--- title: "Influencer's Fantasy case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Influencer's Fantasy ($25.38) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 93.89% over 2,258 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy rendered: 2026-11-12T03:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Influencer's Fantasy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Influencer's Fantasy A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy?window=all) Price · $25.38 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $22.71 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.89% · 2,258 openings, odds method Variance · 7.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 94.30% ±12.48 1,928 openings 30 days · 93.89% ±11.53 2,258 openings since tracking started · 93.89% ±11.53 2,258 openings 81.0% 277.0% 473.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy?window=24h) | 18 | 343.30% ±129.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy?window=7d) | 1,928 | 94.30% ±12.5 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy) | 2,258 | 93.89% ±11.5 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/influencers-fantasy?window=all) | 2,258 | 93.89% ±11.5 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,258 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [iPhone 16 Pro Max, White Titanium, 256 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-max-white-titanium-256-gb) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,440 | 6.3% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× | | [DJI Mini 3 Pro (DJI RC), Mini Drone with 4K Video, 48MP Photo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dji-mini-3-pro-dji-rc-mini-drone-with-4k-video-48mp-photo) | 1 in 1,000 | $990 | 4.4% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.89× | | [Manfrotto MT055CXPRO4 055 Carbon Fiber 4-Section Tripod with Horizontal Column (Black) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/manfrotto-mt055cxpro4-055-carbon-fiber-4-section-tripod-with-horizontal-column-black) | 1 in 500 | $540 | 4.8% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.11× | | [GoPro HERO11 Black Mini other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gopro-hero11-black-mini) | 1 in 400 | $310 | 3.4% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.06× | | [SanDisk 128GB Extreme PRO SDXC UHS-II Memory Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sandisk-128gb-extreme-pro-sdxc-uhs-ii-memory-card) | 1 in 200 | $225 | 5.0% | 11 | 11.3 | 0.97× | | [Elgato Green Screen - Collapsible Chroma Key Backdrop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elgato-green-screen-collapsible-chroma-key-backdrop) | 1 in 100 | $199 | 8.8% | 23 | 22.6 | 1.02× | | [Polaroid Now 2nd Generation I-Type Instant Camera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/polaroid-now-2nd-generation-i-type-instant-camera) | 1 in 100 | $195 | 8.6% | 26 | 22.6 | 1.15× | | [NEEWER 18" Ring Light with Stand other](https://gambatracker.com/items/neewer-18-ring-light-with-stand) | 1 in 50 | $120 | 10.6% | 47 | 45.2 | 1.04× | | [L7C Pro, Gimbal stabilizer for iPhone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/l7c-pro-gimbal-stabilizer-for-iphone) | 1 in 50 | $85.00 | 7.5% | 50 | 45.2 | 1.11× | | [Rode Lavalier GO Professional Wearable Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rode-lavalier-go-professional-wearable-microphone) | 1 in 50 | $69.00 | 6.1% | 42 | 45.2 | 0.93× | | [Stanley Quencher ProTour Flip Straw Tumbler with Leakproof Lid 30 oz other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stanley-quencher-protour-flip-straw-tumbler-with-leakproof-lid-30-oz) | 1 in 33 | $35.00 | 4.6% | 80 | 67.7 | 1.18× | | [HERBIVORE Skin In The Clouds 3-step Plumping Hydration Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/herbivore-skin-in-the-clouds-3-step-plumping-hydration-set) | 1 in 33 | $32.00 | 4.2% | 64 | 67.7 | 0.94× | | [Air Wick Essential Mist Diffuser other](https://gambatracker.com/items/air-wick-essential-mist-diffuser) | 1 in 13 | $12.50 | 4.1% | 164 | 169.3 | 0.97× | | [Monopod Selfie Stick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/monopod-selfie-stick) | 1 in 10 | $9.00 | 3.9% | 226 | 222.4 | 1.02× | | [Przene Blue Light Blocking Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/przene-blue-light-blocking-glasses) | 10.0% | $8.25 | 3.6% | 216 | 225.8 | 0.96× | | [Hashtag Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hashtag-necklace) | 15.0% | $7.00 | 4.6% | 365 | 338.7 | 1.08× | | [Dr. Pure Under Eye Patches for Puffiness other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dr-pure-under-eye-patches-for-puffiness) | 17.5% | $6.70 | 5.2% | 390 | 395.1 | 0.99× | | [Pop It Phone Case for iPhone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-it-phone-case-for-iphone) | 25.0% | $4.00 | 4.4% | 538 | 564.5 | 0.95× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [iPhone 16 Pro Max, White Titanium, 256 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-max-white-titanium-256-gb) [Clavics](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Clavics) $25.38 $1,440 56.74x 2026-11-12 01:27 UTC [iPhone 16 Pro Max, White Titanium, 256 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-max-white-titanium-256-gb) Hidden $25.38 $1,440 56.74x 2026-11-06 08:26 UTC [iPhone 16 Pro Max, White Titanium, 256 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-max-white-titanium-256-gb) Hidden $25.38 $1,440 56.74x 2026-11-06 01:45 UTC [DJI Mini 3 Pro (DJI RC), Mini Drone with 4K Video, 48MP Photo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dji-mini-3-pro-dji-rc-mini-drone-with-4k-video-48mp-photo) [Havikx2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Havikx2x) $25.38 $990 39.01x 2026-11-06 15:14 UTC [DJI Mini 3 Pro (DJI RC), Mini Drone with 4K Video, 48MP Photo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dji-mini-3-pro-dji-rc-mini-drone-with-4k-video-48mp-photo) Hidden $25.38 $990 39.01x 2026-11-06 02:01 UTC [Manfrotto MT055CXPRO4 055 Carbon Fiber 4-Section Tripod with Horizontal Column (Black) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/manfrotto-mt055cxpro4-055-carbon-fiber-4-section-tripod-with-horizontal-column-black) Hidden $25.38 $540 21.28x 2026-11-07 11:40 UTC [Manfrotto MT055CXPRO4 055 Carbon Fiber 4-Section Tripod with Horizontal Column (Black) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/manfrotto-mt055cxpro4-055-carbon-fiber-4-section-tripod-with-horizontal-column-black) Hidden $25.38 $540 21.28x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC [Manfrotto MT055CXPRO4 055 Carbon Fiber 4-Section Tripod with Horizontal Column (Black) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/manfrotto-mt055cxpro4-055-carbon-fiber-4-section-tripod-with-horizontal-column-black) Hidden $25.38 $540 21.28x 2026-11-07 01:48 UTC [Manfrotto MT055CXPRO4 055 Carbon Fiber 4-Section Tripod with Horizontal Column (Black) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/manfrotto-mt055cxpro4-055-carbon-fiber-4-section-tripod-with-horizontal-column-black) Hidden $25.38 $540 21.28x 2026-11-05 03:12 UTC [Manfrotto MT055CXPRO4 055 Carbon Fiber 4-Section Tripod with Horizontal Column (Black) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/manfrotto-mt055cxpro4-055-carbon-fiber-4-section-tripod-with-horizontal-column-black) Hidden $25.38 $540 21.28x 2026-11-03 00:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=influencers-fantasy) [Pop It Phone Case for iPhone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-it-phone-case-for-iphone) Hidden $25.38 $4.00 0.16x 2026-11-12 01:27 UTC [Pop It Phone Case for iPhone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-it-phone-case-for-iphone) Hidden $25.38 $4.00 0.16x 2026-11-12 01:27 UTC [Pop It Phone Case for iPhone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-it-phone-case-for-iphone) Hidden $25.38 $4.00 0.16x 2026-11-12 01:27 UTC [Pop It Phone Case for iPhone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-it-phone-case-for-iphone) Hidden $25.38 $4.00 0.16x 2026-11-12 01:27 UTC [Hashtag Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hashtag-necklace) Hidden $25.38 $7.00 0.28x 2026-11-12 01:27 UTC [iPhone 16 Pro Max, White Titanium, 256 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-max-white-titanium-256-gb) [Clavics](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Clavics) $25.38 $1,440 56.74x 2026-11-12 01:27 UTC [Hashtag Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hashtag-necklace) Hidden $25.38 $7.00 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Monopod Selfie Stick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/monopod-selfie-stick) Hidden $25.38 $9.00 0.35x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Hashtag Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hashtag-necklace) Hidden $25.38 $7.00 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Hashtag Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hashtag-necklace) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sharkinz) $25.38 $7.00 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $25.38 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,440 (56.74x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt