---
title: "Iced Out case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Iced Out ($1,349.68) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 19 items with odds, observed 81.56% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Iced Out](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Iced Out

A box on Cases.gg (Watches), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out?window=all)

Price · $1,349.68

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $1,207.96 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.56% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

-0.5% 111.3% 223.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out) | 6 | 81.56% ±140.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/iced-out?window=all) | 6 | 81.56% ±140.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUDEMARS PIGUET ROYAL OAK OFFSHORE 42MM - 23.25CTW FULLY ICED OUT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-offshore-42mm-23-25ctw-fully-iced-out) | 1 in 10,000 | $110K | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [18MM MIAMI CUBAN DIAMOND NECKLACE 14K SOLID GOLD 37.00CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/18mm-miami-cuban-diamond-necklace-14k-solid-gold-37-00ctw) | 1 in 10,000 | $72.6K | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [ROLEX DATEJUST 41MM STEEL (126300) - 22.00CTW FULLY ICED OUT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-41mm-steel-126300-22-00ctw-fully-iced-out) | 1 in 5,000 | $47.1K | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PATEK PHILIPPE - TWENTY~4 - 7300/1201R-010 - ROSE GOLD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/patek-philippe-twenty-4-7300-1201r-010-rose-gold) | 1 in 5,000 | $46.5K | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CARTIER SANTOS DE CARTIER STEEL 40MM (4072) - 20.50CTW FULLY ICED OUT CUSTOM PAVE DIAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-santos-de-cartier-steel-40mm-4072-20-50ctw-fully-iced-out-custom-pave-dial) | 1 in 2,500 | $40.7K | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [6PT PRONG SET DIAMOND TENNIS NECKLACE 14K SOLID GOLD 10.50CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/6pt-prong-set-diamond-tennis-necklace-14k-solid-gold-10-50ctw) | 1 in 1,000 | $29K | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SUPER DOLLAR DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 9.25CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/super-dollar-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-9-25ctw) | 1 in 2,000 | $27.5K | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FULL DIAMOND ETERNITY DIAMOND BANGLE 14K SOLID GOLD 6.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/full-diamond-eternity-diamond-bangle-14k-solid-gold-6-05ctw) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.6K | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [ROLEX DATEJUST 36MM STEEL (16220) - 2.00CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36mm-steel-16220-2-00ctw) | 1 in 667 | $13.2K | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [ROLEX DATEJUST 36MM STEEL (16234) - 1.00CTW DIAMOND BEZEL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36mm-steel-16234-1-00ctw-diamond-bezel) | 1 in 333 | $11.6K | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SMALL NAIL DIAMOND BANGLE 14K SOLID GOLD 2.75CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/small-nail-diamond-bangle-14k-solid-gold-2-75ctw) | 1 in 286 | $8,250 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [JAGGED RAISED CUBAN DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 2.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jagged-raised-cuban-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-2-40ctw) | 1 in 286 | $6,050 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [ICEBOX DIAMOND BEZEL FOR 36MM ROLEX 14K SOLID GOLD 2.50CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/icebox-diamond-bezel-for-36mm-rolex-14k-solid-gold-2-50ctw) | 1 in 200 | $4,125 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CASINO SLOT MACHINE DIAMOND PENDANT 14K SOLID GOLD 0.66CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casino-slot-machine-diamond-pendant-14k-solid-gold-0-66ctw) | 1 in 100 | $3,108 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [US DOLLAR SIGN DIAMOND PENDANT 14K SOLID GOLD 0.25CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/us-dollar-sign-diamond-pendant-14k-solid-gold-0-25ctw) | 1 in 50 | $1,925 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [CROSS DANGLING HOOP DIAMOND EARRINGS 14K SOLID GOLD 0.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cross-dangling-hoop-diamond-earrings-14k-solid-gold-0-40ctw) | 20.0% | $1,800 | 29.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| [DIAMOND HUGGIE HOOPS SOLID GOLD 14K .50CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/diamond-huggie-hoops-solid-gold-14k-50ctw) | 1 in 50 | $1,458 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [BUTTERFLY DIAMOND PENDANT 14K SOLID GOLD 0.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-diamond-pendant-14k-solid-gold-0-40ctw) | 13.0% | $1,250 | 13.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [ALPHABET ANY LETTER DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 0.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alphabet-any-letter-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-0-05ctw) | 60.0% | $585 | 29.1% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[CROSS DANGLING HOOP DIAMOND EARRINGS 14K SOLID GOLD 0.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cross-dangling-hoop-diamond-earrings-14k-solid-gold-0-40ctw) Hidden $1,350 $1,800 1.33x 2026-11-04 14:46 UTC

[CROSS DANGLING HOOP DIAMOND EARRINGS 14K SOLID GOLD 0.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cross-dangling-hoop-diamond-earrings-14k-solid-gold-0-40ctw) [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chavlin%20Exer) $1,350 $1,800 1.33x 2026-11-04 14:45 UTC

[BUTTERFLY DIAMOND PENDANT 14K SOLID GOLD 0.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-diamond-pendant-14k-solid-gold-0-40ctw) Hidden $1,350 $1,250 0.93x 2026-11-04 14:45 UTC

[ALPHABET ANY LETTER DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 0.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alphabet-any-letter-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-0-05ctw) [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chavlin%20Exer) $1,350 $585 0.43x 2026-11-04 14:46 UTC

[ALPHABET ANY LETTER DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 0.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alphabet-any-letter-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-0-05ctw) Hidden $1,350 $585 0.43x 2026-11-04 14:46 UTC

[ALPHABET ANY LETTER DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 0.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alphabet-any-letter-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-0-05ctw) Hidden $1,350 $585 0.43x 2026-11-04 14:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=iced-out)

[CROSS DANGLING HOOP DIAMOND EARRINGS 14K SOLID GOLD 0.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cross-dangling-hoop-diamond-earrings-14k-solid-gold-0-40ctw) Hidden $1,350 $1,800 1.33x 2026-11-04 14:46 UTC

[ALPHABET ANY LETTER DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 0.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alphabet-any-letter-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-0-05ctw) Hidden $1,350 $585 0.43x 2026-11-04 14:46 UTC

[ALPHABET ANY LETTER DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 0.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alphabet-any-letter-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-0-05ctw) [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chavlin%20Exer) $1,350 $585 0.43x 2026-11-04 14:46 UTC

[BUTTERFLY DIAMOND PENDANT 14K SOLID GOLD 0.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-diamond-pendant-14k-solid-gold-0-40ctw) Hidden $1,350 $1,250 0.93x 2026-11-04 14:45 UTC

[ALPHABET ANY LETTER DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 0.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alphabet-any-letter-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-0-05ctw) Hidden $1,350 $585 0.43x 2026-11-04 14:45 UTC

[CROSS DANGLING HOOP DIAMOND EARRINGS 14K SOLID GOLD 0.40CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cross-dangling-hoop-diamond-earrings-14k-solid-gold-0-40ctw) [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chavlin%20Exer) $1,350 $1,800 1.33x 2026-11-04 14:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,350 | 89.50% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $1,800 (1.33x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt