--- title: "Just a Hypebeast case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Just a Hypebeast ($291.01) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 159.65% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast rendered: 2026-11-11T22:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Just a Hypebeast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Just a Hypebeast A box on Cases.gg (Shoes), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast?window=all) Price · $291.01 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $260.45 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 159.65% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min 89.0% 158.0% 227.0% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast?window=7d) | 48 | 159.65% ±66.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast) | 48 | 159.65% ±66.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/just-a-hypebeast?window=all) | 48 | 159.65% ±66.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Mini Soft Trunk Vanilla Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-mini-soft-trunk-vanilla-craggy-monogram) | 1 in 100 | $5,640 | 21.7% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Brass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-brass) | 1 in 67 | $2,400 | 13.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White University Blue (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-university-blue-us-9) | 1 in 80 | $2,093 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [A Bathing Ape Bape Sta Patent Leather Blue White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-bape-sta-patent-leather-blue-white) | 1 in 50 | $1,172 | 9.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [BAPE Color Camo Shark Full Zip Hoodie Black (L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-color-camo-shark-full-zip-hoodie-black-l) | 1 in 40 | $850 | 8.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Supreme Coleman Folding Table Set Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-coleman-folding-table-set-red) | 1 in 36 | $675 | 7.1% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.03× | | [OFF-WHITE Arrows Bucket Widebrim Hat Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-arrows-bucket-widebrim-hat-black) | 1 in 29 | $568 | 7.6% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× | | [Supreme Shoulder Bag (SS18) Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-shoulder-bag-ss18-black) | 1 in 31 | $379 | 4.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.28× | | [Supreme Linea Zero Toucan Lamp Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-linea-zero-toucan-lamp-multicolor) | 1 in 34 | $270 | 3.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [OFF-WHITE Industrial Belt Yellow/Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-industrial-belt-yellow-black) | 1 in 27 | $190 | 2.7% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [Supreme Uncut Box Logo Skateboard Deck Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-uncut-box-logo-skateboard-deck-red) | 1 in 24 | $185 | 3.0% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.96× | | [Bearbrick Andy Warhol x JEAN-MICHEL BASQUIAT #4 400% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-andy-warhol-x-jean-michel-basquiat-4-400) | 1 in 25 | $135 | 2.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [Supreme FujiFilm Waterproof Camera Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-fujifilm-waterproof-camera-blue) | 1 in 22 | $66.00 | 1.1% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× | | [Supreme Red Box Logo 100x Sticker Lot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-red-box-logo-100x-sticker-lot) | 1 in 20 | $50.00 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [Supreme Hav-A-Hank Bandanas (3 Pack) Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-hav-a-hank-bandanas-3-pack-multicolor) | 1 in 17 | $44.55 | 1.0% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.39× | | [Supreme ty Beanie Baby Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-ty-beanie-baby-multicolor) | 1 in 17 | $44.00 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× | | [BAPE Beach Japan 2022 Exclusive Pack Towel White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-beach-japan-2022-exclusive-pack-towel-white) | 15.8% | $28.00 | 1.7% | 4 | 7.6 | 0.53× | | [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) | 30.0% | $10.00 | 1.2% | 19 | 14.4 | 1.32× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Mini Soft Trunk Vanilla Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-mini-soft-trunk-vanilla-craggy-monogram) Hidden $291 $5,640 19.38x 2026-11-10 08:31 UTC [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Mini Soft Trunk Vanilla Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-mini-soft-trunk-vanilla-craggy-monogram) Hidden $291 $5,640 19.38x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Brass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-brass) Hidden $291 $2,400 8.25x 2026-11-06 07:43 UTC [A Bathing Ape Bape Sta Patent Leather Blue White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-bape-sta-patent-leather-blue-white) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $291 $1,172 4.03x 2026-11-10 08:31 UTC [BAPE Color Camo Shark Full Zip Hoodie Black (L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-color-camo-shark-full-zip-hoodie-black-l) Hidden $291 $850 2.92x 2026-11-06 07:52 UTC [Supreme Coleman Folding Table Set Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-coleman-folding-table-set-red) [Arrrbaccos](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Arrrbaccos) $291 $675 2.32x 2026-11-06 07:54 UTC [Supreme Coleman Folding Table Set Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-coleman-folding-table-set-red) Hidden $291 $675 2.32x 2026-11-06 07:52 UTC [Supreme Coleman Folding Table Set Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-coleman-folding-table-set-red) Hidden $291 $675 2.32x 2026-11-06 07:49 UTC [Supreme Coleman Folding Table Set Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-coleman-folding-table-set-red) Hidden $291 $675 2.32x 2026-11-06 07:46 UTC [OFF-WHITE Arrows Bucket Widebrim Hat Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-arrows-bucket-widebrim-hat-black) [Arrrbaccos](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Arrrbaccos) $291 $568 1.95x 2026-11-06 07:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=just-a-hypebeast) [Supreme Hav-A-Hank Bandanas (3 Pack) Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-hav-a-hank-bandanas-3-pack-multicolor) Hidden $291 $44.55 0.15x 2026-11-10 08:31 UTC [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) Hidden $291 $10.00 0.03x 2026-11-10 08:31 UTC [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) Hidden $291 $10.00 0.03x 2026-11-10 08:31 UTC [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Mini Soft Trunk Vanilla Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-mini-soft-trunk-vanilla-craggy-monogram) Hidden $291 $5,640 19.38x 2026-11-10 08:31 UTC [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) Hidden $291 $10.00 0.03x 2026-11-10 08:31 UTC [A Bathing Ape Bape Sta Patent Leather Blue White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-bape-sta-patent-leather-blue-white) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $291 $1,172 4.03x 2026-11-10 08:31 UTC [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) Hidden $291 $10.00 0.03x 2026-11-07 12:55 UTC [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) Hidden $291 $10.00 0.03x 2026-11-07 12:55 UTC [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) Hidden $291 $10.00 0.03x 2026-11-07 12:55 UTC [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) Hidden $291 $10.00 0.03x 2026-11-07 12:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $291 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $5,640 (19.38x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt