---
title: "I KNOW IT'S PERFECT case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "I KNOW IT'S PERFECT ($3.46) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.12% over 48 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [I KNOW IT'S PERFECT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · I KNOW IT'S PERFECT

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect?window=all)

Price · $3.46

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.12% · 48 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 45 openings · below min

7 days · 48 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

13.0% 76.8% 140.5%

**Small sample.** 48 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect?window=24h) | 45 | 68.32% ±54.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect?window=7d) | 48 | 82.12% ±57.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect) | 48 | 82.12% ±57.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/i-know-its-perfect?window=all) | 48 | 82.12% ±57.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=i-know-its-perfect)

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC

[United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $3.46 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.12 on average: an expected loss of $17.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
