--- title: "Insane Pokémon drop 11% case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Insane Pokémon drop 11% ($3.79) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 52.68% over 378 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent rendered: 2026-11-12T10:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Insane Pokémon drop 11%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Insane Pokémon drop 11% A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent?window=all) Price · $3.79 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 52.68% · 378 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 330 openings · below min 30 days · 378 openings · below min since tracking started · 378 openings · below min -0.5% 46.5% 93.5% **Small sample.** 378 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent?window=24h) | 24 | 2.57% ±2.92 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent?window=7d) | 330 | 54.15% ±38.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent) | 378 | 52.68% ±34.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/insane-pokemon-drop-11percent?window=all) | 378 | 52.68% ±34.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [POKEMON TCG: SCARLET AND VIOLET SHROUDED FABLE ELITE TRAINER BOX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet-shrouded-fable-elite-trainer-box) [woodavrey9](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/woodavrey9) $3.79 $190 50.13x 2026-11-07 06:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=insane-pokemon-drop-11percent) [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) [QNA](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/QNA) $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Squirtle (SVP 048) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squirtle-svp-048) Hidden $3.79 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $190 (50.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 52.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $52.68 on average: an expected loss of $47.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt