---
title: "I Figured case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "I Figured ($11.88) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.46% from 18 items with odds, observed 80.05% over 329 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [I Figured](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · I Figured

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured?window=all)

Price · $11.88

Advertised RTP · 89.46% · EV $10.63 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.05% · 329 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86 openings · below min

7 days · 80.17% ±19.11 299 openings

30 days · 80.05% ±18.22 329 openings

since tracking started · 80.05% ±18.22 329 openings

47.0% 83.3% 119.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured?window=24h) | 86 | 83.35% ±35.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured?window=7d) | 299 | 80.17% ±19.1 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured) | 329 | 80.05% ±18.2 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-figured?window=all) | 329 | 80.05% ±18.2 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 329 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Nendoroid Foreigner/Yang Guifei Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-foreigner-yang-guifei-figure) | 1 in 71 | $75.00 | 9.9% | 1 | 4.6 | 0.22× |
| [Nendoroid Aang Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-aang-figure) | 1 in 71 | $60.00 | 7.9% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [Nendoroid Papyrus Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-papyrus-figure) | 1 in 71 | $55.00 | 7.2% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [Nendoroid Sans Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-sans-figure) | 1 in 71 | $55.00 | 7.2% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [Nendoroid Yunyun Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-yunyun-figure) | 1 in 71 | $54.00 | 7.1% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [Nendoroid Snow Miku: Winter Delicacy Ver. Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-snow-miku-winter-delicacy-ver-figure) | 1 in 71 | $53.00 | 7.0% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [Nendoroid Primal Demon Diablo Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-primal-demon-diablo-figure) | 1 in 71 | $50.00 | 6.6% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× |
| [Nendoroid Tsunomaki Watame Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-tsunomaki-watame-figure) | 1 in 71 | $50.00 | 6.6% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [Nendoroid Kevin Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-kevin-figure) | 1 in 71 | $47.00 | 6.2% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [Nendoroid Sakura Haruno Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-sakura-haruno-figure) | 1 in 71 | $46.00 | 6.1% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× |
| [Nendoroid Motoko Kusanagi: S.A.C. Ver. Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-motoko-kusanagi-s-a-c-ver-figure) | 1 in 71 | $43.00 | 5.7% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [Nendoroid Tohka Yatogami: School Uniform Ver. Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-tohka-yatogami-school-uniform-ver-figure) | 1 in 71 | $40.00 | 5.3% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [Nendoroid Shisui Uchiha Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-shisui-uchiha-figure) | 1 in 71 | $38.00 | 5.0% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [Nendoroid Rei Ayanami: Plugsuit Ver. Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-rei-ayanami-plugsuit-ver-figure) | 1 in 71 | $38.00 | 5.0% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [Nendoroid Harmonia Bloom Glass Eye Series: Summer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-harmonia-bloom-glass-eye-series-summer) | 10.0% | $2.15 | 2.0% | 36 | 32.9 | 1.09× |
| [Nendoroid More Bean Bag Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-bean-bag-chair) | 17.5% | $1.00 | 1.6% | 57 | 57.6 | 0.99× |
| [Nendoroid More Jujutsu Kaisen Design Container other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-jujutsu-kaisen-design-container) | 25.0% | $0.80 | 1.9% | 84 | 82.3 | 1.02× |
| [Nendoroid More Skateboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-skateboard) | 27.9% | $0.65 | 1.7% | 94 | 91.8 | 1.02× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=i-figured)

[Nendoroid More Skateboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-skateboard) Hidden $11.88 $0.65 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:55 UTC

[Nendoroid More Jujutsu Kaisen Design Container other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-jujutsu-kaisen-design-container) Hidden $11.88 $0.80 0.07x 2026-11-12 06:55 UTC

[Nendoroid More Skateboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-skateboard) Hidden $11.88 $0.65 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:55 UTC

[Nendoroid Sans Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-sans-figure) [lala](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/lala) $11.88 $55.00 4.63x 2026-11-12 06:55 UTC

[Nendoroid More Jujutsu Kaisen Design Container other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-jujutsu-kaisen-design-container) Hidden $11.88 $0.80 0.07x 2026-11-12 06:19 UTC

[Nendoroid Tohka Yatogami: School Uniform Ver. Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-tohka-yatogami-school-uniform-ver-figure) Hidden $11.88 $40.00 3.37x 2026-11-12 06:19 UTC

[Nendoroid Tohka Yatogami: School Uniform Ver. Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-tohka-yatogami-school-uniform-ver-figure) Hidden $11.88 $40.00 3.37x 2026-11-12 06:19 UTC

[Nendoroid More Skateboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-skateboard) Hidden $11.88 $0.65 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:19 UTC

[Nendoroid More Bean Bag Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-more-bean-bag-chair) Hidden $11.88 $1.00 0.08x 2026-11-12 06:19 UTC

[Nendoroid Harmonia Bloom Glass Eye Series: Summer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nendoroid-harmonia-bloom-glass-eye-series-summer) [lala](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/lala) $11.88 $2.15 0.18x 2026-11-12 06:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $11.88 | 89.46% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.46 on average: an expected loss of $10.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt