--- title: "Kaws case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Kaws ($110.13) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 26 items with odds, observed 73.88% over 38 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws rendered: 2026-11-11T15:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Kaws](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Kaws A box on Cases.gg (KAWS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws?window=all) Price · $110.13 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $98.57 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.88% · 38 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 32.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min -0.5% 93.3% 187.0% **Small sample.** 38 openings and 12.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws?window=24h) | 6 | 75.06% ±111.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws?window=7d) | 24 | 75.59% ±55.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws) | 38 | 73.88% ±44.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/kaws?window=all) | 38 | 73.88% ±44.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [KAWS Pinocchio & Jiminy Cricket Vinyl FigureMulti other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-pinocchio-and-jiminy-cricket-vinyl-figuremulti) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,509 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [KAWS Astro Boy Vinyl Figure Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-astro-boy-vinyl-figure-red) | 1 in 5,000 | $4,235 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [KAWS Holiday Space FigureGold/Black/Silver Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-holiday-space-figuregold-black-silver-set) | 1 in 5,000 | $3,720 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [KAWS Separated Vinyl Figure Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-separated-vinyl-figure-set) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,976 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [KAWS Cereal Monsters Frute Brute Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-cereal-monsters-frute-brute-figure) | 1 in 667 | $756 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [KAWS Companion Open Edition Vinyl FigureBrown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-companion-open-edition-vinyl-figurebrown) | 1 in 667 | $750 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [KAWS Cereal Monsters Franken Berry Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-cereal-monsters-franken-berry-figure) | 1 in 1,000 | $680 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [KAWS BFF Open Edition Vinyl FigureBlack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-bff-open-edition-vinyl-figureblack) | 1 in 278 | $600 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [KAWS Seeing/Watching Plush Grey/Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-seeing-watching-plush-grey-blue) | 1 in 100 | $555 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [KAWS Holiday Japan Vinyl FigureBrown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-holiday-japan-vinyl-figurebrown) | 1 in 500 | $548 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [KAWS KACHAMUKKU Vinyl Figure Green/Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-kachamukku-vinyl-figure-green-red) | 1 in 278 | $515 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [KAWS For Kid Cudi Moon Man Back Print Crewneck Sweatshirt Vintage Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-for-kid-cudi-moon-man-back-print-crewneck-sweatshirt-vintage-black-us-m) | 1 in 135 | $420 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Human Made x KAWS Graphic II T-shirt Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/human-made-x-kaws-graphic-ii-t-shirt-black-us-m) | 1 in 204 | $390 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [KAWS Tokyo First Companion Keychain Set (2021) Black/Brown/Grey other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-tokyo-first-companion-keychain-set-2021-black-brown-grey) | 1 in 67 | $310 | 4.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [KAWS Brooklyn Museum TIDE Poster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-brooklyn-museum-tide-poster) | 1 in 83 | $170 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [KAWS x The North Face Tee Bolt Blue (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-the-north-face-tee-bolt-blue-us-m) | 1 in 72 | $170 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [KAWS x Uniqlo x Sesame Street Group #2 Tee Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-x-sesame-street-group-2-tee-black-us-m) | 1 in 67 | $160 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [KAWS x Uniqlo x Peanuts Snoopy Plush (Medium) White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-x-peanuts-snoopy-plush-medium-white) | 1 in 71 | $150 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [KAWS For Kid Cudi Moon Man GID Tee Vintage Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-for-kid-cudi-moon-man-gid-tee-vintage-black-us-m) | 1 in 133 | $100 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [KAWS x Uniqlo x Peanuts Snoopy Plush (Medium)Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-x-peanuts-snoopy-plush-medium-black) | 1 in 25 | $97.00 | 3.9% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× | | [KAWS Sesame Street Uniqlo Cookie Monster Plush ToyBlue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-sesame-street-uniqlo-cookie-monster-plush-toyblue) | 1 in 14 | $91.00 | 6.5% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.50× | | [KAWS x Uniqlo Companion Tee Pink (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-companion-tee-pink-us-s) | 10.0% | $83.00 | 8.4% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [KAWS Sesame Street Uniqlo Elmo Plush ToyRed other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-sesame-street-uniqlo-elmo-plush-toyred) | 15.0% | $80.00 | 12.2% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.05× | | [KAWS x Uniqlo Companion Tee Pink (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-companion-tee-pink-us-xs) | 25.0% | $65.00 | 16.5% | 11 | 9.5 | 1.16× | | [KAWS x Cactus Plant Flea Market T-shirt Black (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-cactus-plant-flea-market-t-shirt-black-us-s) | 1 in 38 | $64.00 | 1.7% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [KAWS x Uniqlo UT Short Sleeve Graphic T-shirt (US Sizing)Black (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-ut-short-sleeve-graphic-t-shirt-us-sizing-black-us-xs) | 25.0% | $55.00 | 14.0% | 7 | 9.5 | 0.74× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=kaws) [KAWS x Uniqlo UT Short Sleeve Graphic T-shirt (US Sizing)Black (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-ut-short-sleeve-graphic-t-shirt-us-sizing-black-us-xs) Hidden $110 $55.00 0.50x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo x Peanuts Snoopy Plush (Medium)Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-x-peanuts-snoopy-plush-medium-black) Hidden $110 $97.00 0.88x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo x Peanuts Snoopy Plush (Medium)Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-x-peanuts-snoopy-plush-medium-black) Hidden $110 $97.00 0.88x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [KAWS Sesame Street Uniqlo Cookie Monster Plush ToyBlue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-sesame-street-uniqlo-cookie-monster-plush-toyblue) Hidden $110 $91.00 0.83x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Companion Tee Pink (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-companion-tee-pink-us-xs) Hidden $110 $65.00 0.59x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [KAWS Sesame Street Uniqlo Cookie Monster Plush ToyBlue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-sesame-street-uniqlo-cookie-monster-plush-toyblue) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $110 $91.00 0.83x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo UT Short Sleeve Graphic T-shirt (US Sizing)Black (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-ut-short-sleeve-graphic-t-shirt-us-sizing-black-us-xs) Hidden $110 $55.00 0.50x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Companion Tee Pink (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-companion-tee-pink-us-xs) Hidden $110 $65.00 0.59x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Companion Tee Pink (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-companion-tee-pink-us-xs) Hidden $110 $65.00 0.59x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC [KAWS x Uniqlo Companion Tee Pink (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-companion-tee-pink-us-xs) Hidden $110 $65.00 0.59x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $110 | 89.50% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt