--- title: "Hopes and Dreams case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hopes and Dreams ($4.61) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.85% from 16 items with odds, observed 120.38% over 5,147 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams rendered: 2026-11-12T15:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Hopes and Dreams](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Hopes and Dreams A box on Cases.gg (Budget), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams?window=all) Price · $4.61 Advertised RTP · 89.85% · EV $4.14 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 120.38% · 5,147 openings, odds method Variance · 81.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 311 openings · below min 7 days · 125.99% ±29.27 3,672 openings 30 days · 120.38% ±24.73 5,147 openings since tracking started · 120.38% ±24.73 5,147 openings 39.0% 140.3% 241.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.85% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (95.65% – 145.10%, 5,147 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams?window=24h) | 311 | 140.22% ±100.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams?window=7d) | 3,672 | 125.99% ±29.3 | +2.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams) | 5,147 | 120.38% ±24.7 | +2.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/hopes-and-dreams?window=all) | 5,147 | 120.38% ±24.7 | +2.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,147 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,000 | 24.1% | 13 | 5.1 | 2.53× | | [$500 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/500-voucher) | 1 in 500 | $500 | 24.1% | 8 | 10.3 | 0.78× | | [$250 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/250-voucher) | 1 in 333 | $250 | 18.1% | 17 | 15.4 | 1.10× | | [$100 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-voucher) | 1 in 250 | $100 | 9.7% | 18 | 20.6 | 0.87× | | [$50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/50-voucher) | 1 in 100 | $50.00 | 12.1% | 61 | 51.5 | 1.19× | | [$20 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/20-voucher) | 1 in 100 | $20.00 | 4.8% | 56 | 51.5 | 1.09× | | [$10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-voucher) | 1 in 100 | $10.00 | 2.4% | 35 | 51.5 | 0.68× | | [$5 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5-voucher) | 1 in 100 | $5.00 | 1.2% | 48 | 51.5 | 0.93× | | [$3 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3-voucher) | 1 in 100 | $3.00 | 0.7% | 64 | 51.5 | 1.24× | | [$2 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2-voucher) | 1 in 50 | $2.00 | 1.0% | 96 | 102.9 | 0.93× | | [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) | 1 in 50 | $1.00 | 0.5% | 103 | 102.9 | 1.00× | | [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) | 1 in 20 | $0.50 | 0.6% | 256 | 257.4 | 0.99× | | [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) | 1 in 20 | $0.25 | 0.3% | 252 | 257.4 | 0.98× | | [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) | 1 in 20 | $0.10 | 0.1% | 250 | 257.4 | 0.97× | | [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) | 1 in 20 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 269 | 257.4 | 1.05× | | [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) | 70.0% | $0.01 | 0.2% | 3,601 | 3602.9 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 15:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-12 11:26 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-11 05:32 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) [Kasey](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kasey) $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-10 21:31 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-08 20:09 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) [Jplayyz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jplayyz) $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-08 19:45 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-07 14:27 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-06 17:19 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-06 17:11 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-06 15:04 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $1,000 216.9x 2026-11-05 15:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=hopes-and-dreams) [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $0.50 0.11x 2026-11-12 14:22 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:22 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:22 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:22 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:22 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:22 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:56 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:56 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [SavagePlays](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SavagePlays) $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:56 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $4.61 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.61 | 89.85% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,000 (216.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.85 on average: an expected loss of $10.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt