--- title: "Keyboard Warrior case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Keyboard Warrior ($19.84) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.47% from 18 items with odds, observed 61.99% over 413 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior rendered: 2026-11-11T17:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Keyboard Warrior](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Keyboard Warrior A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior?window=all) Price · $19.84 Advertised RTP · 89.47% · EV $17.75 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 61.99% · 413 openings, odds method Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 55.28% ±22.11 322 openings 30 days · 61.99% ±19.53 413 openings since tracking started · 61.99% ±19.53 413 openings -0.5% 55.5% 111.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.47% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (42.47% – 81.52%, 413 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior?window=24h) | 32 | 40.73% ±70.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior?window=7d) | 322 | 55.28% ±22.1 | −3.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior) | 413 | 61.99% ±19.5 | −2.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/keyboard-warrior?window=all) | 413 | 61.99% ±19.5 | −2.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 413 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Corsair K100 RGB Optical-Mechanical Wired Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-k100-rgb-optical-mechanical-wired-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 200 | $300 | 8.5% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× | | [SteelSeries Apex Pro Mini Wireless Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steelseries-apex-pro-mini-wireless-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 200 | $290 | 8.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [Razer BlackWidow V4 Pro Wired Mechanical Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razer-blackwidow-v4-pro-wired-mechanical-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 200 | $275 | 7.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [Logitech G PRO Mechanical Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-pro-mechanical-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 100 | $170 | 9.6% | 1 | 4.1 | 0.24× | | [Logitech G213 Prodigy Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g213-prodigy-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 50 | $75.00 | 8.5% | 7 | 8.3 | 0.85× | | [Redragon K585 DITI One-Handed RGB Mechanical Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/redragon-k585-diti-one-handed-rgb-mechanical-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 50 | $55.00 | 6.2% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.73× | | [WorkEZ Adjustable Keyboard Stand for Desktop Computer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/workez-adjustable-keyboard-stand-for-desktop-computer) | 1 in 50 | $55.00 | 6.2% | 3 | 8.3 | 0.36× | | [Razer Ornata V3 X Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razer-ornata-v3-x-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 50 | $48.00 | 5.4% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.73× | | [Dell Wired Keyboard - Black KB216 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dell-wired-keyboard-black-kb216) | 1 in 25 | $26.00 | 5.9% | 11 | 16.5 | 0.67× | | [Womier PBT Keycaps - Pink Cherry other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womier-pbt-keycaps-pink-cherry) | 1 in 25 | $22.00 | 5.0% | 17 | 16.5 | 1.03× | | [GUNMJO Pro Custom Coiled USB C Cable for Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gunmjo-pro-custom-coiled-usb-c-cable-for-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 22 | $20.00 | 5.1% | 17 | 18.6 | 0.91× | | [HyperX Wrist Rest other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hyperx-wrist-rest) | 1 in 22 | $18.50 | 4.7% | 14 | 18.6 | 0.75× | | [Amazon Basics Low-Profile Wired USB Keyboard with US Layout other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-low-profile-wired-usb-keyboard-with-us-layout) | 1 in 20 | $18.00 | 5.1% | 18 | 20.7 | 0.87× | | [HONKID Keyboard Switch Lube GPL 205G0 0.35 oz other](https://gambatracker.com/items/honkid-keyboard-switch-lube-gpl-205g0-0-35-oz) | 1 in 13 | $10.00 | 4.2% | 33 | 31.0 | 1.07× | | [10-in-1 Laptop Keyboard Cleaning Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-in-1-laptop-keyboard-cleaning-kit) | 1 in 13 | $7.50 | 3.2% | 32 | 31.0 | 1.03× | | [OEM Profile Pac-Man Five Dye PAC PBT 5x Keycaps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oem-profile-pac-man-five-dye-pac-pbt-5x-keycaps) | 15.0% | $3.80 | 3.2% | 76 | 61.9 | 1.23× | | [Keycap Puller Tool other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keycap-puller-tool) | 15.0% | $3.00 | 2.5% | 68 | 61.9 | 1.10× | | [Gateron Cherry MX Switch Mechanical Switch Keychain Tester other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gateron-cherry-mx-switch-mechanical-switch-keychain-tester) | 22.5% | $0.80 | 1.0% | 101 | 92.9 | 1.09× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=keyboard-warrior) [Gateron Cherry MX Switch Mechanical Switch Keychain Tester other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gateron-cherry-mx-switch-mechanical-switch-keychain-tester) Hidden $19.84 $0.80 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [Amazon Basics Low-Profile Wired USB Keyboard with US Layout other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-low-profile-wired-usb-keyboard-with-us-layout) Hidden $19.84 $18.00 0.91x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [Womier PBT Keycaps - Pink Cherry other](https://gambatracker.com/items/womier-pbt-keycaps-pink-cherry) Hidden $19.84 $22.00 1.11x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [Gateron Cherry MX Switch Mechanical Switch Keychain Tester other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gateron-cherry-mx-switch-mechanical-switch-keychain-tester) Hidden $19.84 $0.80 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [Keycap Puller Tool other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keycap-puller-tool) Hidden $19.84 $3.00 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [Keycap Puller Tool other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keycap-puller-tool) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $19.84 $3.00 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [Amazon Basics Low-Profile Wired USB Keyboard with US Layout other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-low-profile-wired-usb-keyboard-with-us-layout) Hidden $19.84 $18.00 0.91x 2026-11-11 05:34 UTC [Amazon Basics Low-Profile Wired USB Keyboard with US Layout other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-low-profile-wired-usb-keyboard-with-us-layout) Hidden $19.84 $18.00 0.91x 2026-11-11 05:34 UTC [OEM Profile Pac-Man Five Dye PAC PBT 5x Keycaps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oem-profile-pac-man-five-dye-pac-pbt-5x-keycaps) Hidden $19.84 $3.80 0.19x 2026-11-11 05:34 UTC [10-in-1 Laptop Keyboard Cleaning Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-in-1-laptop-keyboard-cleaning-kit) Hidden $19.84 $7.50 0.38x 2026-11-11 05:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $19.84 | 89.47% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.47 on average: an expected loss of $10.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt