--- title: "Hooded case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hooded ($110.17) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds, observed 88.79% over 38 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded rendered: 2026-11-11T21:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Hooded](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Hooded A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded?window=all) Price · $110.17 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $98.60 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.79% · 38 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 26.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 34 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min -0.5% 89.0% 178.5% **Small sample.** 38 openings and 10.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded?window=24h) | 6 | 62.78% ±115.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded?window=7d) | 34 | 88.74% ±48.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded) | 38 | 88.79% ±45.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hooded?window=all) | 38 | 88.79% ±45.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Fear of God Essentials x TMC Crenshaw Hoodie Blue (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fear-of-god-essentials-x-tmc-crenshaw-hoodie-blue-us-s) | 1 in 333 | $1,560 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Burberry Check Hood Cotton Hoodie Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-check-hood-cotton-hoodie-black-us-l) | 1 in 133 | $1,030 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Balenciaga Be Different Hoodie US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-be-different-hoodie-us-m) | 1 in 133 | $1,020 | 7.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Comme des Garcons x Pokemon Oversized Hoodie Grey US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/comme-des-garcons-x-pokemon-oversized-hoodie-grey-us-m) | 1 in 133 | $700 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Yeezy Gap Engineered by Balenciaga Dove Hoodie Black US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-gap-engineered-by-balenciaga-dove-hoodie-black-us-l) | 1 in 80 | $470 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Jordan x Travis Scott Pullover Hoodie Palomino (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-x-travis-scott-pullover-hoodie-palomino-us-s) | 1 in 33 | $175 | 5.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× | | [Thrasher Men's Sweatshirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thrasher-mens-sweatshirt) | 10.0% | $90.00 | 9.1% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.58× | | [Attack on Titan x Color Bars - Witnessing Battle Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-x-color-bars-witnessing-battle-hoodie) | 10.0% | $85.00 | 8.6% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× | | [DARLING in the FRANXX - Zero Two Tongue Out Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/darling-in-the-franxx-zero-two-tongue-out-hoodie) | 10.0% | $80.00 | 8.1% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [Moletom Furia x Champion Mascot Hoodie Preto other](https://gambatracker.com/items/moletom-furia-x-champion-mascot-hoodie-preto) | 13.2% | $74.00 | 9.9% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× | | [VALORANT Bind Full Zip Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/valorant-bind-full-zip-hoodie) | 20.0% | $70.00 | 14.2% | 8 | 7.6 | 1.05× | | [Official UFC Logo Gold Line Pullover Hoodie (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/official-ufc-logo-gold-line-pullover-hoodie-us-m) | 30.0% | $43.00 | 13.1% | 9 | 11.4 | 0.79× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Balenciaga Be Different Hoodie US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-be-different-hoodie-us-m) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $110 $1,020 9.26x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=hooded) [Official UFC Logo Gold Line Pullover Hoodie (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/official-ufc-logo-gold-line-pullover-hoodie-us-m) Hidden $110 $43.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Moletom Furia x Champion Mascot Hoodie Preto other](https://gambatracker.com/items/moletom-furia-x-champion-mascot-hoodie-preto) Hidden $110 $74.00 0.67x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Attack on Titan x Color Bars - Witnessing Battle Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-x-color-bars-witnessing-battle-hoodie) Hidden $110 $85.00 0.77x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Official UFC Logo Gold Line Pullover Hoodie (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/official-ufc-logo-gold-line-pullover-hoodie-us-m) Hidden $110 $43.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Attack on Titan x Color Bars - Witnessing Battle Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-x-color-bars-witnessing-battle-hoodie) Hidden $110 $85.00 0.77x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Attack on Titan x Color Bars - Witnessing Battle Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-x-color-bars-witnessing-battle-hoodie) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $110 $85.00 0.77x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [VALORANT Bind Full Zip Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/valorant-bind-full-zip-hoodie) Hidden $110 $70.00 0.64x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [VALORANT Bind Full Zip Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/valorant-bind-full-zip-hoodie) Hidden $110 $70.00 0.64x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Thrasher Men's Sweatshirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thrasher-mens-sweatshirt) Hidden $110 $90.00 0.82x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC [Thrasher Men's Sweatshirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thrasher-mens-sweatshirt) Hidden $110 $90.00 0.82x 2026-11-10 07:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $110 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,020 (9.26x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt