--- title: "Junk Drawer case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Junk Drawer ($0.45) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.18% from 17 items with odds, observed 91.21% over 7,660 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer rendered: 2026-11-11T14:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Junk Drawer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Junk Drawer A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer?window=all) Price · $0.45 Advertised RTP · 89.18% · EV $0.40 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.21% · 7,660 openings, odds method Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 31 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 107.71% ±21.69 626 openings 7 days · 92.20% ±6.93 6,130 openings 30 days · 91.21% ±6.20 7,660 openings since tracking started · 91.21% ±6.20 7,660 openings 84.5% 107.3% 130.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer?window=24h) | 626 | 107.71% ±21.7 | +1.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer?window=7d) | 6,130 | 92.20% ±6.93 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer) | 7,660 | 91.21% ±6.20 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/junk-drawer?window=all) | 7,660 | 91.21% ±6.20 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,660 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Loose Change other](https://gambatracker.com/items/loose-change) | 1 in 200 | $11.25 | 14.0% | 49 | 38.3 | 1.28× | | [Measuring Tape other](https://gambatracker.com/items/measuring-tape) | 1 in 133 | $7.70 | 14.4% | 51 | 57.4 | 0.89× | | [USB-C Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usb-c-cable) | 1 in 100 | $5.00 | 12.5% | 84 | 76.6 | 1.10× | | [Roll of Tape other](https://gambatracker.com/items/roll-of-tape) | 1 in 100 | $3.80 | 9.5% | 77 | 76.6 | 1.01× | | [Lighter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lighter) | 1 in 100 | $3.00 | 7.5% | 57 | 76.6 | 0.74× | | [Scissors other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scissors) | 1 in 100 | $2.50 | 6.2% | 81 | 76.6 | 1.06× | | [Super Glue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/super-glue) | 1 in 100 | $2.00 | 5.0% | 72 | 76.6 | 0.94× | | [Magnets other](https://gambatracker.com/items/magnets) | 1 in 100 | $1.25 | 3.1% | 75 | 76.6 | 0.98× | | [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) | 1 in 67 | $0.80 | 3.0% | 124 | 114.9 | 1.08× | | [Sticky Notes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticky-notes) | 1 in 67 | $0.65 | 2.4% | 136 | 114.9 | 1.18× | | [Pile of Screws other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pile-of-screws) | 1 in 50 | $0.40 | 2.0% | 146 | 153.2 | 0.95× | | [Bandaid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bandaid) | 1 in 40 | $0.35 | 2.2% | 190 | 191.5 | 0.99× | | [Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pencil) | 1 in 40 | $0.25 | 1.6% | 200 | 191.5 | 1.04× | | [Thumbtacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumbtacks) | 10.0% | $0.20 | 5.0% | 787 | 766.0 | 1.03× | | [Paper Clips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/paper-clips) | 15.0% | $0.17 | 6.4% | 1,120 | 1149.0 | 0.97× | | [Rubber Bands other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rubber-bands) | 25.0% | $0.06 | 3.7% | 1,939 | 1915.0 | 1.01× | | [Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) | 32.8% | $0.02 | 1.6% | 2,472 | 2508.7 | 0.99× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=junk-drawer) [Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pencil) Hidden $0.45 $0.25 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $0.45 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Sticky Notes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticky-notes) Hidden $0.45 $0.65 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $0.45 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Rubber Bands other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rubber-bands) Hidden $0.45 $0.06 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Rubber Bands other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rubber-bands) [Ronald](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Ronald) $0.45 $0.06 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $0.45 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Rubber Bands other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rubber-bands) Hidden $0.45 $0.06 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Thumbtacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumbtacks) Hidden $0.45 $0.20 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [Old Receipt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-receipt) Hidden $0.45 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.45 | 89.18% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.18 on average: an expected loss of $10.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt