bag-l27) Hidden $201 $4,278 21.28x 2026-11-06 06:52 UTC [Gucci Screener White Green (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-screener-white-green-us-10) Hidden $201 $1,694 8.43x 2026-11-05 13:58 UTC [Gucci Screener White Green (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-screener-white-green-us-10) [Arrrbaccos](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Arrrbaccos) $201 $1,694 8.43x 2026-11-05 13:58 UTC [Nike Air Max 90 Off-White Desert Ore (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-max-90-off-white-desert-ore-us-8) Hidden $201 $795 3.96x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [Nike Air Max 90 Off-White Desert Ore (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-max-90-off-white-desert-ore-us-8) Hidden $201 $795 3.96x 2026-11-06 08:01 UTC [Nike Air Max 90 Off-White Desert Ore (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-max-90-off-white-desert-ore-us-8) Hidden $201 $795 3.96x 2026-11-06 06:42 UTC [Nike Air Max 90 Off-White Desert Ore (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-max-90-off-white-desert-ore-us-8) Hidden $201 $795 3.96x 2026-11-06 06:39 UTC [Nike Air Max 90 Off-White Desert Ore (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-max-90-off-white-desert-ore-us-8) [Kick/Boma - Code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FBoma%20-%20Code%20DGN) $201 $795 3.96x 2026-11-05 23:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=honored-one) [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) Hidden $201 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) Hidden $201 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) Hidden $201 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) Hidden $201 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) Hidden $201 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $201 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-m) Hidden $201 $86.00 0.43x 2026-11-10 03:45 UTC [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $201 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:45 UTC [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) Hidden $201 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:41 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Longsleeve Sweatshirt Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-longsleeve-sweatshirt-black-us-m) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $201 $86.00 0.43x 2026-11-10 03:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $201 | 89.50% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $15K (74.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt